The Atlanta Braves carry a seven-game losing streak into tonight's series opener against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field.
With Chris Sale battling Aaron Civale, my Braves vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks are eyeing the Under on Monday, June 9.
Braves vs Brewers prediction
My Braves vs Brewers best bet: Under 7.5 (-110 at Caesars)
There’s good, there’s dominant, and then there’s Chris Sale.
The 2024 NL Cy Young Award winner is at the peak of his powers, recording a 1.43 ERA across his last eight starts. He’s been remarkably consistent, allowing no more than two earned runs in each of his last nine outings.
Naturally, that’s led to a lot of low-scoring games. The Atlanta Braves have cashed the Under in six of his last seven starts.
The eight-time All-Star boasts impressive underlying numbers, with a 107 Stuff+ and an 89th percentile hard-hit rate.
The Milwaukee Brewers have an 89 wRC+ and .299 wOBA against left-handed pitching on the season, so they don’t stand out as the team to suddenly knock Sale off his lofty perch.
Aaron Civale gets the nod for the home team. He’s allowed no more than two earned runs in any of his three starts since returning to the rotation in May.
The 29-year-old hurler has done a decent job suppressing hard contact, sporting a 7.5% barrel rate to go with a low average exit velocity (86.2 mph).
Atlanta’s lineup has underperformed against right-handed pitchers with an 80 wRC+ (25th) and .285 wOBA (also 25th) across the last 15 days.
Both bullpens are fully stocked after Milwaukee used only two relievers on Sunday, and Atlanta’s relief arms have thrown just 45 pitches since the start of the weekend.
Milwaukee has trended to the Under, cashing in 20 of its last 30 home games. Atlanta is trending in the same direction, playing to the Under in 23 of its last 35 games.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Braves vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)
Under 7.5
Chris Sale 7+ strikeouts
Austin Riley Over 1.5 total bases
Sale has recorded 8+ strikeouts in six of his last seven games while averaging 8.6 per contest. Milwaukee is a bit more difficult to punch out than the average team (20.8% K rate against LHP since May 20), so I’m opting for the alternative line of 7+ strikeouts.
Atlanta 3B Austin Riley has reverse splits (121 wRC+ against RHP) and hits all of Civale’s preferred pitch types well. He’s in superb form, going 7-for-18 with a home run across his last four games.
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Braves vs Brewers odds
Braves vs Brewers live odds
Braves vs Brewers opening odds
- Moneyline: Atlanta -179 | Milwaukee +150
- Run line: Atlanta -1.5 (-105) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
Braves vs Brewers trend
The Braves have cashed the Under in six of Chris Sale’s last seven starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Brewers.
How to watch Braves vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Monday, 6-9-2025 |
| First pitch | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN South, FDSN Wisconsin |
| Braves starting pitcher | Chris Sale (3-4, 2.93 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Aaron Civale (1-1, 5.19 ERA) |
Braves vs Brewers latest injuries
Braves vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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