MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

BOS @

BAL Sat, Apr 25 • 12:05 PM ET

3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)

Best Odds

o0.5 +440

Pick made: 34 minutes ago

o0.5 +439

o0.5 +440

o0.5 +425

It's well known that O'Neill has big-time power, and he can go deep at any given moment. He’ll face his former team today in the Boston Red Sox, with Garret Crochet on the mound. Crochet has struggled. He owns a horrible 7.88 ERA through five starts, allowing five bombs in the process. Three of them have come on the road, and the Red Sox visit the Baltimore Orioles. O’Neill is 1-for-5 lifetime off the lefty with a homer.

Total

o8.0 (-105)

Best Odds

o7.5 -104

Pick made: 6 hours ago

o7.5 -108

o7.5 -110

o7.5 -104

o7.5 -110

o7.5 -105

Starting pitchers Garrett Crochey and Trevor Rodgers have each lost their last two starts.

View 13 Picks

SEA @

STL Sat, Apr 25 • 2:15 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)

Best Odds

o0.5 +600

Pick made: 33 minutes ago

o0.5 +483

o0.5 +550

o0.5 +440

o0.5 +600

o0.5 +475

o0.5 +460

Arozarena is 2-for-5 lifetime against Liberatore with a home run, and he’s 3-for-7 across his last two games with a pair of doubles. Arozarena is also batting .364 against left-handed pitchers, and .314 on the road. Liberatore has allowed three homers at Busch Stadium.

Hits

Randy Arozarena o1.5 Hits (+210)

Best Odds

o1.5 +270

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o1.5 +238

o1.5 +240

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +270

o1.5 +205

o1.5 +225

Randy Arozarena dhas hits in 10 of his last 13 games. Of those, six have been multi-hit efforts.

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CLE @

TOR Sat, Apr 25 • 3:07 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Kevin Gausman o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+126)

Best Odds

o5.5 +116

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o5.5 +103

o5.5 -105

o5.5 +116

o5.5 -105

o5.5 +106

o5.5 +105

Kevin Gausman has struck out at least six in each of his last two starts vs Cleveland

Total Hits

Myles Straw u0.5 Total Hits (+114)

Projection 0.56

Best Odds

u0.5 +114

Pick made: 22 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +114

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +100

u0.5 +105

Myles Straw is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. The #7 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Myles Straw has exhibited some bad exit velocity stats lately, averaging just 85.2-mph on his flyballs over the past week.. Myles Straw's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 107.2 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile.

+114 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

MIA @

SF Sat, Apr 25 • 4:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Stowers u1.5 Total Bases (-200)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

u1.5 -200

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -200

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. The league's highest fence height (on average) can be found at Oracle Park.. Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate today at 56°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Kyle Stowers meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.

-200 at bet365

Total Bases

Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.73

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +125

When it comes to his batting average ability, Otto Lopez is projected as the 17th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Oracle Park grades out as the #4 venue in the game for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game.

+140 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

MIN @

TB Sat, Apr 25 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Richie Palacios u0.5 Total Hits (+108)

Projection 0.6

Best Odds

u0.5 +108

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +108

u0.5 -105

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +108

u0.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Richie Palacios is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game.. 55% of the time that Richie Palacios has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 park in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Richie Palacios has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

+108 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Projection 2.2

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -103

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -125

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +110

When assessing his home run talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.

+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

WAS @

CHW Sat, Apr 25 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+175)

Projection 0.77

Best Odds

u0.5 +175

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +175

u0.5 +115

u0.5 +132

u0.5 +130

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games today at 51°.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Munetaka Murakami's true offensive talent to be a .351, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .061 disparity between that mark and his actual .412 wOBA.

+175 at bet365

Total Hits

Daylen Lile u0.5 Total Hits (+172)

Projection 0.82

Best Odds

u0.5 +180

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +172

u0.5 +180

u0.5 +145

u0.5 +167

u0.5 +165

Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games today at 51°.. Noah Schultz will have the handedness advantage over Daylen Lile in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Schultz's large platoon split.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Daylen Lile today.. Daylen Lile's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91.8-mph EV last season has decreased to 88.9-mph.

+180 at bet365

View 10 Picks

COL @

NYM Sat, Apr 25 • 4:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Mark Vientos u0.5 Total Hits (+160)

Projection 0.77

Best Odds

u0.5 +160

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +153

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +135

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the coldest temperature of all games on the slate today at 45°.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.7°, Mark Vientos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.5°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Mark Vientos has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 20th percentile with a 3.78 K/BB rate.

+160 at bet365

Total Hits

Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (+182)

Projection 0.87

Best Odds

u0.5 +182

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +166

u0.5 +182

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +165

Citi Field ranks as the #29 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the coldest temperature of all games on the slate today at 45°.. Batting from the same side that Jose Quintana throws from, Juan Soto encounters a tough challenge today.. Juan Soto has struggled with his Barrel%; his 18% rate last season has decreased to 11.1% this year.

+182 at bet365

View 10 Picks

SD @

AZ Sat, Apr 25 • 6:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 2.14

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 15 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -107

o1.5 +120

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -108

o1.5 -115

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game.. Jake Cronenworth has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 5.5% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last week.

+120 at bet365

Total Bases

Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (-135)

Projection 2.84

Best Odds

o1.5 -125

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -161

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -189

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.2) implies that Manny Machado has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 22.3 actual HR/600.. Manny Machado has compiled a .348 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

-125 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

ATH @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Sat, Apr 25 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Andy Ibanez u0.5 Total Hits (+131)

Projection 0.7

Best Odds

u0.5 +140

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +131

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +130

u0.5 +125

u0.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Ibanez in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #1 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Andy Ibanez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Andy Ibanez's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 27.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.47 ft/sec now.

+140 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Hits

Sam Haggerty u0.5 Total Hits (+104)

Projection 0.54

Best Odds

u0.5 +105

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +104

u0.5 -115

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +102

u0.5 +100

Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.. Sam Haggerty's 2.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.. Sam Haggerty and his 4.1° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 9th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

+105 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

PIT @

MIL Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+165)

Projection 1.63

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +143

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +160

Oneil Cruz projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

+165 at bet365

Total Bases

Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+175)

Projection 1.53

Best Odds

o1.5 +175

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +144

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 9th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Among all parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

+175 at bet365

View 10 Picks

NYY @

HOU Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+290)

Best Odds

o0.5 +320

Pick made: 32 minutes ago

o0.5 +281

o0.5 +320

o0.5 +285

o0.5 +275

o0.5 +280

Alvarez is raking, going 7-for-12 across his last three contests. He’s left the yard four times across his previous seven appearances as well. The Astros star faces Ryan Weathers of the New York Yankees tonight. While he’s never faced him before, Weathers has surrendered four bombs in five outings. Alvarez also destroys lefties, hitting .424 with five home runs, and he has an MLB-best 11 bombs.

Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+100)

Projection 2.34

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -107

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +100

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Over the last 14 days, Aaron Judge has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 25.9% to 32.1%.

+100 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

LAA @

KC Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+150)

Projection 0.77

Best Odds

u0.5 +150

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +142

u0.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Michael Massey is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Today, Michael Massey is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (95th percentile).. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.201) implies that Michael Massey has been lucky since the start of last season with his .244 actual batting average.. Posting a .257 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Michael Massey has performed in the 4th percentile.

+150 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Bryce Teodosio u0.5 Total Hits (-120)

Projection 0.48

Best Odds

u0.5 -120

Pick made: 36 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 -132

u0.5 -135

u0.5 -155

u0.5 -145

u0.5 -120

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Bryce Teodosio ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Bryce Teodosio is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today's game.. Since the start of last season, Bryce Teodosio has been pulled from the game early in 42% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.. Bryce Teodosio has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team on the slate today.

-120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

DET @

CIN Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+122)

Projection 2.05

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 40 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +130

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 stadium in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 2.12

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +102

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart as the 15th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 ballpark in MLB for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.

+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

CHC @

LAD Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Kyle Tucker u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.84

Best Odds

u0.5 +170

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +138

u0.5 +170

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +141

u0.5 +150

The #9 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup expects the 4th-lowest temperature on the slate at 59°.. Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 8th-deepest RF fences today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams playing today.. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#2-best on the slate).

+170 at bet365

Total Hits

Will Smith u0.5 Total Hits (+190)

Projection 0.92

Best Odds

u0.5 +190

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +186

u0.5 +190

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +173

u0.5 +160

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #22 field in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this matchup expects the 4th-lowest temperature on the slate at 59°.. Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Will Smith will have a tough matchup today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams playing today.. Will Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 3.2% in the past two weeks.

+190 at bet365

View 10 Picks

PHI @

ATL Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +135

Ronald Acuna Jr has hits in 14 of his last 17, grabbing at least two total bases in seven of them.

Total Hits

Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+155)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

u0.5 +155

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +147

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +145

u0.5 +155

Matt Olson has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team in action today.. Matt Olson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 39.4% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.. Matt Olson has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .274 rate is inflated compared to his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

+155 at bet365

View 11 Picks

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