Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB First Inning Predictions for Tuesday, April 21

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 21, 2026 , 10:48 AM ET • 4 min read

Neil Parker's top NRFI and YRFI predictions for tonight are anchored by the promise of a first-inning run when the Blue Jays battle the Angels.

Los Angeles Angels MLB Zach Neto
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Angels shortstop Zach Neto.

There are plenty of options on the diamond for YRFI and NRFI bettors on Tuesday, April 21, and I’ve got a trio of MLB picks to cover you throughout the 15-game slate.

My best NFRI bets start with the Houston Astros' visit to the Cleveland Guardians, while the Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Angels are rounding out my betting card tonight in a yes run first inning play.

Best NRFI/YRFI bets today

Pick Odds
Astros/Guardians - NRFI -109
Orioles/Royals - NRFI +102
Blue Jays/Angels - YRFI -120
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Astros at Guardians: NRFI (-109)

With Cleveland Guardians lefty Parker Messick next to unhittable to start the season, he’s set to shift into cruise control again early against the Houston Astros, and I’m confident Ryan Weiss can navigate the first frame Tuesday with the top of the Cleveland lineup struggling.

Guardians Steven Kwan, Chase DeLauter, and Kyle Manzardo are mired in a 7-for-51 slump the past five games, which leaves star Jose Ramirez on an island in the three hole. And, returning to Messick, he’s been brilliant with just three runs allowed through 25 2/3 innings across his four starts.

  • Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SCHN, CleGuardians.TV

Orioles at Royals: NRFI (+102)

The Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Royals respectively rank third and last in percentage of games scoring a run in the first inning, so even with the wind forecasted to be howling out at Kauffman Stadium, I’m expecting starters Shane Baz and Kris Bubic to post zeros in the opening frame.

Baltimore hasn’t scored an opening-inning run on the road all season, and Kansas City is the lowest-scoring team in the opening frame for the year and second-lowest scoring team overall, too.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Royals.TV, MASN

Blue Jays at Angels: YRFI (-120)

The Los Angeles Angels are third in OBP and seventh in wOBA against left-handed pitching this season, and the top of their lineup has righties Zach Neto, Mike Trout, Jo Adell, and Jorge Soler all crushing southpaws to start the year.

So, this is a daunting matchup for Toronto Blue Jays veteran Patrick Corbin given his 5.46 ERA and 5.68 xERA dating back to 2021.

Toronto is also set up for success with Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz’s 3.47 ERA is well below his 5.09 xERA, and respective 6.81 and 5.89 marks across 111 innings in 2025.

Plus, the Blue Jays are in the midst of heating up at the dish with 15 runs across consecutive wins.

  • Time: 9:38 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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