Another busy Saturday in the Majors means value in my MLB player props analysis.
Tonight's picks include Jake Bennett, Chase Burns, and the red-hot Pete Crow-Armstrong.
Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, August 8.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Jake Bennett |
Over 4.5 strikeouts | -137 |
 Chase Burns |
Under 2.5 earned runs | -160 |
 Pete Crow-Armstrong |
Over 1.5 total bases | -139 |
Jake Bennett Over 4.5 strikeouts (-137)
Left-hander Jake Bennett takes the mound tonight for the Boston Red Sox. He's struck out six hitters per nine innings across his last two outings, and this matchup is a clear opportunity to rack up Ks.
The Athletics are in horrible offensive form, posting a 61 wRC+ in the last week and carrying a 25.2% strikeout rate. They're also 24th in the Majors in team punchouts, and have struck out 9.67 times per contest across their previous three contests.
Bennett should miss his fair share of bats here.
I'll play this pick up to -150.
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBC Bay Area, NESN
Chase Burns Under 2.5 earned runs (-160)
Chase Burns has been lights out lately for the Cincinnati Reds. The right-hander owns a 1.13 ERA and 2.84 FIP over his last three starts, allowing just 0.56 HR/9. Burns has also cashed the Under in earned runs allowed in three consecutive outings.
The Washington Nationals are a solid offensive team, but Burns is facing them at a great time. The Nats have a 72 wRC+ over their previous seven games.
For what it's worth, Burns already carved up Washington this season, tossing six scoreless frames in May.
I know the price isn't great, but it's a great bet. I'll play this pick up to -170.
- Time: 6:45 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NATS.TV, Reds.TV
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 total bases (-139)
Pete Crow-Armstrong is arguably the hottest hitter in baseball right now. The Chicago Cubs star has a .400 average and .360 ISO over his last seven games while also slugging .760.
PCA has easily cashed the Over in total bases in three of his previous four appearances, and he'll face the vulnerable Seth Lugo tonight. The veteran righty has a 4.96 xERA over his last five outings while surrendering a 45.7% hard-hit rate.
Crow-Armstrong's 58.8% hard-hit rate and 17.6% barrel rate in the last week are impossible to overlook here. Plus, the Royals' pen is struggling, posting a 5.80 FIP over its last 24 innings.
I'll play this pick up to -150.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Marquee Sports Network, Royals.TV
- Prop picks: 5-1, +4.10
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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