The Detroit Tigers have won five consecutive games and eight of their last 10.
Trading as -125 favorites, the market believes they're likely to extend their winning streak.
I feel the same way, which is reflected in my Phillies vs. Tigers predictions and MLB picks for Friday, July 10.
Who will win Phillies vs Tigers today: Detroit Tigers (-125)
Jack Flaherty has looked excellent since returning to the rotation for the Detroit Tigers. He pitched at least five innings of shutout ball in both starts while posting FIPs of 1.31 and 1.88.
Philadelphia Phillies righty Aaron Nola is unlikely to match Flaherty’s performance. He recorded FIPs of 6.51 or higher in four of his past five starts and has allowed at least two earned runs in 16 of 18 this season.
The Tigers rank third in ISO against right-handed pitching over the past month, and their power should come to light facing Nola.
Back Detroit to -135.
COVERS INTEL: Aaron Nola ranks in the second percentile in Pitcher Run Value.
Phillies vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Over 9.0 (-105)
Nola has pitched four times against teams that ranked Top-10 vs. RHP in ISO and xwOBA over 10 games heading into the matchup. He allowed run totals of six, five, three, and seven, posting a 10.50 ERA and conceding 3.0 homers per nine innings.
He has gotten torn apart by in-form offenses featuring power, and the Tigers fit the bill.
Flaherty has pitched well since returning, but he’ll have his hands full against the Phillies, who rank fifth in average and sixth in OPS vs. righties over the last 30 days.
Bet the Over to -115.
- ML/RL bets: 54-44, +0.65 units
- Over/Under bets: 53-41-4, +7.04 units
Phillies vs Tigers weather
Temperatures in the mid 70s are expected with winds blowing east. Small boost to the bats.
Phillies vs Tigers odds
- Moneyline: Phillies +105 | Tigers -125
- Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-180) | Tigers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under: Over 9.0 (-105) | Under 9.0 (-115)
Phillies vs Tigers trend
Detroit has won eight of its last nine games. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Tigers.
How to watch Phillies vs Tigers and game info
| Location | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Friday, July 10, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports Philadelphia, Detroit SportsNet |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Aaron Nola (3-6, 5.87 ERA) |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Jack Flaherty (2-8, 4.60 ERA) |
Phillies vs Tigers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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