Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Picks & Odds for This Afternoon's MLB Game

Padres third baseman Manny Machado owns the Dodgers and will break through once again for a big offensive game against southpaw Justin Wrobleski.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jun 11, 2025 • 13:48 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Manny Machado San Diego Padres MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Padres 3B Manny Machado is aging like a fine wine, particularly when he plays against the Dodgers..

San Diego Padres 3B Manny Machado's prowess against the Los Angeles Dodgers has been well documented.

My Dodgers vs. Padres predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, June 11, expect another big game at the dish for the veteran infielder. 

Dodgers vs Padres prediction

My Dodgers vs Padres best bet: Manny Machado Over 1.5 total bases (-110 at bet365)

Los Angeles Dodgers lefty Justin Wrobleski hasn’t fared well in his previous two away starts this season, and he likely won’t today against the big-hitting San Diego Padres.

Wrobleski has allowed 12 earned runs across 11 away frames, mostly because righties slash .324/.366/.432 against him.

That could mean a big day for Padres 3B Manny Machado.  He’s crushing lefties (1.024 OPS) and slashes .324/.367/.647 with 33 hits and nine bombs across 102 lifetime at-bats against LA.  

If Machado doesn’t get to Wrobleski, the Padres slugger can seal the deal against a leaky Dodgers bullpen yielding 52 earned runs with a 29th-best 4.24 xFIP across the last two weeks. 

Machado is riding an eight-game hitting streak and has cleared 2+ total bases in six straight.

Dodgers vs Padres same-game parlay (SGP)

Manny Machado 2+ total bases

Randy Vasquez 3+ strikeouts

Padres moneyline

Randy Vasquez has quality starts in three of six at Petco and has recorded 3+ punchouts in six of seven starts. He should twirl three against a Dodgers lineup with 20 strikeouts in this series.

The Padres are 21-11 SU at Petco. They’ve scored 20 runs in this series with the much fresher bullpen. San Diego should get the win over a .500 Dodgers with an inconsistent starter and gassed bullpen. 

Dodgers vs Padres odds

Dodgers vs Padres live odds

Dodgers vs Padres opening odds

  • Moneyline: Los Angeles -140 | San Diego +120
  • Run line: Los Angeles -1.5 (+110) | San Diego +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+100) | Under 9.5 (-120)

Dodgers vs Padres trend

Manny Machado has cleared 2+ total bases in eight of his previous 10 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Padres.

How to watch Dodgers vs Padres and game info

Location PETCO Park, San Diego, CA
Date Wednesday, 6-11-2025
First pitch 4:10 p.m. ET
TV SNLA, SDPA
Dodgers starting pitcher Jacob Wrobleski
(1-2, 7.20 ERA)
Padres starting pitcher Randy Vasquez
(3-4, 3.70 ERA)

Dodgers vs Padres latest injuries

Dodgers vs Padres weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the tennis betting podcast, This Week in Tennis.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications including SB Nation, FanSided and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. Phil curates the Chip and Charge Tennis Newsletter and pens a weekly tennis column called “10 Things About the ATP Tour," for Passing Shot Productions. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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