Giants vs Braves Picks and Predictions: San Francisco has the Upper Hand on the Mound

Despite Atlanta's dominance in the month of June, San Francisco is the right play tonight as it sends ace Carlos Rodon to the mound in an attempt to neutralize Atlanta's deep lineup. Read more in our Giants vs. Braves betting picks.

Last Updated: Jun 22, 2022 4:15 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Carlos Rodon San Francisco Giants MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The game of the day in the MLB arguably takes place in Atlanta where the Braves host the San Francisco Giants tonight. The Braves have won 16 of 19 while the Giants have notched wins in eight of their last 11 games.

It’s only appropriate that these National League contenders have split the first two games of this four-game set. Game 3 should be a doozy, as Carlos Rodon toes the rubber against Charlie Morton. Will Atlanta cash as a home favorite, or does San Francisco have value as a road underdog?

Find out in our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Giants vs. Braves on Wednesday, June 22.

Giants vs Braves odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Braves opened this NL showdown as roughly -120 home favorites, and have seen the early action with the line moving to -140. The total has bounced back and forth between 8.5 and the opening number of 9.0, which is where it sits as of Wednesday afternoon.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Giants vs Braves predictions

Picks made on 6/22/2022 at 4:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Best Giants vs Braves bonuses

If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for the 2022 MLB season, here are two of the best bonuses* available:

A) New users at FanDuel can bet $5 and get $200 in free bets — regardless of if your bet wins or loses! Sign Up Now

B) New users can get two risk-free bets up to $2,000 at PointsBet! Sign Up Now

*Eligible USA locations only

Giants vs Braves game info

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Date: Wednesday, June 22, 2022
First pitch: 7:20 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Southeast

Giants vs Braves betting preview

Starting pitchers

Carlos Rodon (6-4, 2.84 ERA): Rodon has enjoyed his first season with the Giants and is seemingly getting even better as the season goes along. The lefty has allowed just three earned runs in the month of June and is currently on a streak of 15 consecutive scoreless innings.

Charlie Morton (4-3, 5.08 ERA): It's been a tough season for Morton. The right-hander had allowed four earned runs in four straight starts prior to his last outing. Luckily for Atlanta, he’s coming off arguably his best start of the season, shutting out the Cubs over seven innings on three hits while striking out nine. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Giants: Brandon Crawford SS (Questionable).
Braves: Ozzie Albies 2B (Out), Tyler Matzek RP (Out), Eddie Rosario OF (Out). 
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Giants are 6-1 in their last seven games versus a team with a winning record while the Braves are 2-8 in their last 10 games when facing a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15. Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Braves

Giants vs Braves picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Braves struck first in this series, with Max Fried out-gunning Logan Webb in a 2-1 pitcher’s duel. Then the Giants responded in a game that was the exact opposite, winning a firework-fueled 12-10 affair. So, what is on tap for Game 3?

Well, the Giants send their best starter to the bump in Carlos Rodon and it will be an interesting matchup. The lefty has looked like an excellent signing for San Francisco. He is pitching to an expected ERA of 2.62, and is limiting opponents to a .226 expected batting average while striking out 11.2 batters per nine innings.

The Braves tend to do well against lefties, ranking second in OPS and third in wRC+, but they have the sixth-worst strikeout rate versus lefties. It will be fascinating to see if Rodon can limit the free-swinging Braves. Plus, Rodon has put on great performances against strong lineups like the Dodgers, Mets, Padres, and Phillies. 

Meanwhile, it hasn’t been as smooth sailing for Braves’ starter Charlie Morton. The right-hander is pitching to a 4.45 expected ERA and is giving up a .259 expected batting average to opponents. While the Giants may not have a flashy lineup, they continue to be solid, ranking ninth in OPS and eighth in wRC+ versus righties.

The Braves have gotten a lot of press for their impressive run and they should, as winning 14 in a row is impressive no matter who you play. That said, the Giants are the first good team they have played since the end of May and the Braves are still just 13-15 against teams greater than .500 this season.

I’m not sure if Atlanta should be the favorite in this game, meaning the value is with the underdog.

Prediction: Giants moneyline (+120 at FanDuel)

Over/Under analysis

When it comes to the total, grabbing the Under 9.0 looks like the smart play at this point. 

Rodon hasn’t given up a run in 15 innings and the Under is 3-1-1 in his last five starts. Even though Morton hasn’t been great, he doesn’t get blown out. He’s only given up more than four earned runs once in 13 starts.

And if Morton does get in trouble, the Braves have the luxury of handing the ball off to one of the best bullpens in baseball. The Braves relievers rank fifth in ERA and opponent batting average, as well as seventh in WHIP.

Go find a total of 9.0 as this game should sneak Under that number.

Prediction: Under 9 (-115 at DraftKings)

Best bet

Speaking of that Braves bullpen, they have a fairly significant edge over their counterparts. San Francisco ranks 18th in ERA and 19th in WHIP.

While I believe the Giants should be favored in this ball game, their bullpen gives me a reason to pause. Let's take them out of the equation and bet on San Fran to have the lead through five innings.

Pick: Giants first five innings moneyline (+110 at FanDuel)

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Giants vs. Braves picks, you could win $76.37 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo