Mariners vs Mets Prediction, Picks & Odds — Saturday, August 16

Scimia's prediction: With Nolan McLean making his MLB debut and Bryan Woo on the mound for the Mariners, this matchup sets up to be a low-scoring affair.

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Aug 16, 2025 • 12:53 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 28 mins
NYM
45 %
SEA
55 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u8.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Bryan Woo Seattle Mariners MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Bryan Woo (22) reacts to the final out.

The New York Mets will turn to a pitcher making his MLB debut in an effort to turn things around as they host the Seattle Mariners on Saturday afternoon.

Nolan McLean looks like the real deal, and I’m taking him to combine with Bryan Woo to hit the Under today in my Mariners vs. Mets predictions.

Read on to learn more about McLean and see the best bets for this game in my free MLB picks for Saturday, August 16.

Mariners vs Mets prediction

Mariners vs Mets best bet: Under 8.5 (-110)

Nolan McLean will make his debut for the New York Mets on Sunday after spending the last three years as one of the more intriguing prospects in the majors.

Initially, McLean tried to make it as an Ohtani-style two-way player, but despite his prodigious power, he gave up on hitting due to his high strikeout rate.

But he proved to be a much better pitcher. McLean has an elite spin rate, throwing a curveball, cutter, sweeper and slider all effectively and with tremendous break.

In 2025, he is 8-5 with a 2.45 ERA in 113.2 combined innings at the Double-A and Triple-A levels, and has struck out 127 batters in that time.

Debut pitchers often give MLB lineups the fits, and McLean’s talents would appear to be hard to deal with before seeing him throw once or twice. I’m expecting him to have at least a solid start to his career today against the Seattle Mariners.

Seattle is tossing an excellent starter as well in Bryan Woo, who is 10-6 with a 3.08 ERA and sterling 0.952 WHIP on the season. We should be in for a great pitchers duel at Citi Field today, and I’m taking the Under.

Mariners vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)

I’m expecting both pitchers to show off their stuff today, and while I focused on McLean’s debut, that includes Woo as well.

I’m taking Woo to hit the Over on his strikeout total, as he has struck out at least six batters in nine of his last 10 starts.

I’m also throwing in a bet on the Mets to (finally) get a win behind McLean.

Mariners vs Mets odds

  • Moneyline: Seattle -115 | New York -105
  • Run line: Seattle -1.5 (+143) | New York +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)

Mariners vs Mets trend

Nolan McLean allowed two runs or less in 12 of his last 14 starts at the Triple-A level. Find more MLB betting trends for Mariners vs. Mets.

How to watch Mariners vs Mets and game info

Location Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
Date Saturday, August 16, 2025
First pitch 4:10 p.m. ET
TV RSNW, WPIX
Mariners starting pitcher Bryan Woo
(10-6, 3.08 ERA)
Mets starting pitcher Nolan McLean
(0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Mariners vs Mets latest injuries

Mariners vs Mets weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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