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Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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Captain
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Posts: 6900
Posted: #11026
All right turbo, I will post the picks once only for this thread since you are interested in, what I mean by that is I don't wanna prove anything I'm good at, post it just because you want me to show. 

Laugh if I'm wrong, don't need to respond it if I'm right. 

Over 186.5 Chicago 

Under 204 OKC

 
Prospect
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Posts: 125
Posted: #11027
Food for thought - 

I had stopped sports betting since the end of the football season.  I got onto Covers and started to read this thread and got more excited about sports gambling again.  I would read various posts (including some from here) and try to cross reference guys on here that had solid write-ups, etc.  I would then put my own bias on top of that and I played $50 - $200 per play for about 2 weeks and I lost about $600.

So, here is my observation.  I wonder if I used the same strategy as before and did the same process and chose the teams and then I fade myself.  So, in effect, I am going against the general consensus from the threads and trying to win by going opposite what people think.  I might give it a try.

(Note - This is in no way a knock on this thread.  It is more about how using information from a lot of sources and then applying a personal bias appears to yield poor results and I want to try the opposite of this.  I like this thread.) 

I do recognize that picking in this manner may be difficult b/c I know that if I am going to fade myself, does that effect the picks I make?  I guess we'll see.  I'll drop in the fade picks and we'll see how I do.  
 
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Posts: 442
Posted: #11028
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

All right turbo, I will post the picks once only for this thread since you are interested in, what I mean by that is I don't wanna prove anything I'm good at, post it just because you want me to show. 

Laugh if I'm wrong, don't need to respond it if I'm right. 

Over 186.5 Chicago 

Under 204 OKC


You asked for 3 picks from Turbo, yet you only provided 2?


Hmmm, you must tail Turbo... Are you trying to get all 6 of his picks tonight?  He was 5-1 with his leans Tuesday!


 
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Posts: 1676
Posted: #11029
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

All right turbo, I will post the picks once only for this thread since you are interested in, what I mean by that is I don't wanna prove anything I'm good at, post it just because you want me to show. 

Laugh if I'm wrong, don't need to respond it if I'm right. 

Over 186.5 Chicago 

Under 204 OKC


I only laugh at bad comments and oxymoron comments, when people post their picks I take them very seriously because I am always looking to get better- this game is not about you or this thread against you or against me- it is the small guys v. the books, v. vegas.

Here is what I started the day with nothing big but easily could be hedged. For the hedge I am waiting for the lines to move against me if they do I will tease the other ways those that could be close calls. This is a parlay and I will hedge and or double down accordingly with live bet and the 2H system that is being worked on by the Pauls-

[Ticket #: XXXXXXXXX] PARLAY (9 TEAMS)

04/04/2013 @ 07:05 PM NBA

[701] TOTAL o184-150 (B+2)

(CHICAGO vrs BROOKLYN)

04/04/2013 @ 07:05 PM NBA

[702] BROOKLYN -3-150 (B+2)

04/04/2013 @ 09:05 PM NBA

[703] TOTAL o206-150 (B+2)

(DALLAS vrs DENVER)

04/04/2013 @ 09:05 PM NBA

[704] DENVER -5-150 (B+2)

04/04/2013 @ 09:35 PM NBA

[705] TOTAL o200-150 (B+2)

(SAN ANTONIO vrs OKLAHOMA CITY)

04/04/2013 @ 09:35 PM NBA

[706] OKLAHOMA CITY -6-150 (B+2)

04/04/2013 @ 10:50 AM

OPEN PLAY

04/04/2013 @ 10:50 AM

OPEN PLAY

04/04/2013 @ 10:50 AM

OPEN PLAY


$50 for $7,406.62


As far as the line movements are concerned I was on time for the Over in CHI, too early for the over in SA and so far just in time or the over in Denver  FYI I always buy 2- unless a 1 makes it PK on spreads.


Ps. I always start my day with a my home run play then if I fall behind or in trouble I try to win the game with bunts singles doubles and the occasional squeeze play. The hedge may be full or partial teaser that will include NCAA or it may be a small parlay of ML and unders in the last two games or something of that nature. I have lots of open spots to fill that is another way to capitalize today thanks to the open bet system. If the lines keep moving against me it only increases the amount of points in the teaser to middle.

 
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Posted: #11030
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:


You asked for 3 picks from Turbo, yet you only provided 2?


Hmmm, you must tail Turbo... Are you trying to get all 6 of his picks tonight?  He was 5-1 with his leans Tuesday!



I was about to say the same thing but I think he is waiting for the spurs lines to stop moving- Remember people it is only $50 very low risk. The teaser will most likely be less but enough to cover this bet.
 
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Posted: #11031
Quote Originally Posted by Shirldog:

Food for thought - 

I had stopped sports betting since the end of the football season.  I got onto Covers and started to read this thread and got more excited about sports gambling again.  I would read various posts (including some from here) and try to cross reference guys on here that had solid write-ups, etc.  I would then put my own bias on top of that and I played $50 - $200 per play for about 2 weeks and I lost about $600.

So, here is my observation.  I wonder if I used the same strategy as before and did the same process and chose the teams and then I fade myself.  So, in effect, I am going against the general consensus from the threads and trying to win by going opposite what people think.  I might give it a try.

(Note - This is in no way a knock on this thread.  It is more about how using information from a lot of sources and then applying a personal bias appears to yield poor results and I want to try the opposite of this.  I like this thread.) 

I do recognize that picking in this manner may be difficult b/c I know that if I am going to fade myself, does that effect the picks I make?  I guess we'll see.  I'll drop in the fade picks and we'll see how I do.  

let us know how it works out for you- seriously would like to see the data  
 
Prospect
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Posts: 125
Posted: #11032
Here goes nothing

Shirldog 0-0

DAL Dallas +7

OVER 200 SAS San Antonio - OKL Oklahoma
 
Rookie
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Posts: 807
Posted: #11033
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

All right turbo, I will post the picks once only for this thread since you are interested in, what I mean by that is I don't wanna prove anything I'm good at, post it just because you want me to show. 

Laugh if I'm wrong, don't need to respond it if I'm right. 

Over 186.5 Chicago 

Under 204 OKC


you missed under Denver 204 posted in  CMjohnson1's.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 442
Posted: #11034

Musicmatt1  54-60-1

 

BKN Nets  -5

 

Over 207  DEN Nuggets - DAL Mavericks

 

OKC Thunder  -7.5

 

Last night showed that all the clinched playoff teams are gearing up for their playoff run and fighting for playoff positioning.  I like all the Home teams tonight.  I left out Nuggets and went for the Over because the Mavericks are the only team that have not clinched a spot (and may be on the outside looking in) in this scenario.  I know that would normally lead one to believe the Mavericks (do they know what it is) will give a good defensive effort.  But who is going to keep the nuggets out of the paint, Dirk?

Let's go gents!

 
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Posts: 209
Posted: #11035
Eryximaque 41-35-1

Under 202.5 OKC Thunder - SA Spurs

Over 185.5 BKN Nets - CHI Bulls

My book is always offering this odd, despite the RLM.
Like the over, when BKN shoot is really high %fg, and Nets allow opponent many shoots.
Many injuries, no rest for Nets should be affect defense.
Referees like over games
Many trends on over.

Bol ! 


 
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Posts: 282
Posted: #11036

Jpaco 47-47-2

Under 188 BK Nets - CHI Bulls

if chi wants to win they need to stop bk off since chi deff is good enough and chi off is just awful so bk def won't have problem. Even its rlm i still don't see this being high scoring game

Under 207 DEN Nuggets - DAL Mavericks

dal def shows up tonight to still have a chance on the 8th seed even theyre far from it

Under 200 OKC Thunders - SA Spurs

tight def both team and every play will be crucial since okc trying to steal no. 1 spot in the west

 

BOL EVERYONE

 
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Posted: #11037
AshyLarryMP 56-54-2:

BRK Nets -4.5

DAL Mavericks +7

OKC Thunder -7.5

nets at home off long road trip and are playing good ball.. bulls will find a way to let spread slip in the 4th qtr and nets pull it out in the end.

mavericks i'm fading the public here as according to bookmaker roughly 80% on denver.. feel mavs keep it close hoping to cling to whatever playoff hopes they have. plus denver on b2b..

thunder just feel this spread is set too high to not be a blowout.. line completely indicates to me a thunder DD win.. unless spurs are sitting dudes and i didn't care to look haha.. either way still like thunder by DD tonight, thunder care more tonight.

tough day to choose, and with baseball going not a lot of basketball capping going on by me.. but i'm confident i got at least 2 out of 3 here.. weary on Dallas but i'll trust dirk.. good luck guys!!!

 
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Joined: Mar, 2012
Posts: 493
Posted: #11038
1st half take all 3 home teams easy money parlay
 
Prospect
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Posts: 355
Posted: #11039
Quote Originally Posted by Melo7:

 Ed Mally and David Guthrie officiate Golden state game.

Over 197 full game

Over 99 1H
.
Curios melo, what went with wrong in your "referees  and simple base formula here buddy"?? 
AND THIS WAS JUST LAST NIGHT, HOW MANY OTHER TIMES HAVE YOU BEEN WAY OFF IN THE PAST???  
Shouldn't be throwing stones 
 
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Posted: #11040
Quote Originally Posted by hienkhoi:

I don't know why everybody picked under Utah 204.5 ????????????
My reasoning though short was that both teams were rested and prepared and that if Utah was going to win this game they would have to be defensively superior and slow the pace. Was a must win for both teams but Utah more so than Denver. Utah's home record vs Nuggs road record convinced me that Utah would be 'in' this game at least for the 1H. 
Curious of your reasoning for the no play??
 
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Posted: #11041
Quote Originally Posted by Shirldog:

Here goes nothing

Shirldog 0-0

DAL Dallas +7

OVER 200 SAS San Antonio - OKL Oklahoma

Welcome! 
 
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Posts: 355
Posted: #11042
Shirldog 0-0

DAL Mavericks +7

Over 200 OKC Thunder-SA Spurs

home team first with totals
 
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Posts: 5295
Posted: #11043
Wow
What a day on binary options - straight from its minute one
3 wins. 1460$, 780$, 750$
+2990$  !!!!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 77
Posted: #11044
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

Wow
What a day on binary options - straight from its minute one
3 wins. 1460$, 780$, 750$
+2990$  !!!!

  
 
Prospect
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Posts: 77
Posted: #11045
Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:

Turbovtk  32-18-2

BKN Nets -5

DEN Nuggets -6.5

OKC Thunder -7.5

Reasoning later...


So, parlay with these three teams (ML) is also a good idea...?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11046
Prob gonna take the night off as I've had another great day in bases, already 4-0 + parley with WAS RL pending and NYY Ov & TOR Ov later tonight. Had a great day yesterday in bases and give enough back to the NBA circus. Plus shinny tonight, last game of year so prob gonna have some beers and enjoy the Spurs game tonight. 

BOL EVERYONE!
Get it Gents!!

 
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Posted: #11047
[Quote: Originally Posted by SportsMavin] Wow
What a day on binary options - straight from its minute one
3 wins. 1460$, 780$, 750$
+2990$  !!!!
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1676
Posted: #11048
Quote Originally Posted by Maxbo:



So, parlay with these three teams (ML) is also a good idea...?

Correct the 3 ML should be a good idea but payout will be low- I am doing this with open spots meaning I may start at the half. Not sure yet need to see how the first game goes- wished the 3 was around 10:30pm but no control over that.
 
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Posted: #11049
Quote Originally Posted by eaglequill:

Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:

Wow
What a day on binary options - straight from its minute one
3 wins. 1460$, 780$, 750$
+2990$  !!!!
PM me
 
 
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Posted: #11050
Quote Originally Posted by Maxbo:


  
Thanks. Did you already start trading?
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