Posted:
#1201
HERES ONE MORE STAT AS WELL....between the 6 outta 28 games for minn that have gone over 200.......only 2 outta the 14 away games for Minn have had a total of 200 or more......
Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
Posted:
#1202
Hey I'm an egotistic degen who loves a quick pay day. I have a couple of
wins and it gets to my head and I'm think I'm a legend so I start
spinning out huge plays left right and center. I love the action, I'm a
complete action junkie. I love to let everyone know about my wins when
I'm doing good but I'm lifeless when I lose. I have been annihalated
lately, what do I do. I try and stop being a kunt and have money
management but after a win or two I get my ego back. How do I stop this,
I wish I had the virtue of patience like you do. Please if you have any
advice I need it 
Posted:
#1209
Dont ask me I'm a complete degenerate and selfish too..No but in reality, I love action too buddy and I think in a small way we all do. I have been betting on too many games lately and even though i have been winning a good percentage of them I need to slow down myself and luckilly I have good people on this thread that remind me of this.....and also when my ego needs to go in check. My opinion parlay is to stay on this thread and you might learn a thing or two from some really good people. The people that do piss you off or act like jerks just ignore them. For instance i picked charlotte 2 days ago and they win straight up as a huge underdog, then i pick portland against knicks and they win as an underdog, then i pick dallas and they lead most the game yesterday and take heat to overtime. Then today i was thinking about the guy yesterday that called me a con artist and teo be honest it really pissed me off. But you know, who cares I'm not hear to argue and everyone will have their own opinion of people. I am here to help people out but also because i need help and luckily everyone can work as a team (with Marvin as the leader) and we can win money. Thats the beauty of this, I myself need to slow down, stay consistent, and you know what stay happy and be non judgmental and keep my ego in check. My feeling is parlay if you stay around, you will learn alot here especially from Marvin....I know i already have...he's my master....hahaha 
Posted:
#1210
Manstar10 - no plays as of yet.
Eryximaque - I hear you - but this is Thursday - picking logically is not gonna do you any good.
way2quirk - thanks
sm1975 -
Heads - still have no leans of my own,GL
Legend00 - Although the Under 201.5 looks better than over 205 (the line it opened) you might consider buying some points.
QBUN -
oreooreo1 -
Posted:
#1212
Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:
BOL on tonights games guys.....Right now I dont have anything I feel like betting on with a real true big advantage....I am looking at the Spurs or possibly Minn/Den under but I'm not feeling any of the 4 choices yet...
BOL on tonights games guys.....Right now I dont have anything I feel like betting on with a real true big advantage....I am looking at the Spurs or possibly Minn/Den under but I'm not feeling any of the 4 choices yet...
What will get your tail to tingle?
Posted:
#1213
Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:
BOL on tonights games guys.....Right now I dont have anything I feel like betting on with a real true big advantage....I am looking at the Spurs or possibly Minn/Den under but I'm not feeling any of the 4 choices yet...
BOL on tonights games guys.....Right now I dont have anything I feel like betting on with a real true big advantage....I am looking at the Spurs or possibly Minn/Den under but I'm not feeling any of the 4 choices yet...
Spurs i feel better about simply because Knicks have been struggling a little bit and the spurs have won 7 straight now since they finally got fully healthy. If you remember how the Spurs started the season and how well they did against the spread then you obviously remember how well they can play when they are at full strength. Having Kawhi Leonard, Steven Jackson, and Neal all healthy makes a big difference in their lineup. In the 7 straight games the closest win they had was by 5 points. However the reason Im not jumping to take them is obviously the Knicks are one of the best home teams in the NBA and they are also healthier but still somewhat banged up with Amare just coming back, Melo and Chandler still with minor ankle and knee problems. (though melo sure didnt look to injured against portland lol). Both these teams have good depth and since Spurs are on a back to back they might have a little more limited minutes for the old veterans.
With Lawson most likely out for the Nuggets I think there is a decent shot that Minn and Denver game goes under. The last 5 uptempo teams Minn played, OKC, HOUSTON, NYK, MIA, PHX, the highest total besides the game against PHX was 195. Infact only 6 outta Minn 28 games have gone over 200, but last time they played Denver there was 213 points,which I think is why the total was so high and because Denvers always uptempo offense.
With that being said right now these are small leans and I'm not sure about betting either.....waiting to hear from Mavin......BOL TO YOU GUYS...
Agree with every word you said melosjumper7
Posted:
#1215
Quote Originally Posted by parlaybat:
Hey I'm an egotistic degen who loves a quick pay day. I have a couple of wins and it gets to my head and I'm think I'm a legend so I start spinning out huge plays left right and center. I love the action, I'm a complete action junkie. I love to let everyone know about my wins when I'm doing good but I'm lifeless when I lose. I have been annihalated lately, what do I do. I try and stop being a kunt and have money management but after a win or two I get my ego back. How do I stop this, I wish I had the virtue of patience like you do. Please if you have any advice I need it
Hey I'm an egotistic degen who loves a quick pay day. I have a couple of wins and it gets to my head and I'm think I'm a legend so I start spinning out huge plays left right and center. I love the action, I'm a complete action junkie. I love to let everyone know about my wins when I'm doing good but I'm lifeless when I lose. I have been annihalated lately, what do I do. I try and stop being a kunt and have money management but after a win or two I get my ego back. How do I stop this, I wish I had the virtue of patience like you do. Please if you have any advice I need it
You pretty much summed it up. You pretty well what to do. Just do it. Play the games posted with exact units posted and don't play into hands of the books. It will take time till you'll feel you're doing the right thing. But at the end of the month you'll know that is the only right way to do it!
Posted:
#1217
Quote Originally Posted by Raiderpug:
Mavin ?
2 games tonight
21 games the next two days
What is the best way to determine if there is enough value to bet game tonight with only two games and make the best pick or just wait until tomorrow with 11 games?
I am waiting so far to see if there's any dramatic developments tonight. If I won't feel confident enough - I will pass on tonight as I have already done in the past. You right about tomorrows being a great card.
Posted:
#1218
Quote Originally Posted by Heads2134:
Where do u check the line?
I was checking the lines all day and the Denver total is at 201.5 since 10 am in my book.
Where do u check the line?
I was checking the lines all day and the Denver total is at 201.5 since 10 am in my book.
2:15 am this morning. I've paste it here that the ticket was made at 2:15 am.
| Ticket#:7504000 Jan 03 09:12 PM | Internet / -1 | Jan 03 02:15 AM | NBA | STRAIGHT BET [504] TOTAL u205-105 (MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES vrs DENVER NUGGETS) | 315.00 / 300.00 |
Posted:
#1222
Oh yeah I have already been studying up on tomm....Mavin thats one other thing i really like about you man, your very patient with everyone and always get back to everyone who writes to you. Very admirable trait my friend. I dont think I'm gonna bet tonight unless you are fairly confident about a play later. Raiderpug honestly nothing tingles my tail tonight so far...hahaha sorry but BOL on any game you bet on...
Manstar good luck on KNICKS pk....Trust me I hope they beat the f-in Spurs. I'm a big fan of the Knicks and Melo and though I like betting the the Spurs a lot I also like rooting against them, especially tonight. BOL THOUGH
Posted:
#1223
what are your picks for tonight mavin?
im leaning with the under 201 in denver and den -8
the sas/nyk game seems to be a really close one , but i think the spurs can win here. so SAS ML and over 208
my plays
den -8 2u
den under 2u
SAS ML 1u
sas over 3u
and parlay
1
den -6
sas +2.5
2
den u
sas o
both 1,5 u
what do you think?
Posted:
#1224
Quote Originally Posted by Raiderpug:
Just best value for the day or must it reach a certain threshold? and what is everybodys line to determine if there is value in a bet, Which is kind of hard unless you are going strickly by a formula.
Just best value for the day or must it reach a certain threshold? and what is everybodys line to determine if there is value in a bet, Which is kind of hard unless you are going strickly by a formula.
Ok, The Knicks have already beaten the Spurs this season in SA. So, will the Spurs lose a season series? Will Amar'e be a problem for the Knicks or will bear some value? Will it be a shootout like in SA? If that was a regular day game and not Thursday - the pick would most probably be Over and the Spurs.
Denver is a clear favorite here and we're all under impression of their win against the Clips and the T'Wolves demise in Utah. Now, is that possible that the T'Wolves will continue their demise and the Nuggets will roll all over them? Or the opposite is the true and against all odds the T'wolves will simply over run Lawson less Nuggets and also get the Over?
I have no clear answers as of yet for those questions. Because there are none right now
Posted:
#1225
Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:
Oh yeah I have already been studying up on tomm....Mavin thats one other thing i really like about you man, your very patient with everyone and always get back to everyone who writes to you. Very admirable trait my friend. I dont think I'm gonna bet tonight unless you are fairly confident about a play later. Raiderpug honestly nothing tingles my tail tonight so far...hahaha sorry but BOL on any game you bet on...
Oh yeah I have already been studying up on tomm....Mavin thats one other thing i really like about you man, your very patient with everyone and always get back to everyone who writes to you. Very admirable trait my friend. I dont think I'm gonna bet tonight unless you are fairly confident about a play later. Raiderpug honestly nothing tingles my tail tonight so far...hahaha sorry but BOL on any game you bet on...
Manstar good luck on KNICKS pk....Trust me I hope they beat the f-in Spurs. I'm a big fan of the Knicks and Melo and though I like betting the the Spurs a lot I also like rooting against them, especially tonight. BOL THOUGH
thanks melo! i really enjoy ur analysis and take your picks into consideration. hope knicks pull thru 
.
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