The Los Angeles Angels (29-32) picked up a much-needed win on Saturday. They took Game 2 by a score of 11-6, marking just their second win since the infamous 14-game losing streak that was snapped on June 9.
Jared Walsh hit for the cycle and Mike Trout had his 23rd career multi-home-run game as he blasted two shots that left the park in his return to the lineup. Have the Halos shaken off the funk that plagued them for the last half-month? Will they be able to keep hope alive, or will this be yet another lost season for Mike Trout?
Here are our MLB betting picks and predictions for Sunday Night Baseball between the New York Mets and the Los Angeles Angels on June 12.
Mets vs Angels odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Angels opened at -105 but have taken some money. The line currently sits between -110 and -120 depending on the book. The total opened at 9 across all books and hasn’t moved.
Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.
Mets vs Angels predictions
Picks made on 6/12/2022 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Mets vs Angels game info
• Location: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, CA
• Date: Sunday, June 12, 2022
• First pitch: 7:08 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
Mets vs Angels betting preview
Starting pitchers
Taijuan Walker (3-2, 3.28 ERA): Walker has performed well this season, but some of his underlying metrics are a tad concerning. His xERA (4.18) is above his actual ERA (3.28), and the same can be said for his xFIP (4.59) and actual FIP (3.87). He’s remarkably striking out only 4.8 batters per nine innings while walking 2.9 of them. That’s one of the lowest strikeout rates I’ve ever seen for a starting pitcher when handicapping a baseball game. Over his career, he’s closer to eight strikeouts per nine innings so perhaps he’s due for both positive and negative regression.
Patrick Sandoval (3-1, 2.81 ERA): It seems like Sandoval has been around for a while, but he’s still only 25-years-old. He entered the majors at just 22 years of age and has stuck in the Halos rotation ever since. After understandably struggling in his first two seasons, he seems to have turned a corner. He put up a solid 3.62 ERA and 3.55 xERA a season ago and picked up right where he left off, accumulating a 2.81 ERA and 3.57 xERA. The thing I like most about his profile is an elite 2.9% barrel rate allowed, indicating he’s great at inducing soft contact.
Weather
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
Key injuries
Mets: Starling Marte CF (Questionable), James McCann C (Out), Travis Jankowski RF (Out), Colin Holderman RP (Out), Trevor May RP (Out), Sean Reid-Foley RP (Out), John Curtiss RP (Out).
Angels: Taylor Ward LF (Questionable), David Fletcher SS (Out), Austin Warren RP (Out), Cooper Criswell RP (Out), Chris Rodriguez RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Angels
Mets vs Angels picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Moneyline analysis
A quick look at the Mets’ offensive production will tell you why they’ve been able to amass a 39-22 record this season. They rank second in runs per game (5.19), first in batting average (.264), sixth in OPS (.741), and fifth in avoiding strikeouts (only 7.6 per nine innings). The bats have gone a little cold, as they rank 20th in OPS and 19th in wOBA since the calendar flipped to June.
The Angels’ bats struggled mightily during the 14-game losing streak but should be better now that they’ve returned to health. We saw last night what a healthy Trout can do, and it’ll be a boost to have Anthony Rendon’s bat in the lineup. They certainly could use a breath of fresh air, as they rank just 26th in wOBA and 24th in wRC+ in the month of June.
I have Los Angeles for the starting pitching advantage. Although these two pitchers’ stats look similar on the surface, Sandoval has a much better profile when you dig deeper. His strikeout rate, ERA, xERA, FIP, and xFIP are all better than Walker’s.
Most importantly, Sandoval has one of the game’s lowest barrel rates at 2.9%. He does a good job flummoxing hittings and not allowing them to make hard contact. The same cannot be said for Walker, who has a very concerning 6.2% barrel rate.
The Angels bats seem to have woken up now that the lineup is healthy, and I give them a significant starting pitching advantage. Give me the home team to grab another much-needed win.
Prediction: Angels moneyline (-110 at WynnBET)
Over/Under analysis
This total seems a tad high, so I'll lean toward the Under.
The Angels’ lineup seems to have finally woken up, but that’s a very small sample size and they’re still one of the league’s coldest lineups. I like their chances to plate runs against Walker — he isn’t striking anyone out and is allowing a ton of hard contact. That’s not a recipe that will be successful.
Sandoval’s elite 2.9% barrel rate is the most important part of this handicap, both from a side and total perspective. You don’t see numbers that low very often, and that’s a stat I factor heavily into my handicapping as it does a good job indicating future success.
The Mets have one of the league’s best lineups, but they’ve been cold in recent weeks. They rank 20th in OPS in the month of June. They also haven’t been as dominant against left-handed pitching, ranking 18th in OPS and 17th in wOBA on the season.
With a total as high as 9, I like both teams to contribute if considering an Over. I’m not sure we have that and therefore lean toward the Under.
Prediction: Under 9 (-105 at Caesars)
Best bet
I could make an argument that the Angels should be projected to have the better starting pitcher and the better lineup in this matchup.
Sandoval’s elite 2.9% barrel rate puts Walker’s 6.2% to shame. Sandoval appears primed for immediate and future success in this league, while Walker’s profile indicates he’s narrowly skating by,
The Angels rank 7th in wOBA and 8th in wRC+ against right-handed pitching, while the Mets rank only 17th in wOBA and 15th in wRC+ against lefties.
Give me the Halos.
Pick: Angels moneyline (-110 at WynnBET)
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