Giants vs Dodgers Picks and Predictions: Giants Tower, Even as Dogs

Baseball's best record clashes with the former champs for a two-game set to kicks off this week. While L.A. sends their ace to the mound, are they the best MLB betting value? Find out with our Giants vs. Dodgers picks.

Jun 28, 2021 • 13:40 ET • 4 min read
Anthony DeSclafani MLB San Francisco Giants
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The MLB betting board for Monday has 13 games, headlined by an NL West showdown between the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Giants have the best record in the majors but are +155 road underdogs against the defending World Series champions tonight for the first contest in a short two-game set at Dodger Stadium.

Here are our best free Giants vs. Dodgers picks and predictions for June 28, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. 

Giants vs Dodgers game info

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Monday, June 28, 2021
Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
TV: SportsNet LA, NBCS BA

Giants vs Dodgers odds

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MLB sharp money and line movement report

By Patrick Everson

In a big series between these NL West rivals, the Dodgers opened -188 for Game 1 and as of 7 p.m. ET are down to -167 at TwinSpires Sportsbook. Ticket count and money are both in the 2/1 range on the Giants. "The Giants are a trendy 'dog tonight," TwinSpires trading analyst Zachary Lucas said. The total moved from 7.5 to 8.5, and it's now 8 (Over -120), with 77 percent of bets/70 percent of cash on the Over.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Giants vs Dodgers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Anthony DeSclafani (8-2, 2.77 ERA): The veteran is having a banner debut season in San Fran, pitching to a 1.00 WHIP with an opponent batting average of .199 in 15 starts.

He's coming off an excellent outing against the Angels, where he allowed three hits and struck out nine batters in seven innings of shutout ball. 

Trevor Bauer (7-5, 2.57 ERA): Last year's NL Cy Young Award winner has hit a bit of a rough patch over the last month. While Bauer's season-long numbers are still impressive, he has struggled with his control lately. And with the league cracking down on foreign substances used by pitchers, his spin rate has seen a rapid reduction.

In his last start, Bauer fanned 10 batters, but also had four walks and allowed three runs in six innings against the Padres. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Giants: Brandon Belt 1B (Questionable), Evan Longoria 3B (Out).
Dodgers: Corey Seager SS (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 games as an underdog. Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Dodgers.

Moneyline pick

The Giants ended May with three straight wins against the Dodgers in L.A. They are now 20-7 in their last 27 contests and have the best record in the majors (50-27) and a 3.5-game lead on the Dodgers in the NL West. 

The Dodgers are 13-6 in their last 19 games overall and will send ace Trevor Bauer to the mound tonight. However, Bauer hasn't exactly been unhittable lately, with the Dodgers going 2-4 in his last six starts with the right-hander pitching to a 3.55 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over that span. 

It's difficult to tell just how much the umpires' crackdown on the sticky stuff will affect Bauer, and it's tough to trust him 100 percent until we know, especially when he's facing off against one of the hottest hitting teams in the majors. Over the last four weeks, the Giants are second in the majors with an OPS of .810 while plating 5.29 runs per game. 

The Dodgers have an OPS of .751 over that time span, and while they teed off against DeSclafani earlier this year, the Giants starter has still impressed this season. DeSclafani has been on fire this month, allowing just 14 hits and three earned runs through 27 innings across four starts. 

With the Giants going 15-4 in their last 19 away games and going 6-0 in DeSclafani's previous six starts, back them at plus money. 

PREDICTION: ML San Francisco (+155)

Over/Under pick

These teams have been productive at the plate, and there are some question marks about how effective DeSclafani can be against the Dodgers and how Bauer will adjust to the new rules. That said, the total opening at 9 seemed disrespectful to a pair of starters who rank in the Top 20 of the majors in both ERA and WHIP.

While the Over/Under quickly moved down to 8, that still might be a tick too high. Keep in mind that eight of DeSclafani's last 12 starts and nine of Bauer's previous 15 starts have seen a total of 7.5 or lower. 

Even with Bauer's recent shaky play, he has still allowed three runs or fewer in 14 of his last 15 starts, and two runs or fewer in 11 of those contests. And DeSclafani has allowed just one earned run in his last 24 innings pitched. 

The Under is 6-0-2 in the Dodgers' last eight games at home, while the Under has cashed in six of the Giants last seven games on the road. 

PREDICTION: Under 8 (-104)

Giants vs Dodgers betting card

  • ML San Francisco (+155)
  • Under 8 (-104)

Picks made on 6/28/2021 at 1:15 p.m. ET

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