Blue Jays vs Tigers Picks and Predictions: Stripling & Co. Claim Series Finale

After blowing out Detroit in the series-opener, the Jays' bats fell flat, losing 3-1. Behind a quality start from Ross Stripling and a bounceback performance from the lineup, our MLB picks are expecting the Jays to claim the finale in convincing fashion.

Last Updated: Jun 12, 2022 8:32 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Ross Stripling Toronto Blue Jays MLB
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The Detroit Tigers bounced back on Saturday, beating the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 after getting hammered on Friday, 10-1. 

Now the Tigers will try and get their second win in the three-game series but are facing Ross Stripling, who pitched a shutout his last time out. The Tigers counter with Tarik Skubal, who is equally as hot. 

Who will get the rubber game in this series, the Blue Jays or the Tigers? Find out who we're backing with our free MLB betting picks and predictions for Blue Jays vs Tigers on June 12. 

Blue Jays vs Tigers odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The visiting Blue Jays opened at -145 and have gone up to -149, except for FanDuel, which has them at -143. The Tigers began at +125 but are at +136 at WynnBET.

The total has stayed at 8.5 with the Over at +100 and the Under at -115. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Blue Jays vs Tigers predictions

Picks made on 6/12/2022 at 3:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Blue Jays vs Tigers game info

Location: Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Date: Sunday, June 12, 2022
First pitch: 1:40 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet, Bally Sports

Blue Jays vs Tigers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Ross Stripling (2-1, 3.65 ERA): Stripling began the season as a starter, but after struggling in two starts in May, he was relegated to the bullpen. Now the 32-year-old right-hander is back in the starting rotation because of an elbow injury to Hyun Jin Ryu. In his first outing back as a starter last Monday, Stripling pitched five innings, shutting out the Kansas City Royals and allowing just one hit. 

Tarik Skubal (5-2, 2.33 ERA): The 25-year-old lefty is the lone bright spot on the Tigers’ starting rotation. Skubal is the only starter with a winning record and his ERA is the lowest of the starting staff. Skubal’s last start was last Tuesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He went seven innings, allowing three runs and six hits, and claimed his fifth win.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Blue Jays: Danny Jansen C (Out), Hyun Jin Ryu (Out), Andrew Vasquez RP (Out), Tim Mayza RP (Out), Tayler Saucedo RP (Out)..
Tigers: Robbie Grossman LF (Questionable), Jeimer Candelario 3B (Out), Daz Cameron CF (Out), Jake Rogers C (Out), Jose Cisnero RP (Out), Tyler Alexander RP (Out), Kyle Funkhouser RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Blue Jays are 6-2 in their last eight meetings in Detroit. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Tigers

Blue Jays vs Tigers picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays are fighting to stay in second place in the American League East and can ill-afford to be losing a season series to the Detroit Tigers, who are battling just to stay out of last place in the AL Central. 

The Blue Jays have the offense to take care of the Tigers, which is why Saturday’s loss was such a head-scratcher. Toronto is tied for fifth in batting average at .252, 11th in hits at 481, 14th in RBI at 248, and 14th in runs at 256. 

They are ninth in home runs with 72, led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who has 13. George Springer has 12 and Bo Bichette also has 10. 

The Tigers’ offense is anemic. They are 28th in average at .220, and 30th in hits (405), runs (159), and RBI (154). 

Other than Miguel Cabrera, who is the only Tiger with 100 or more at-bats that is flirting with .300, the team doesn’t have much else. They did get a boost when Victor Reyes returned from injured reserve and had three hits on Saturday. 

Now the Tigers will be facing a motivated Stripling, who is trying to prove that he belongs back full time on the Blue Jays’ starting rotation. 

Prediction: Blue Jays moneyline (-143 at FanDuel)

Over/Under analysis

This matchup between Stripling and Skubal has the makings of a pitcher’s duel. The two have been performing well as of late. 

Stripling, both as a starter and reliever, hasn’t been giving up many runs. On last Monday’s start, he shut out Kansas City, and as a reliever, has allowed six runs in six appearances. The five innings matched the longest appearance he's had this season. 

What has worked for Stripling is a mix of fastballs, sliders, and changeups, with the occasional sinker or knuckle curve. If he performs as he did in his last start, Stripling will be able to shut down the Tigers. 

Skubal should also keep the Blue Jays' bats at bay, though probably not as effectively as Stripling. The lefty has to work through a lineup that has several players that can take him deep. 

Though homers are not an issue with Skubal, only allowing three all year, he has also calmed down run-wise as well. In April, Skubal allowed 12 runs. In May, it was five and he had one extra start. 

The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two in Detroit. I think they make it 5-1 on Sunday. 

Prediction: Under 8.5 (-115 at BetMGM)

Best bet

Toronto pounded the Tigers on Friday, then only managed one run on Saturday. So which team will show up on Sunday? Will it be the one that hung 10 on the Tigers or the one that struggled against a rookie pitcher? 

I think it will be the former. I don’t think they're reaching double digits on Sunday, but they will surely score better than they did on Friday.

Skubal is an effective pitcher, but of his last six starts, three of them came against teams with a losing record. He will not allow too many runs, but I think enough for Toronto to cover the run line. 

Stripling should do his part to get the Blue Jays a victory. Besides, the Tigers’ offense isn’t really too much of a threat. 

Toronto is 5-1 in their last six as a road favorite and 8-1 in their last nine on the road. 

The Blue Jays might not blow out the Tigers as they did on Friday, but they should be able to handle them once more. 

Pick: Blue Jays -1.5 (+118 at FanDuel)

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