Two teams that have been struggling to find wins lately will face off at Citi Field as the New York Mets host the Los Angeles Dodgers in the first game of a Tuesday doubleheader.
The Dodgers (33-22) are riding a surprisingly-long five-game losing streak, but they are still the favorites in the MLB odds over the Mets (22-30), who have won just two of their last nine.
Dodgers vs Mets prediction
My best bet
Dodgers -1.5 (-120 at DraftKings)
My analysis
It’s hard to imagine this Los Angeles Dodgers team losing five games in a row – especially to the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks – but it’s hardly time to panic. The Dodgers still have a 5.5-game lead in the NL West and the second-best run differential in the National League. More importantly for today, they are a much better team than the New York Mets.
New York hasn’t won a series since sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals over two games in early May. Overall, the Mets have gone just 7-16 in May, have an ailing rotation, and haven’t found any consistency in their lineup.
Today, New York will turn the ball over to Tylor Megill, who had been reasonably good in his first two starts of the season. But Megill’s career numbers tell the story of a pitcher who has struggled to be so much as competitive at the MLB level. The 28-year-old has a 4.59 career FIP with a 1.414 WHIP. He has struggled with his control, giving up 3.4 walks per nine innings.
This afternoon, Megill will try to slow down a Dodgers lineup that is scoring 4.91 runs per game this season. The Los Angeles lineup hasn’t been outstanding during the recent losing streak, but the long-term trends are just fine, with Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani both making their cases as the best hitter in baseball for 2024. Ohtani has a 1.024 OPS this season, while Betts isn’t far behind at .974.
The Dodgers will start Tyler Glasnow in the early game today. Glasnow has been enjoying another solid season for Los Angeles, posting a 6-3 record with a 3.09 ERA in his first 11 starts. The 30-year-old leads the major in strikeouts and has held opponents to a 0.910 WHIP. His 2.46 FIP is his best mark since 2019, suggesting that if anything, he has pitched better than his raw numbers suggest.
We can overanalyze how these teams have struggled this past week, but the Dodgers are possibly the best team in baseball, while this stretch is much closer to expectations for the Mets. I expect Los Angeles to snap out of their recent funk against Megill and the Mets and cover the run line this afternoon.
Dodgers vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)
Dodgers -1.5
Over 8.5
Shohei Ohtani to get a hit
The Dodgers offense should have a field day in New York this afternoon. That’s why I’m not only taking Los Angeles to cover the run line, but also parlaying that with the Over in my SGP.
Both teams have trended slightly towards the Over this year, and while the Mets may struggle against Glasnow, the Dodgers should carry most of the total. I’ll also take Shohei Ohtani to get a hit this afternoon, something he’s done in five of his last seven games.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Dodgers vs Mets odds
Dodgers vs Mets live odds
Dodgers vs Mets opening odds
- Run line: Los Angeles -1.5 | New York +1.5
- Moneyline: Los Angeles -205 | New York +177
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
Dodgers vs Mets spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Dodgers opened as -205 favorites for this afternoon’s game. As of Monday morning, the consensus moneyline has dropped to Los Angeles -190, with the Mets available at +162.
- The Mets have lost more than 8.5 units for bettors on the moneyline this year, while the Dodgers have come up short by 7.5 units.
- Today’s total was set at 8.5. However, the consensus Over/Under has since dropped to a flat 8, with the Under posted as a slight favorite. You can find the Over at +100 with the Under at -120.
- The Over has gone 3-0 in the three meetings between the Mets and the Dodgers this season.
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Dodgers vs Mets trend
The Mets are 1-4 in Megill’s last five starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Mets
Dodgers vs Mets game info
| Location: | Citi Field, Flushing, NY |
| Date: | Tuesday, 5-28-2024 |
| First pitch: | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | SportsNet LA, SNY |
| Dodgers starting pitcher: | Tyler Glasnow (6-3, 3.09 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher: | Tylor Megill (0-2, 3.00 ERA) |
Dodgers vs Mets latest injuries
Dodgers vs Mets weather
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