Best NRFI Bets Today - Friday, June 27

Just like their record, the Colorado Rockies’ offense has been dismal heading into tonight’s series in Milwaukee, and Rohit Ponnaiya expects pitching to dominate early.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jun 27, 2025 • 11:25 ET • 4 min read
Ryan McMahon Colorado Rockies MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Colorado Rockies third baseman Ryan McMahon (24).

The Colorado Rockies are on pace to have the worst season in MLB history, which makes them practically unwatchable.

However, you'll only have to tune into the first inning to cash tonight's bet against the Milwaukee Brewers, as my MLB picks look to take advantage of their putrid hitting.

Here are my best free YRFI and NRFI bets for Friday, June 27.

Best NRFI/YRFI bets today

  • Padres Padres vs Reds Reds: YRFI
  • Mets Mets vs Pirates Pirates: NRFI
  • Rockies Rockies vs TEAM Brewers: NRFI

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NRFI/YRFI bets for June-27

Padres at Reds: YRFI (-109 at ProphetX)

The San Diego Padres have been underachieving at the plate, but the top of their lineup is as good as anybody.

With Luis Arraez, Manny Machado, Jackson Merrill, and Fernando Tatis Jr. batting 1-4, the Friars plate a run in the first inning in 34.2% of their games on the road — the sixth-highest number in the majors.

They should be able to get to Cincinnati Reds starter Nick Martinez, who has a 4.82 ERA with an OBA of .291 in eight starts at home.

Meanwhile, the Reds' offense has a run-first inning rate of 35% at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park, and San Diego's Dylan Cease owns an ugly 6.26 ERA on the road.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch
    Reds - FanDuel Sports Network Ohio
    Padres - Padres Television Network 
  • Bet: YRFI

Mets at Pirates: NRFI (-118 at ProphetX)

The New York Mets are sending southpaw David Peterson to the hill for tonight's clash with the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Peterson boasts a 2.98 ERA through 15 starts, and he has pitched to a sizzling 1.20 ERA with an OBA of .100 in the opening frame. The Pirates are 29th in the majors in OPS (.640), with that number shrinking to .606 against lefties.

Pittsburgh will give the pill to Mitch Keller, who has an expected ERA of 3.91 through 16 starts. The Mets plate a run in the first inning in just 21.9% of their road games, tied with the Rockies for the worst number in the NL.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch
    Pirates - SportsNet-PIT
    Mets - SNY
  • Bet: NRFI

Rockies at Brewers: NRFI (-106 at ProphetX)

The Colorado Rockies are historically bad, and their inept offense is a big reason why. They average just 2.98 runs per game while batting .206 away from hitter-friendly Coors Field.

Expect another poor performance today on the road against Jose Quintana (2.98 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers. Quintana can find himself in trouble in the middle innings, but he tends to start strong, pitching to a 1.50 ERA through the first three innings.

Colorado responds with lefty Kyle Freeland, who sports a solid 3.64 ERA in seven starts on the road. Milwaukee is 24th in the majors in slugging (.378) while ranking just 28th in run-first inning percentage (23.5%).

  • Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch
    Brewers - FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin
    Rockies - Rockies.TV
  • Bet: NRFI

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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