Posted:
#451
What about the total bro? :)
Hello. I am new. Follow me and you will make money. No Gimmick.
dont do it and you will thank me.
Posted:
#460
Quote Originally Posted by MITkid:
I don't care how LAC do against other teams, I care about how they play against BOS, BOS coaching, BOS tendencies, etc...
I don't care how LAC do against other teams, I care about how they play against BOS, BOS coaching, BOS tendencies, etc...
Betting against the LAC bc they have to lose ATS bc they are on a streak is silly. The same logic can be applied after they covered 4 straight, then 5, then 6, then 7, etc...
I won't tell you how I cap, but I will provide picks as long as I can. I assume a mod or book will have be gone after a few hundred plays. This site is owned by a book afterall.
The best advice I can give you is watch how the league changes. There are new tendencies of how teams play and how they change each year. If you can identify them before the books catch them, you are ahead of the game. It is a lot more than just looking at stats.
When you can learn how to quantify the mental aspect too and apply it to game theory, you are on the right track.
Posted:
#461
Adding DAL +10.5
Dirk is back, I do not expect him to play at 100% obviously but he will help slow the pace of OKC and their attack. OKC will most likely still win this, but DAL has a 60-63% chance of covering 10.5 giving us a solid +EV of ~10% after our break even 52.4.
I am passing on the totals. I will provide LEANS but this does not count as my play or in my record.
DAL OKC Under 207.5
BOS LAC Over 190
GL guys
Posted:
#462
Quote Originally Posted by telemaco22:
| (1) | #504 - Los Angeles Clippers -8 (-115)
|
$517.50 | $450.00 |
Just because you made a $50 bet, changed the numbers in a text box, does not make you special. Look here is my bet:
)#505 - Boston Celtics +8.5 (-110)
$1,000,000.00 $900,000.00
| Sport: | NBA |
| Type: | |
| Period: | Game |
Posted:
#466
Yes, any points makes a difference smithcm24. My advice to you is to wait until close to game time when the public hits OKC and the line drops back to 10.5.
There is a risk of course it does not, however since you are dealing OKC, the public perception on them is good and OKC money should move it back to 10.5 closer to game time.
Some will argue it's just a half a pt and it's just a push but why take a worse line that you are 80% sure will get better. I personally would wait.
Posted:
#472
I only read a few pages of this but I am not sure if I have found someone post where they make up as many people in order to post on their own thread. Whenever you need a good laugh you find a thread like this where 99.9% of the people don't view the thread for value but for laughs. How many people have started up a profile and posted on here talking about how great the kid is. Smith24....I like how he posts and then responds to himself. PRICELESS 
Posted:
#474
Nevada....you are a f***ing retard! I am new to this site as a member but have been following some people on here for quite a while. All of you people need to get a life and just take the tips this guy is giving...he went 5-1 last night. Quit with all this nonsense talk and take this good advice, I know I am.
MIT, already sent a friend request to you! Thanks for the picks. F**k all the haters
and cry babies
MIT, already sent a friend request to you! Thanks for the picks. F**k all the haters
and cry babies
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