There is a 14-game slate across MLB tonight, and that means lots of opportunities for baseballs to leave the yard.
Shohei Ohtani will start seeing better results for his efforts as he steps in against San Diego Padres starter Michael King. He joins Corbin Carroll and Drake Baldwin to round out our MLB home run predictions.
Keep reading for my MLB picks for Monday, May 18.
- UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player to hit a HR | Odds |
|---|---|
 Corbin Carroll |
+620 |
 Drake Baldwin |
+434 |
 Shohei Ohtani |
+304 |
| 💲Today's HR parlay | +15432 |
Home run pick: Corbin Carroll (+620)
Corbin Carroll has been red-hot lately. He's batting .421 over the last seven days, and he just smoked two home runs in the series finale against the Colorado Rockies on Sunday. While Carroll only has seven bombs overall this season, he's clubbed three this month, and tonight's matchup is an intriguing one for the outfielder.
The San Francisco Giants send Robbie Ray to the hill, who is HR-prone at times. He's already given up 10 long balls in 2026. Although he only has one homer versus southpaws, Carroll is batting .414 vs left-handed hurlers.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSBA, DBACKS.TV
Home run pick: Drake Baldwin (+434)
Drake Baldwin is emerging as one of the top power-hitting catchers in the big leagues. The 25-year-old is hitting .301 with 13 home runs, which ranks eighth overall across the Majors. Baldwin has smacked three bombs across his previous five games, and he also has four hits in his last three appearances.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road tonight to take on the Miami Marlins, and Baldwin has cracked seven HRs away from home. He's just 1-for-5 lifetime against Max Meyer, but the righty just gave up two long balls in his last outing.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Braves.Vision, Marlins.TV
Home run pick: Shohei Ohtani (+304)
Shohei Ohtani is off to a bit of a slow start at the plate, hitting only .258 with seven home runs. But there are signs of him heating up. Ohtani has five hits and seven RBI across his last two games, finishing 3-for-5 on Sunday, and 2-for-4 on Saturday with a double and a triple. He's jumping on everything at the moment.
Ohtani will be licking his chops ahead of tonight's matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers take on the San Diego Padres, who hand Michael King the ball. That's a welcome sight for Ohtani, who is 6-for-14 lifetime against him with three bombs.
And in spite of the underwhelming results (for him), Ohtani ranks in the 90th percentile or better in barrel rate, average exit velocity, and expected slugging.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SportsNet LA, PadresTV
- HR picks: 6-36, -5.08 units
Today’s HR parlay
| Corbin Carroll |
Bet Now +15432 |
| Drake Baldwin |
|
| Shohei Ohtani |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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