Posted:
#10701
mavin, grats on a milestone
Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
Posted:
#10702
Quote Originally Posted by Eryximaque:
Eryximaque 36-31-1
Eryximaque 36-31-1
Under 209 MIL Bucks - OKC Thunder
I think really line is sooooo high again, Thunder has failed yesterday Vs wolves, they are upset tonight, and will play better defense Vs Bucks,
RLM with 61% on over and line decrease fast, from 210 to 208.5 for now.
And many trends on under again.
I agree with your pick because it is a trend, however not to be a PITA just voicing and opinion and you know they all stink lol. I think is not a good way to cap when we start thinking of what a team is feeling like, because that can change game time or during the game, at that point it makes sense for second half and live betting because you have a baseline to work off. It may work your way but you should see if it's because of what you say. I see that a lot here and maybe it's just me because am a numbers guy ( I sometimes do use psych to evaluate games but we can't really know until close to game time or post games interviews or pre game etc.)
Hope that is not intruding. 
Posted:
#10703
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:
Musicmatt1 47-52-1
Musicmatt1 47-52-1
MIN Timberwolves +3.5
At the rate this line is moving, it could be pick by game time. This is the right play. Same trend as yesterday. Western conference teams that have clinched playing on the road against non playoff contenders are now 0-6 ATS after yesterday.
Its good that you are following your system play- but also you should take a look at the Grizz trying to right the ship and the Wolves will not just keep on beating everyone that is a playoff team. Not saying you are wrong but it's a tricky play.
but what else is new 
Posted:
#10705
greengiants 32-37
MIN Timberwolves +3
Over 186 MIN Timberwolves - MEM Grizzlies
RLM play, following Matt's trends with playoff teams who have clinched, I like the over here also, which would be in line with Matt's trends.Like the way Pekovic and Rubio are playing right now.
Over 191 UTA Jazz - BKN Nets
Both teams averaging over 100pts in the last 5 on offense and about 99pts on defense.Both teams average over 191 on 0 days rest.I have my favorite over ref tonight in Violet Palmer with 2 other refs who are favorable to the over at this total.I believe the Nets will cover the spread.Total has gone over 191 3 of the last 4 times they have played in utah.
Best of luck tonight everyone!
Posted:
#10708
Quote Originally Posted by Musicmatt1:
Musicmatt1 47-52-1
Musicmatt1 47-52-1
MIN Timberwolves +3.5
Over 186 MIN Timberwolves - MEM Grizzlies
Over 191 UTAH Jazz - BKN Nets
All based off trends I've been following that Greengiants so eloquently explained.
May I also add the game today in Dallas as another example to support the over in Utah.
we are like twins today lol!!
Posted:
#10709
LoLITiltU 5-4
UTA Jazz -4.5
Under 208 OKC Thunder at MIL Bucks
Back from short vacation in the country and the mind should be fresh.
Took both picks realier today because of line movement. Not much else to say other than BKN been on the road for a long time as someone mentioned earlier and OKC beaten unexpectedly yesterday and should play more D.
Posted:
#10713
Quote Originally Posted by SunsDevils:
OK, so i looked at the OKC MIL line now and it is at 206.5.
Do you guys still think I should take it? Most people are on the under, so I think I probably missed the bus.
OK, so i looked at the OKC MIL line now and it is at 206.5.
Do you guys still think I should take it? Most people are on the under, so I think I probably missed the bus.Lock in over 206.5
Sometimes, going against covers can be gd.....I went over when Boston and Miami played. Coz everyone was on under..... The other day, when Dallas played Indiana.... Went Indiana +3.5, because everyone was on Dallas....
Lock it in over 206.5
Posted:
#10714
Jpaco 39-41-1
ATL Hawks -12
atl already beat orl in orl with orl having most of their starters and coming from a lost yesterday even its b2b they will play good at home
UTA Jazz -4.5
uta will keep trying to win to keep the 8th spot and best spot to win is at home..brk seems paying its dues now
GS Warriors -9.5
well ressted and bad defeat from the kings with por not havin aldridge lee and bogut will dominate and makes curry and thompson happy wide open everytime por will try to doble the big men of gs
BOL EVERYONE! 
Posted:
#10715
AshyLarryMP 50-46-2:
LA Lakers -2.5
MEM Grizzlies -3
PHO Suns +10.5
lakers is a gut play, as i feel they're the better team and need a win tonight as always.. but they own the kings.. with or without kobe they get this done in my opinion.. no real stats to back it up just trusting the better team..
Grizzlies i'm aware of the reverse line movement.. and agree with cliff's stats about playoff teams on road vs non playoff teams.. but Kind of with turbovtk when we ask ourselves can Twolves keep winning?? i've been on them this whole streak and feel grizz should be able to out physical pekovic down low and disrupt what grizz want to do.. taking a chance on better team outright here.
as for the suns.. THEY ARE GARBAGE! i know this.. but 10.5 is a lot of points! and pacers due for a letdown with people betting against them in houston and dallas and they won both.. perhaps they take it easy here and i have no doubt they'll win.. just don't think they'll need to win by DD to be satisfied.. taking a chance on being up 10-0 before game starts..
good luck to all! syracuse-4 made me money so far :) and i'm big on Wichita st+4.5 tonight.. trust me on that one..
Posted:
#10718
phixer 21-9
Under 208 MIL Bucks - OKC Thunder
BigUnit 38-29
LA Clippers +1.5
MIN Timberwolves +4
Eryximaque 36-31-1
Under 209 MIL Bucks - OKC Thunder
AshyLarryMP 50-46-2:
LA Lakers -2.5
MEM Grizzlies -3
PHO Suns +10.5
washhead 3-0
UTA Jazz -4
UTA Jazz -4
LoLITiltU 5-4
UTA Jazz -4.5
Under 208 OKC Thunder at MIL Bucks
Jpaco 39-41-1
ATL Hawks -12
UTA Jazz -4.5
GS Warriors -9.5
greengiants 32-37
MIN Timberwolves +3
Over 186 MIN Timberwolves - MEM Grizzlies
Over 191 UTA Jazz - BKN Nets
Musicmatt1 47-52-1
MIN Timberwolves +3.5
Over 186 MIN Timberwolves - MEM Grizzlies
Over 191 UTAH Jazz - BKN Nets
Posted:
#10719
Heads2134 21-20
Over 205 MIL Bucks - OKC Thunder
MEM Grizzlies -3
LAL Lakers -2.5
Over OKC the line drops 4 pts off the opening line, thats a lot of points, the Bucks play a fast game especially at home.
Grizzlies, everybody on the Wolves, line drops 2 points off the opening line, and the Grizzlies with Gasol and Randolph will contain Pekovic.
I dont believe Vegas loosing that much money today in this 2 plays.
And the Lakers, Kobe and Nash playing, they need to win this one if they want to play in the playoffs. The line is the same as the one a couple of days ago in Milwaukee (-2.5) and I believe that the Bucks are a better team than the Kings, so i find value on this play.
Posted:
#10722
Quote Originally Posted by Heads2134:
Heads2134 21-20
Heads2134 21-20
Over 205 MIL Bucks - OKC Thunder
MEM Grizzlies -3
LAL Lakers -2.5
Over OKC the line drops 4 pts off the opening line, thats a lot of points, the Bucks play a fast game especially at home.
Grizzlies, everybody on the Wolves, line drops 2 points off the opening line, and the Grizzlies with Gasol and Randolph will contain Pekovic.
I dont believe Vegas loosing that much money today in this 2 plays.
And the Lakers, Kobe and Nash playing, they need to win this one if they want to play in the playoffs. The line is the same as the one a couple of days ago in Milwaukee (-2.5) and I believe that the Bucks are a better team than the Kings, so i find value on this play.
LVSC released it 210.5 
, it dropped to 206.5, went up to 208 - phixer hit on it there and it dropped to 206.5 back and then continued to drop as a slide effect took on.
, it dropped to 206.5, went up to 208 - phixer hit on it there and it dropped to 206.5 back and then continued to drop as a slide effect took on.
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