It’s Sunday, and the sluggers are out in full force with a jam-packed MLB schedule.
Read my full MLB player props and MLB picks for Sunday, June 7 below.
- UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player to hit a HR | Odds |
|---|---|
 Shea Langeliers |
+280 |
 Kyle Schwarber |
+200 |
 Willy Adames |
+467 |
| 💲Today's HR parlay | +6363 |
Home run pick: Shea Langeliers (+280)
Not only does Houston Astros starter Mike Burrows rank in the Bottom 3rd percentile for pitching run value, but he’s also tied for second last in home runs allowed per nine innings (2.0).
The right-hander has surrendered multiple home runs in three of his last four starts and won’t have much support from his bullpen, which has allowed 40 dingers this year — second most among all clubs.
Shea Langeliers has hit six of his team-leading 16 dingers off the four-seamer, while nine of the 15 homers Burrows has allowed came off that pitch. I’ll play this up to +260.
- Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCS-California, Space City Home Network
Home run pick: Kyle Schwarber (+200)
Kyle Schwarber is in the 100th percentile in barrel rate and 97th percentile in bat speed, so it’s no surprise that the Philadelphia Phillies slugger is up to 23 homers.
Schwarber is seeing the sinker well, batting .364 with four dingers vs. that pitch type. That works out well for him this afternoon against Chicago White Sox starter Tyler Gilbert, who throws his sinker 37% of the time.
The White Sox pen will also be easy pickings for Schwarber, having allowed 34 homers this year — tied for sixth most.
- Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCS-Philadelphia, Chicago Sports Network
Home run pick: Willy Adames (+467)
Jameson Taillon has had a disastrous start to his season for the Chicago Cubs, ranking dead last among all starters with 2.7 home runs allowed per nine innings.
Taillon’s barrel rate ranks among the Bottom 2nd percentile in the majors — a big reason why he’s allowed nine dingers in his last four starts.
It’ll be a good matchup for Willy Adames, who feasts on the four-seamer. The San Francisco Giants shortstop has hit seven of his 11 dingers off the four-seamer, and that’s Taillon’s most common pitch (29%).
Play this prop up to +420 tonight.
- Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBC/Peacock
- HR picks: 7-19, +4.87 units
Today’s HR parlay
| Shea Langeliers |
Bet Now +6363 |
| Kyle Schwarber |
|
| Willy Adames |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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