Rockies vs Padres Picks and Predictions: Profar, Padres Cruise Past Rockies

Behind Blake Snell on the mound and a red-hot Jurickson Profar at the plate, the Padres look primed to take the series finale against the visiting Rockies. Read more in our MLB betting picks and predictions below.

Last Updated: Jun 12, 2022 10:57 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Jurickson Profar San Diego Padres MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies and the San Diego Padres will wrap up their four-game series at PETCO Park on Sunday afternoon.

The Rockies took the second game of a rare doubleheader in San Diego on Saturday, assuring they won’t be swept in this series. The loss halted a four-game winning streak for the Padres.

How will this NL West series resolve? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Rockies vs Padres on Sunday, June 12.

Rockies vs Padres odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Padres opened as consensus favorites of -173, and bettors eagerly knocked that number down. The bookmakers have moved San Diego to as high as -200 as of Sunday morning. 

The total was released at 8.5, a number that quickly vanished. Most sites are now at 8, with some even going down to 7.5. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Rockies vs Padres predictions

Picks made on 6/12/2022 at 10:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Rockies vs Padres game info

Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Date: Sunday, June 12, 2022
First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET
TV: AT&T SportsNet, Bally Sports

Rockies vs Padres betting preview

Starting pitchers

German Marquez (2-5, 6.49 ERA): German Marquez picked up only his second win of the season against the Giants on Tuesday, but it didn’t come easy. He allowed three earned runs on four hits and a season-high four walks over six innings of work. This will be his first start of 2022 against the Padres.

Blake Snell (0-3, 5.68 ERA): Blake Snell has made four starts for San Diego this season, and all of them have led to losses. Though he’s kept the hits (15) down to a minimum through 19 innings, he’s issued 11 free passes in that span. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Rockies: Kris Bryant LF (Out), Ty Blach RP (Out). 
Padres: Wil Myers LF (Out), Robert Suarez SP (Out), Drew Pomeranz RP (Out), Matt Beaty 1B (Out), Pierce Johnson RP (Out), Mike Clevinger SP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Rockies are 9-21 in their last 30 games against NL West opponents. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Padres

Rockies vs Padres picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Padres should reward chalk players as they close out their series with the Rockies this Sunday. San Diego has won seven of its last nine games, with its offense averaging 6.11 runs in that sample.

Jake Cronenworth has had plenty to do with that, going 11-for-33 (.333) with three homers and 17 RBI in that span. German Marquez will certainly want to pitch carefully to Cronenworth, who’s 4-for-11 (.364) with a pair of round-trippers against him all-time. 

Very little has come easy for Marquez this year, as he’s allowed at least three earned runs in all but one of his 11 starts. He has a 6.23 ERA over four road outings in 2022. If the Friars can chase him early, their lineup will get to attack the underbelly of a Colorado bullpen that’s authored the second-worst ERA (5.00) in the majors this year.

Blake Snell has struggled to begin 2022, but this game could serve as a confidence-booster for the former AL Cy Young winner, as the Rockies are third-worst in baseball in runs per game on the road (3.00) this year. Snell has been beset with control issues (11 walks through 19 innings), but Colorado is a modest 18th in walks drawn. C.J. Cron has shockingly drawn just four walks in 111 at-bats on the road this season. 

Behind Snell is a solid San Diego bullpen that’s produced a 3.58 ERA this year, good for 10th in the majors.

Trend bettors should note that the Rockies are 3-13 in their last 16 games following a win, and 3-7 in their last 10 games against left-handed starters. The Padres have won each of their last four games against right-handed starters, and are 14-4 in their last 18 games following a loss. 

Prediction: Padres moneyline (-182 at WynnBET)

Over/Under analysis

Despite two underachieving starters taking the hill at PETCO Park on Sunday, the Under still looks like the proper play for total bettors.

There’s a silver lining to Marquez’s year for Colorado, and it’s his ability to pitch fairly deep into games in spite of getting himself into trouble. He’s lasted six innings in five of his last six outings, authoring three quality starts in that span. Two of those appearances occurred away from Coors Field.

Rockies manager Bud Black has three serviceable options in his bullpen behind Marquez on Sunday, starting with closer Daniel Bard (2.22 ERA), who’s earned 12 saves from 14 chances. Tyler Kinley (0.75 ERA) hasn’t worked since Wednesday but picked up his team-leading 10th hold on Tuesday. Lucas Gilbreath has allowed only one earned run over his last 12 efforts.

The Padres have also saved some of their best bullpen arms for the series finale, starting with closer Taylor Rogers (18 saves), who worked a clean inning against Colorado on Saturday. Luis Garcia (nine holds) is similarly rested for manager Bob Melvin.

The Friars are 17-8-1 to the Under in their last 26 home games, and PETCO Park is notorious for being a pitcher’s paradise. 

Prediction: Under 8 (-103 at Unibet)

Best bet

If you’re searching for a way to juice up a parlay involving the Padres moneyline, then banking on San Diego left fielder Jurickson Profar to get a hit seems wise.

Profar’s .252 batting average for the year belies how dialed-in he is at the plate right now. He has 14 hits over his last 36 at-bats (.389), including a homer and 10 RBI. Profar has a hit in every game of this series thus far. 

The Curacao native has done well in limited at-bats against Marquez, going 3-for-6 with an RBI and a walk. Profar also has a pair of hits against Bard in six prior at-bats. 

Pick: Jurickson Profar Over 0.5 hits (-280)

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Rockies vs. Padres picks, you could win $31.44 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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