There is a full 15-game MLB slate on the final day of the regular season, with plenty of MLB player props to choose from.
I have compiled my three best home run props for Sunday, September 28, and leading off my free MLB home run picks for today is Aaron Judge.
Best MLB home run props today
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Judge (+173) - Stanton (+235)
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Tovar (+1100) - 💲 +9980 parlay💲
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HR Prop #1: Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge remains the betting favorite in a tight race for American League MVP, and he will look to close out the deal in the season finale.
He certainly could do just that, considering Judge has hit four homers over the past four games. This success is likely to continue against right-hander Kyle Bradish, who gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles.
Despite a limited sample size, Bradish has had success this season. However, he has struggled with hard contact, as he ranks in the bottom half of the league in average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.
HR Prop #2: Giancarlo Stanton
Another New York Yankees hitter to consider Sunday is Giancarlo Stanton. Like Judge, Stanton enters this contest in excellent form, with three home runs over the past two games.
He boasts a 1.857 SLG and 2.482 OPS over that stretch. While it’s a small sample size, Stanton has also fared well in his limited appearances against Bradish.
Through three plate appearances against the right-hander, Stanton sports a 1.000 SLG and .846 xSLG.
HR Prop #3: Ezequiel Tovar
Right-hander Logan Webb takes the mound for the San Francisco Giants, and while he has put together yet another strong season, he has struggled with hard contact.
This year, Webb ranks in the bottom half of the league in average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate. A strong candidate to take a flier on to homer against Webb is Colorado’s Ezequiel Tovar.
Not only did Tovar homer in the opening matchup of this three-game series, but he also possesses a strong track record against Webb. Through 18 plate appearances against the right-hander, Tovar boasts a .556 slugging percentage and one home run.
Today’s HR parlay
Aaron Judge to hit a home run
Giancarlo Stanton to hit a home run
Ezequiel Tovar to hit a home run
Today’s most popular HR bets
- Aaron Judge, Yankees
- Colson Montgomery, White Sox
- Kyle Schwarber, Phillies
Betting info courtesy of DraftKings
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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