Kazuma Okamoto has been swinging the hottest bat in the Toronto Blue Jays lineup, and I’m expecting another productive night at the plate for the star slugger tonight against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Read on to see why with my Rays vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB Picks on Monday, May 11.
Rays vs Blue Jays predictions
Rays vs Blue Jays best bet: Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 total bases (+110)
Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Kazuma Okamoto is finally swinging the bat with consistency, and I expect that to continue tonight against Tampa Bay Rays starter Drew Rasmussen.
He’s gone Over tonight’s posted total of 1.5 bases in six of his last 10 games, averaging 2.9 bases per game in that stretch.
Included in this span of games is a May 5 outing against Rasmussen, where he went 1-for-3 with a home run.
Rasmussen throws a lot of four-seam fastballs to right-handers, and Okamoto has handled them extremely well this season.
He owns a .321 average against the pitch, with a .643 slug and a 67.8% hard-hit rate, with nine of his 13 XBH.
COVERS INTEL: Rasmussen ranks in the 22nd percentile in barrel rate allowed, while Okamoto is in the 92nd percentile with a 16% barrel rate.
Rays vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
Daulton Varsho has recorded a hit in eight of his last 10 games. He’s hitting .316 in that stretch, including a 1-for-3 outing against Rasmussen on May 5. I’ll add Over 0.5 hits for Varsho to tonight’s SGP
For the final leg of the SGP, I’m taking Kevin Gausman to go Under his 2.5 earned runs line. He held the Rays to just two runs in his last outing and is 3-1 to the Under across his last four starts.
Angels vs Blue Jays SGP
- Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 total bases
- Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 hits
- Kevin Gausman Under 2.5 earned runs
Rays vs Blue Jays home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+300)
Okamoto leads the team with 10 home runs this season.
One of those homers came off Rays starter Rasmussen back on May 5.
It’s a good matchup for Okamoto, who hits the four-seamer extremely well, which is Rasmussen’s most used pitch, with a .643 slug-rate and a 67% hard-hit rate.
He also barrels the ball well, and Rasmussen has allowed a lot of barreled hits this season.
If Okamoto gets a fastball in the zone, he could launch it into the seats again, as he’s done many times over the past couple of weeks.
- Best bets: 17-22, -1.15 units
- SGPs: 8-31, +2.7 units
- HR picks: 8-31, +8.15 units
Rays vs Blue Jays odds
- Moneyline: Rays +1.5 (-190) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+160)
- Run line: Rays +110 | Blue Jays -130
- Over/Under: Over 7 (-125) | Under 7 (+105)
Rays vs Blue Jays trend
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Rays vs Blue Jays and game info
| Location | Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Monday, May 11, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:07 p.m. ET |
| TV | Network |
| Rays starting pitcher | Shane McClanahan (4-2, 2.60 ERA) |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Kevin Gausman (2-2, 3.09 ERA) |
Rays vs Blue Jays latest injuries
Rays vs Blue Jays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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