Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 10, 2026 , 08:07 AM ET • 4 min read

Expect the Cardinals to outscore the Mets in a wild one tonight at Citi Field.

MLB

Match starts: 7 hrs
STL
52 %
NYM
48 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
St. Louis +117 St. Louis +117
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Andre Pallante of the St. Louis Cardinals MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Andre Pallante of the St. Louis Cardinals.

The New York Mets will look to even their three-game series tonight when they host the St. Louis Cardinals at Citi Field.

The Mets may be favored, but my Cardinals vs. Mets predictions expect the Cardinals’ bats to boom tonight against Mets starter Austin Warren in a high-scoring affair. 

Read on for my MLB picks for Wednesday, June 10. 

Who will win Cardinals vs Mets today: Cardinals moneyline (+117)

The New York Mets are favored, but the starting pitching advantage rests with the St. Louis Cardinals

The Mets start Austin Warren, a reliever forced into starting duties who struggles with an alarming 13.8% barrel rate and a low 34.5% ground-ball rate

The Cardinals send out Andre Pallante, an elite groundball specialist (51.5% GB%) who limits hard contact. 

St. Louis' patient lineup (.331 OBP) will sit on Warren's heavy sweeper usage, while Pallante generates soft infield contact against aggressive Mets hitters. Play the Cardinals down to +100.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Cardinals' lineup has generated an elite 40.2% hard-hit rate and a lifted 38.8% fly-ball rate over the last 14 days. 

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Cardinals vs Mets Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (+101)

Warren is an extreme flyball pitcher with the wind blowing out to left field, facing a disciplined Cardinals lineup that excels at stringing at-bats together. 

While Pallante is an elite groundball specialist, his high-traffic approach will face a highly motivated Mets offense with a .217 ISO during the last two weeks. 

With both teams dipping into their bullpens early, the pitching environment is ripe for runs. 

New York’s secondary arms feature an elevated 3.20 BB/9 over the last fortnight, guaranteeing late-inning free passes to fuel a high-scoring environment. Play this one to +100.

Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 8-11, -1.14 units
  • Over/Under bets: 7-10, -4.40 units

Cardinals vs Mets odds

  • Moneyline: Cardinals +122 | Mets -127
  • Run line: Cardinals +1.5 (-170) | Mets -1.5 (+163)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+108) | Under 8.5 (-113)

Cardinals vs Mets trend

The Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 39% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cardinals vs. Mets.

How to watch Cardinals vs Mets and game info

Location Citi Field, Queens, NY
Date Wednesday, June 10, 2026
First pitch 7:10 p.m. ET
TV Cardinals.TV, SNY
Cardinals starting pitcher Andre Pallante
(6-4, 3.96 ERA)
Mets starting pitcher Austin Warren
(1-2, 2.01 ERA)

Cardinals vs Mets latest injuries

Cardinals vs Mets weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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