Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB First Inning Predictions for Tuesday, April 14

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 14, 2026 , 04:55 PM ET • 4 min read

An AL clash between the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins headlines our favorite NRFI and YRFI bets for Tuesday.

Josh Bell Minnesota Twins MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Minnesota Twins designated hitter Josh Bell hits a double against the Boston Red Sox.

Although the Minnesota Twins have been red-hot at the plate, rookie pitcher Mick Abel has struggled. 

That’s why my MLB picks are backing the “yes run first inning” market in tonight's matchup against the Boston Red Sox.

Check out what other bets I'm making in my free YRFI and NRFI bets for Tuesday, April 14.

Best NRFI/YRFI bets today

Pick Odds
Giants/Reds - NRFI +100
Angels/Yankees- YRFI -115
Red Sox/Twins - YRFI +110
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Giants at Reds: NRFI (+100)

Cincinnati Reds right-hander Brady Singer has been awful this season, pitching to a 7.71 ERA through three starts. That said, the veteran posted a 3.96 FIP across 64 starts over the last two years, so expect improvement.

Singer is set to face a San Francisco Giants lineup that ranks 29th in the majors in runs per game (3.19) and 28th in OBP (.288).

The Giants will counter with lefty Robbie Ray and his 2.08 ERA. The veteran has great swing-and-miss stuff, and Cincinnati sits 28th in runs per game (3.38) and 29th in OPS (.623).

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBC Sports BA | Reds.TV

Angels at Yankees: YRFI (-115)

The New York Yankees will give the ball to lefty Ryan Weathers, whose 5.12 xERA and .299 xBA suggest he’s been very lucky. The southpaw will take on a Los Angeles Angels lineup that enters tonight seventh in the majors in OPS against southpaws (.726).

Meanwhile, the Yankees have been a bit inconsistent at the dish this year, but the analytics suggest positive regression. They rank first in the majors in barrel rate, third in hard-hit rate, and second in xwOBAcon (.403).

  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel SN West | YES

Red Sox at Twins: YRFI (+110)

Sonny Gray has looked sharp in two of three starts this year. That said, the Boston Red Sox hurler had a 4.28 ERA last season, including sporting a 4.50 ERA and .256 OBA in the first inning.

Gray's strikeout rate has plummeted to just 15.2%, and the Minnesota Twins are also red-hot at the dish, having posted an OPS of .839 over the last week. 

Meanwhile, the Red Sox have plated 6+ runs in three straight games. They face 24-year-old Mick Abel, who has failed to play up to his vast potential. Abel finished with a 6.23 ERA last year, and his xERA is at 7.17 through 13 1/3 frames this year.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NESN+ | Twins.TV
Rohit Ponnaiya's 2026 Transparency Record
  • NRFI/YRFI picks: 11-9, +1.66 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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