MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions June 22

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 22, 2026 , 12:44 PM ET • 4 min read

Gerrit Cole will help lead the Yanks to victory.

MLB Expert Picks Gerrit Cole
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Gerrit Cole (45) pitches against the Chicago White Sox during the first inning at Yankee Stadium

We've got a 13-game slate for MLB action tonight, and our MLB experts are focusing on star power.

Find out what MLB picks you need to add to your card for Monday, June 22.

MLB expert picks for today

Pick Odds
Neil Parker Neil Parker: Yankees moneyline -116
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne: Dodgers vs. Twins - Over 9.5 -104

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

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Neil Parker's expert pick: Yankees moneyline

Price: 54¢ (-116) at Polymarket

The New York Yankees have found a groove without star Aaron Judge (ribs) and won nine of their past 13 while averaging 5.5 runs per game and ranking ninth in wOBA and sixth in xwOBA.

They’re also second in wOBA for the season against lefties, and Detroit Tigers southpaw Framber Valdez’s 4.47 xERA ranks in the 35th percentile.

Additionally, New York righty Gerrit Cole has allowed two runs or fewer in four of five starts while holding opposing hitters to a pedestrian 30.7% squared-up contact rate and 10.2% blast contact rate.

So, with the Tigers ranking 22nd in xwOBA with the 10th-highest strikeout rate across the past 30 days, I’m confident Cole can hold the Detroit lineup in check enough for a road win at Comerica tonight.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: YES, Detroit SportsNet

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Dodgers vs. Twins Over 9.5

Price: 51¢ (-104) at Polymarket

The Over has been cashing at a high clip for both of these squads lately. The Minnesota Twins surprisingly lead MLB in OPS over the last two weeks, resulting in 10 of their last 13 games clearing the total. The Los Angeles Dodgers aren't far behind, going Over in 10 of their last 14.

Minnesota hitters have also enjoyed plenty of success against Dodgers starter Eric Lauer, combining for a 1.094 OPS in 62 at-bats, while Zebby Matthews is prone to getting lit up — having allowed seven earned runs twice in his last four starts. 

Add in Los Angeles leading MLB in runs per game on the road and a Twins bullpen carrying a 7.36 ERA over the past two weeks, and this one has all the makings of a slugfest.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: TBS

More MLB best bets for today

Pick Odds
Guardians moneyline -116
Read analysis in our Guardians vs. White Sox predictions
Dodgers moneyline -138
Read analysis in our Dodgers vs. Twins predictions
Yankees vs. Tigers Under 8.5 -107
Read analysis in our Yankees vs. Tigers predictions

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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