Tanner Bibee and the Cleveland Guardians look to bounce back from a 3-2 defeat when they host Nick Martinez and the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 2 of their three-game series.
Bibee has been dealing, and my Rays vs. Guardians predictions expect Cleveland to even the series.
Read on for my MLB picks for Tuesday, April 28.
Who will win Rays vs Guardians today: Guardians (-130)
Tanner Bibee has allowed just two earned runs over his last 12 innings and is pitching his way back into form.
The Cleveland Guardians bullpen ranks 16th in baseball with a 3.88 xERA, giving them a more reliable bridge in the back end.
Tampa Bay Rays starter Nick Martinez is dealing, but he carries a 4.67 xERA with a 10th percentile whiff rate, meaning his strong ERA is living on borrowed time.
Neither pen is an absolute, but Cleveland's is clearly the lesser evil. Back the Guardians to bounce back at home.
COVERS INTEL: Martinez boasts a 2.10 ERA, but his 4.65 xERA and 4.47 xFIP suggest his stats are a mirage. 
Rays vs Guardians Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (+102)
We should see some offense tonight at Progressive Field.
Bibee has surrendered five home runs in 30 innings this season, and Tampa's contact-heavy lineup strikes out the least of any team in baseball, meaning balls will be in play all night.
Martinez has a 17.5% whiff rate and a 4.67 xERA, suggesting runs are coming his way, too.
Tampa's bullpen also cannot be trusted, as it ranks 28th in baseball with a 5.44 xERA.
- ML/RL bets: 4-7, -2.20 units
- Over/Under bets: 5-5, -0.16 units
Rays vs Guardians odds
- Moneyline: Rays +122 | Guardians -127
- Run line: Rays +1.5 (-170) | Guardians -1.5 (+163)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-100) | Under 7.5 (-104)
Rays vs Guardians trend
Cleveland has beaten Tampa Bay in seven of their previous 10 meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Guardians.
How to watch Rays vs Guardians and game info
| Location | Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH |
| Date | Tuesday, April 28, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Rays.TV, CleGuardians.TV |
| Rays starting pitcher | Nick Martinez (1-1, 2.10 ERA) |
| Guardians starting pitcher | Tanner Bibee (0-3, 4.45 ERA) |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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