Picks from The Laboratory NBA

The numbers will be posted as usual. The ATS number is based on what line the books have set. The new adjustment is that at the end of the ML number you will see what the line should be according to The Laboratory. Remember that the line you see on the books is not a true measure of the teams but what the books think will bring in equal amounts of money on both sides.

The numbers are the probability of that particular bet hitting according to the data analysis done at The Laboratory. I will use fictional teams for the examples.

Monte Carlo  Bones  VS. Macau  Aces

team     record            consensus          ODDS

MON  5-10 ( 3-6 V)        50%                  185.5

MAC   7-7  (3-4 H)          50%                   -4

Ok so the numbers would look something like this

MON ATS 59.228

MON MAC O 67.841

MAC  ML  89.225   -13.5

In this scenario the numbers say that the probability that Monte Carlo covers the line that is set by the books is at 59.228%. The chances of the game going over 185.5 points is 67.841 and the chances of Macau winning the game Straight up are 89.225%.

The numbers can be used in many, many different ways. Using this particular example. You would likely take Macau to cover the spread since the line set is at -4  and they are really nine points better than Monte Carlo you would lay the points since the true line should be set at -9 not -4 and the probability that MON covers that 4 point spread is only at 59.228% anyway. 

Same thing if the spread situation is reversed. If the ML number according to  The Laboratory is -4 and the line at the books is set at  -9 then you take the points since the true difference between the two teams is 4 points and they are giving you 9.

That is one way that the numbers can be used. Like I said before there are SO MANY OTHER ways to use these numbers but  frankly I don’t feel like writing about it right now.

PEACE!

Luke 21:1-4

1 Looking up, he saw rich people putting their offerings into the treasury;

2 and he noticed a poverty-stricken widow putting in two small coins,

3 and he said, 'I tell you truly, this poor widow has put in more than any of them;

4 for these have all put in money they could spare, but she in her poverty has put in all she had to live on.'

MIN ATS 57.625

MIN IND O 57.372

IND ML above 90 -10.5

MIL DET U 87.097

DET ML 72.545  -6

PHO ATS 74.312

MIA ML 87.395   -9.5

MEM ATS 64.285

HOU MEM O 77.119

HOU MEM ML “NP PLAY” BUT DGO VALUE

DEN ATS 67.857

DEN DAL O 6.765

DAL ML 64.706 -4

NO ATS 61.956

NO SA O 64.674

SA ML 88.882  -10

CHI ATS above 90

CHI UTA U 75

CHI ML  above 90 -10.5

POR ML above 90 -10

Daniel 3:57, 58, 59, 60, 61

57 Bless the Lord, all the Lord's creation: praise and glorify him for ever!

58 Bless the Lord, angels of the Lord, praise and glorify him for ever!

59 Bless the Lord, heavens, praise and glorify him for ever!

60 Bless the Lord, all the waters above the heavens, praise and glorify him for ever!

61 Bless the Lord, powers of the Lord, praise and glorify him for ever!

BK ATS 64.9408

BK TOR U 81.561

TOR ML 79.816  -7.5

LAL ATS 71.429

LAL WAS O 75

LAL WAS ML “NO PLAY” but DOG VALUE

ATL ML 66.766 -4.5

GS ML 87.805 -9.5

NBA

IND ML 76.471  -6.5

ORL ATS 69.231

ORL PHI U 66.667

ORL ML 89.109 -9.5

MEM BOS U 70.103

LAL BK O 80

BK ML 85.714 -9

MIA ML 72.223  -5.5

CHI ATS 62.5

DET ML above 90 -10.5

WAS ML 72.465  -5.5

DEN ATS 75.729

DEN MIN U 72.415

MIN ML “NO PLAY” but MIN ML advantage only by a bucket

SA ATS 59.464

SA OKC O 64.741

OKC ML 88.429  -9

GS ATS 86.204

GS DAL O 87.5

DAL ML 55.556  -1.5

POR ML 72.223 -7

NY ATS 52.778

LAC ML above 90  -10

Luke 21:12-19

12 'But before all this happens, you will be seized and persecuted; you will be handed over to the synagogues and to imprisonment, and brought before kings and governors for the sake of my name

13 -and that will be your opportunity to bear witness.

14 Make up your minds not to prepare your defence,

15 because I myself shall give you an eloquence and a wisdom that none of your opponents will be able to resist or contradict.

NFL

GB ATS above 90

GB DET O 82.089

GB ML 66.667 -3.5

DAL ML 84.848 -8.5

BAL ATS 58.824

PIT BAL O above 90

BAL ML above 90 -14.5

NCAAF

TEX ATS 59.016

TTU TEX O 52.82

TEX ML  above 90 -14.5

MISS ATS 85.714

MISS MSST U 80

MISS ML above 90 -14

NBA

NHL

OTT PL 66.663

VAN ML 80

EDM PL above 90

NAS ML 69.188

CHAR ATS 69.565

CHAR ML 88.889 -9

SA ATS above 90

SA ML 87.5 -10

MIA ATS 90

MIA TOR U 83.333

MIA ML 90 -10

Luke 21:29-33

29 And he told them a parable, 'Look at the fig tree and indeed every tree.

30 As soon as you see them bud, you can see for yourselves that summer is now near.

31 So with you when you see these things happening: know that the kingdom of God is near.

32 In truth I tell you, before this generation has passed away all will have taken place.

33 Sky and earth will pass away, but my words will never pass away.

CLA ATS 69.563

BOS ML 88.889 -9

LAL ATS 68.75

DET ML 65.854 -4

BK ATS 65.455

BK HOU U 72.464

GS PKC U 53.782

OKC ML above 90 -10

WAS ATS 88

IND ML above 90 -10

NO PHI U 75.862

DEN ATS 68.853

NY DEN U 69

DEN ML 87.877 -9

UTA ATS 67.143

PHO UTA U 85.714

LAC ATS 62.857

LAC ML 74.719 -5

13 for all who call on the name of the Lord will be saved.