Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

Kyle Schwarber has often been the catalyst for the Phillies and with a good matchup tonight vs. Freddy Peralta, our MLB picks believe the big DH will rack up the total bases.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Sep 18, 2024 • 13:17 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Kyle Schwarber Philadelphia Phillies MLB
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The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers face off in the rubber match of their three-game series on Wednesday night at American Family Field.

With little to choose between the two sides, our Phillies vs. Brewers predictions focus on Kyle Schwarber's hot bat. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Wednesday, September 18th.

Phillies vs Brewers prediction

My best bet
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Bases (-135 via BetMGM)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis

Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber is a boom-or-bust bat out of the leadoff spot, but he’s been picking up his average this season. The career .230 hitter is batting .251 this season, including .255 in the second half and .364 (20 for 55) through 14 games in September.

Schwarber only had one hit in the Phillies’ previous series against the Mets but he’s 4 for 9 so far against Milwaukee. He’s had two hits in each game of the series thus far with a RBI in each contest.

That’s been how the season has gone for Schwarber, who has recorded a hit in most games this season. He has a hit in 87 of 139 games (62.58%) which is a bit better than the 57.45% implied probability of these -135 odds.

Furthermore, Schwarber has had success against Milwaukee Brewers starter Freddy Peralta. He’s 3 for 11 with two home runs and a double against the Brewers righty.

Make sure you shop around and compare the odds between Schwarber getting a hit and Schwarber Over 0.5 bases.

Phillies vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)

Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 bases

Phillies moneyline

Under 7.5

It should be a pitchers’ duel in Milwaukee with Aaron Nola facing off against Peralta. Nola has been a bit shaky at times this season but is still 12-8 with a 3.62 ERA.

The Phillies are slight underdogs in this game and we’re looking to take advantage. Philadelphia is 4-1 against Milwaukee so far this season with all four wins going Under 6.5 let alone 7.5.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Phillies vs Brewers odds

Phillies vs Brewers live odds

Phillies vs Brewers opening odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia -108 | Milwaukee -108
  • Run line: Philadelphia +1.5 (-210) | Milwaukee -1.5 (+175)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Phillies vs Brewers moneyline and Over/Under analysis

  • The Philadelphia Phillies odds opened at -108 and have gotten to as high as +104 as of Wednesday afternoon.
  • The Milwaukee Brewers are between -115 and -121 favorites after opening at -108.
  • The total is set at 7.5 across the board with Over 7.5 (-108) and Under 7.5 (-105) at different books.

Phillies vs Brewers trend

The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 23% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Brewers.

Phillies vs Brewers game info

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Wednesday, 9-18-2024
First pitch: 7:40 p.m. ET
TV: NBCS-PHI, Bally Wisconsin
Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
(12-7, 3.41 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
(10-8, 3.81 ERA)

Phillies vs Brewers latest injuries

Phillies vs Brewers weather

Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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