Padres vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for NL Wild Card Game 2 — Wednesday, October 1

Parker's prediction: Dylan Cease's recent struggles will continue against the Cubs tonight.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Oct 1, 2025 • 13:28 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Oct 01 • 3:08 PM ET
CHC
44 %
SD
56 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Chi. Cubs -115 Chi. Cubs -115
See Today's Picks
San Diego Padres MLB Dylan Cease
Photo By - Imagn Images. San Diego Padres starting pitcher Dylan Cease (84) reacts after walking a batter.

The Chicago Cubs took Game 1 of their NL Wild Card series against the San Diego Padres, and the two clubs return to Wrigley Field for Game 2 tonight.

Don’t be surprised to see another low-scoring result with the wind blowing in at Wrigley this afternoon, and my Padres vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks are calling the North Siders to punch their ticket to the NLDS.

Padres vs Cubs Game 2 predictions

Who will win Padres vs Cubs Game 2?

The Cubs send the better lineup to the dish, and Padres righty Dylan Cease has struggled on the highway. Even with a slow second half, Chicago finished the season with an eighth-ranked wOBA and fifth-ranked ISO against righties, after all.

Padres vs Cubs best bet

Cubs moneyline (-115)

The Chicago Cubs are turning to Andrew Kittredge as an opener in Game 2, with Shota Imanaga penciled in to pitch the bulk of the ball game. 

Imanaga has posted a monster 7.20 ERA in the first inning with 20 of his 62 total runs coming in the opening frame this season, so it’s hard to imagine the shake up being anything but a help for the lefty.

Of course, the San Diego Padres don’t pack a powerful lineup, either. The Friars finished the regular season ranked 18th in wOBA and 23rd in ISO against lefties.

As long as Imanga keeps the ball in the yard, the Padres will have difficulty putting crooked numbers on the board.

San Diego righty Dylan Cease has also struggled away from Petco Park this season with his 5.58 road ERA well above his 3.61 home mark.

The Chicago lineup is also back to full strength with Kyle Tucker returning to action, and even with a quiet second half up and down the lineup, the Cubbies finished the season with an eighth-ranked wOBA and fifth-ranked ISO against right-handed pitchers. 

Padres vs Cubs Game 2 same-game parlay (SGP)

The Padres and Cubs combined for just four runs in the series opener, and I’m not anticipating a lot of offense in Game 2, either.

Both teams have trended to the Under, too. San Diego has played to the Under in 85 of their last 151 games (+15.20 Units / 9% ROI), and Chicago has gone Under the number in 60 of their last 110 games (+12.95 Units / 11% ROI).

Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, San Diego third baseman Manny Machado has posted a rock-solid .270 batting average against lefties over the past three years. He also picked up a hit in nine of the final 12 regular season games with a .304 batting average before going 0-for-3 in Game 1 on Tuesday.

Padres vs Cubs SGP

  • Cubs moneyline
  • Under 6.5
  • Manny Machado Over 0.5 hits

Padres vs Cubs home run pick for Game 2

Manny Machado (+420)

With Imanaga likely to pitch the bulk of Wednesday’s game, I’m eyeing Machado to leave the yard.

Imanaga has surrendered at least one home run in each of his past nine starts for a monster 2.4 HR/9, and in addition to the already highlighted success Machado has had against southpaws, he’s also posted a solid .246 ISO with 12 home runs against them this season.

Padres vs Cubs Game 2 odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego +100 | Chicago -120
  • Run line: San Diego +1.5 | Chicago -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

Padres vs Cubs trend

The Padres have hit the team total Under in 47 of their last 78 away games for +11.25 units and a 12% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Padres vs. Cubs.

How to watch Padres vs Cubs and Game 2 info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Wednesday, October 1, 2025
First pitch 3:08 p.m. ET
TV ESPN
Padres starting pitcher Dylan Cease
(8-12, 4.55 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Andrew Kittredge
(4-3, 3.40 ERA)

Padres vs Cubs latest injuries

Padres vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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