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    Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

    «First Previous 302303304 ... 506507508 Next Last»
    ocer12
    jackson0780
    Turbovtk
    lrempel
    greengiants
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    ocer12
    ocer12
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    Posts: 130
    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 9:35 AM ET #7526

    Ive been out 4 any1 who cares but the good news is im back but enough about me thats not what this thread is about that being said i like the knicks i just think match up wise we have more than the heat knicks get it done and i like lobangeles
    Reply
    Ive been out 4 any1 who cares but the good news is im back but enough about me thats not what this thread is about that being said i like the knicks i just think match up wise we have more than the heat knicks get it done and i like lobangeles
     
    ocer12
    ocer12
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 9:37 AM ET #7527

    NY Knicks +4.5
    LA Clippers -2.5
    Reply
    NY Knicks +4.5
    LA Clippers -2.5
     
    jackson0780
    jackson0780
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 9:43 AM ET #7528

    can anyone find out if thier odds insider app is working ? It seems to have crashed.. the site has been down since Friday night.. and not will be highly appreciated...
    Reply
    can anyone find out if thier odds insider app is working ? It seems to have crashed.. the site has been down since Friday night.. and not will be highly appreciated...
     
    Turbovtk
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 9:48 AM ET #7529

    Quote Originally Posted by jpaco:

    home and over today daym 

    You have go to stop stealing my posts man lol 

    The day am working OT is the day I don't parlay until the 2h of the last game- I was thinking two do two parlays for $1 each all the home and unders and all the home and overs. Kicking myself for it at the half of the last game so took the home team and the over along with some games today


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jpaco:

    home and over today daym 

    You have go to stop stealing my posts man lol 

    The day am working OT is the day I don't parlay until the 2h of the last game- I was thinking two do two parlays for $1 each all the home and unders and all the home and overs. Kicking myself for it at the half of the last game so took the home team and the over along with some games today


     
    lrempel
    lrempel
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 9:57 AM ET #7530

     lrempel 1-0 + 100

     Mia heat - 4.5 -110

    I'm seeing a bunch of guys in here posting NY for the early game. I believe vegas is achieving what it wants with this line. I'm thinking they have it low enough that people will be all over NY, Well I'm thinking that is the wrong outcome of this game. Yes Mia streak will have to end sometime, however when in their past road games, winning by margins of 10,13,14,19,15 and 20 ( with 2 losses to Indy and Bos within those road games, its pretty clear they are winning most with ease. Seeing how Mia has lost 2 to NY this year, do you really think they want to loose 3 to the same team within a years time? NY is 0-2 su/ats this year as a 4-4.5 pt dog. Mia is going to catch NY sleeping in at home this morning and waking them up to a can of whoop behind.
     NY last 4 wins come vs teams with a record of 94-136, not above avg talent they been beating. winning those 4 by combined 24 pts.
     Mia on the other hand in it's last 4 road wins, come against teams with a record of 132-99. clearly much better teams, yet winning those 4 by a combined 66 pts. Its a pretty clear picture really, take a team beating sub par teams , or a team that is dominating good teams in thier own house in convincing fashion. I am taking Mia to take care of a team that has not been playing up to how they started the season when they beat Mia earlier.
     prediction 95- 84 Mia
     Sorry Mavin, I know you don't really want multiple posts with pic's, I am going to post another one, just wanted to get this one out there considering an early game.
    Reply
     lrempel 1-0 + 100

     Mia heat - 4.5 -110

    I'm seeing a bunch of guys in here posting NY for the early game. I believe vegas is achieving what it wants with this line. I'm thinking they have it low enough that people will be all over NY, Well I'm thinking that is the wrong outcome of this game. Yes Mia streak will have to end sometime, however when in their past road games, winning by margins of 10,13,14,19,15 and 20 ( with 2 losses to Indy and Bos within those road games, its pretty clear they are winning most with ease. Seeing how Mia has lost 2 to NY this year, do you really think they want to loose 3 to the same team within a years time? NY is 0-2 su/ats this year as a 4-4.5 pt dog. Mia is going to catch NY sleeping in at home this morning and waking them up to a can of whoop behind.
     NY last 4 wins come vs teams with a record of 94-136, not above avg talent they been beating. winning those 4 by combined 24 pts.
     Mia on the other hand in it's last 4 road wins, come against teams with a record of 132-99. clearly much better teams, yet winning those 4 by a combined 66 pts. Its a pretty clear picture really, take a team beating sub par teams , or a team that is dominating good teams in thier own house in convincing fashion. I am taking Mia to take care of a team that has not been playing up to how they started the season when they beat Mia earlier.
     prediction 95- 84 Mia
     Sorry Mavin, I know you don't really want multiple posts with pic's, I am going to post another one, just wanted to get this one out there considering an early game.
     
    Turbovtk
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:10 AM ET #7531

    Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

    11-4

    Gonna add one more.   Thunder and Clippers over has been 6-1 last 7 meetings.  Thunder have averaged 114 last 5 games, Clippers have averaged 105 last 8 games.  Thunder has averaged 103 on the road this season and Clippers the same at home.  Game should be competitive which always opens the possibility of OT.

    Over 204.5 OKC Thunder-LA Clippers

    Over 199.5 DET Pistons-SA Spurs

    Over 207 ATL Hawks-LA Lakers


    The only issue I have with your picks ( just my opinion of course ) is that when using records alone ATS and O/U and the record is so lob sided like 6-1 etc. is that I think of percentages the same way I think of teams that are shooting 60-70% in the first half does it continue in the second half or if a team is shooting 15% in the first half does it carry over or reverse in the second half. That being said I think you should also add a few variables to your rationale like the playoff picture (mostly in the second half of the year) rivalries that have developed throughout the year. Also when it comes to over and under how meaningful where the matchups between set teams, was it a get over me game or was it a physical hard fought not in my house kind of game. Friday I picked the under 218 for the game here and on the streak going against the streak leader who had 11 at the time. At first you think Nuggets are killing it and so has OKC so the over is a lock (personally I think Phixer fixed it but you know thats not really allowed in the NBA right )

    As it turned out the game was an under game why? well my theory is that you can't bat 600 in MLB you can't shoot 800 in the NBA eventually the law of averages takes over and things even out in the end. Think about why in Poker their are so many familiar faces in the tail end of the main event of the WSOP is not because they are just lucky is because in the end the good teams figure out a way to be in the playoffs and the bad teams show their true colors. One of my favorite quote is ... " Chance favors the prepared mind "  and there is no such thing as luck, is all about the numbers if it were about luck vegas has to be the luckiest of us all  and sure we use the word luck up and down every day but at the end of the day it's all about probability and the law of averages which is what you are doing here but you need to add the law of avg. to it. You may win them all but track your records and as long as your thinking works the majority of the time keep at it.

    I will leave you with my own personal quote I have no idea if anyone else used this before me...

    "In the world we live in, there is no such thing as luck, right or wrong, there is however chance, risk and reward which are the variables of the choices that we make and the consequences of such actions"


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

    11-4

    Gonna add one more.   Thunder and Clippers over has been 6-1 last 7 meetings.  Thunder have averaged 114 last 5 games, Clippers have averaged 105 last 8 games.  Thunder has averaged 103 on the road this season and Clippers the same at home.  Game should be competitive which always opens the possibility of OT.

    Over 204.5 OKC Thunder-LA Clippers

    Over 199.5 DET Pistons-SA Spurs

    Over 207 ATL Hawks-LA Lakers


    The only issue I have with your picks ( just my opinion of course ) is that when using records alone ATS and O/U and the record is so lob sided like 6-1 etc. is that I think of percentages the same way I think of teams that are shooting 60-70% in the first half does it continue in the second half or if a team is shooting 15% in the first half does it carry over or reverse in the second half. That being said I think you should also add a few variables to your rationale like the playoff picture (mostly in the second half of the year) rivalries that have developed throughout the year. Also when it comes to over and under how meaningful where the matchups between set teams, was it a get over me game or was it a physical hard fought not in my house kind of game. Friday I picked the under 218 for the game here and on the streak going against the streak leader who had 11 at the time. At first you think Nuggets are killing it and so has OKC so the over is a lock (personally I think Phixer fixed it but you know thats not really allowed in the NBA right )

    As it turned out the game was an under game why? well my theory is that you can't bat 600 in MLB you can't shoot 800 in the NBA eventually the law of averages takes over and things even out in the end. Think about why in Poker their are so many familiar faces in the tail end of the main event of the WSOP is not because they are just lucky is because in the end the good teams figure out a way to be in the playoffs and the bad teams show their true colors. One of my favorite quote is ... " Chance favors the prepared mind "  and there is no such thing as luck, is all about the numbers if it were about luck vegas has to be the luckiest of us all  and sure we use the word luck up and down every day but at the end of the day it's all about probability and the law of averages which is what you are doing here but you need to add the law of avg. to it. You may win them all but track your records and as long as your thinking works the majority of the time keep at it.

    I will leave you with my own personal quote I have no idea if anyone else used this before me...

    "In the world we live in, there is no such thing as luck, right or wrong, there is however chance, risk and reward which are the variables of the choices that we make and the consequences of such actions"


     
    greengiants
    greengiants
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:13 AM ET #7532

    Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

    On another note, if I had 4 choices I would bet the Bobcats, the Kings have no business giving 7.5 points to anybody.

    That was exactly my thought last night when looking at this matchup!

    greengiants 11-13

    CHA Bobcats +7.5

    -Kings are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest

    -Kings are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game

    -Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record

    LA Clippers -2.5

    - Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600

    -Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

    -Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record

    -Clippers are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game

    -Thunder are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles

    Best of luck today everyone! 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

    On another note, if I had 4 choices I would bet the Bobcats, the Kings have no business giving 7.5 points to anybody.

    That was exactly my thought last night when looking at this matchup!

    greengiants 11-13

    CHA Bobcats +7.5

    -Kings are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest

    -Kings are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game

    -Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record

    LA Clippers -2.5

    - Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600

    -Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record

    -Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record

    -Clippers are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game

    -Thunder are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles

    Best of luck today everyone! 

     
    Turbovtk
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:15 AM ET #7533

    Quote Originally Posted by jackson0780:

    can anyone find out if thier odds insider app is working ? It seems to have crashed.. the site has been down since Friday night.. and not will be highly appreciated...

    I am experiencing the same here 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jackson0780:

    can anyone find out if thier odds insider app is working ? It seems to have crashed.. the site has been down since Friday night.. and not will be highly appreciated...

    I am experiencing the same here 
     
    Turbovtk
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:16 AM ET #7534

    Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

    On another note, if I had 4 choices I would bet the Bobcats, the Kings have no business giving 7.5 points to anybody.


    You may be right however with the kings is hit or miss and depends on the matchup- they have given some teams a run for their money- Like the Heat in most recent time- sure the spurts blew them out but that is what I mean by HEAT or miss 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

    On another note, if I had 4 choices I would bet the Bobcats, the Kings have no business giving 7.5 points to anybody.


    You may be right however with the kings is hit or miss and depends on the matchup- they have given some teams a run for their money- Like the Heat in most recent time- sure the spurts blew them out but that is what I mean by HEAT or miss 
     
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:18 AM ET #7535

    Quote Originally Posted by ocer12:

    NY Knicks +4.5
    LA Clippers -2.5

    I think one of us will be very happy or very pissed because I am leaning HEAT OKC - a very non realistic way of looking at things but I lost both games on a Sunday a few weeks back when the Heat lost in OT to the Celtics (I had the ML) and when OKC lost to the Lakers  both were away games for my losers and both were against conference rivals.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ocer12:

    NY Knicks +4.5
    LA Clippers -2.5

    I think one of us will be very happy or very pissed because I am leaning HEAT OKC - a very non realistic way of looking at things but I lost both games on a Sunday a few weeks back when the Heat lost in OT to the Celtics (I had the ML) and when OKC lost to the Lakers  both were away games for my losers and both were against conference rivals.
     
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:20 AM ET #7536

    Quote Originally Posted by ocer12:

    NY Knicks +4.5
    LA Clippers -2.5

    I know you have been away so I will help you with formatting...

    ocer12

    NY Knicks +4.5
    LA Clippers -2.5

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ocer12:

    NY Knicks +4.5
    LA Clippers -2.5

    I know you have been away so I will help you with formatting...

    ocer12

    NY Knicks +4.5
    LA Clippers -2.5

     
    Turbovtk
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:21 AM ET #7537

    Quote Originally Posted by bisexual_thug:

    knicks +5


    Needs formatting


    bisexual_thug

    NY Knicks +5

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bisexual_thug:

    knicks +5


    Needs formatting


    bisexual_thug

    NY Knicks +5

     
    EddyWinsLow
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:23 AM ET #7538

    Eddywinslow 1-0

    OVER 198 MIA Heat - NY Knicks

    These big Sunday televised games never disappoint, and I see this one coming out the gate as a shootout. Heat don't pull away till late-3rd quarter.

    OVER 199.5 DET Pistons - SA Spurs

    Parker led the Spurs with a nicely-paced offense...With him out, expect the Spurs to speed that tempo up. In the process, Pistons will have more offensive opportunities. Considering their last matchup (2/8/13) went to 228, I don't see 200 as a difficult benchmark for today.

    UNDER 179 CHI Bulls - IND Pacers

    Two solid eastern conference teams that rarely slack on the defensive end. The Bulls and Pacers will gladly work for their points, even if that means they're few and far in between.
    Reply
    Eddywinslow 1-0

    OVER 198 MIA Heat - NY Knicks

    These big Sunday televised games never disappoint, and I see this one coming out the gate as a shootout. Heat don't pull away till late-3rd quarter.

    OVER 199.5 DET Pistons - SA Spurs

    Parker led the Spurs with a nicely-paced offense...With him out, expect the Spurs to speed that tempo up. In the process, Pistons will have more offensive opportunities. Considering their last matchup (2/8/13) went to 228, I don't see 200 as a difficult benchmark for today.

    UNDER 179 CHI Bulls - IND Pacers

    Two solid eastern conference teams that rarely slack on the defensive end. The Bulls and Pacers will gladly work for their points, even if that means they're few and far in between.
     
    KJacobs2O3
    KJacobs2O3
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:34 AM ET #7539

    3rd play

    MIA heat -4.5

    Ive noticed that many people are on the knicks today and i understand why. the knicks have owned miami this year. but that was when the knicks were playing good defense and the knicks are not playing the same ball now as they were when they beat miami twice.miami is on fire and  miami is ready for this game. they wont accept getting blown out twice and they want to keep this winning streak going. if anyone noticed how much of that game against memphis that lebron sat out. almost as if they started preparing for this game soon by resting lebron a little extra. i beleive miami turns the tide and blows out the knicks this time. Good luck

     

    Reply

    3rd play

    MIA heat -4.5

    Ive noticed that many people are on the knicks today and i understand why. the knicks have owned miami this year. but that was when the knicks were playing good defense and the knicks are not playing the same ball now as they were when they beat miami twice.miami is on fire and  miami is ready for this game. they wont accept getting blown out twice and they want to keep this winning streak going. if anyone noticed how much of that game against memphis that lebron sat out. almost as if they started preparing for this game soon by resting lebron a little extra. i beleive miami turns the tide and blows out the knicks this time. Good luck

     

     
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:43 AM ET #7540

    Quote Originally Posted by lrempel:

     lrempel 1-0 + 100

     Mia heat - 4.5 -110

    I'm seeing a bunch of guys in here posting NY for the early game. I believe vegas is achieving what it wants with this line. I'm thinking they have it low enough that people will be all over NY, Well I'm thinking that is the wrong outcome of this game. Yes Mia streak will have to end sometime, however when in their past road games, winning by margins of 10,13,14,19,15 and 20 ( with 2 losses to Indy and Bos within those road games, its pretty clear they are winning most with ease. Seeing how Mia has lost 2 to NY this year, do you really think they want to loose 3 to the same team within a years time? NY is 0-2 su/ats this year as a 4-4.5 pt dog. Mia is going to catch NY sleeping in at home this morning and waking them up to a can of whoop behind.
     NY last 4 wins come vs teams with a record of 94-136, not above avg talent they been beating. winning those 4 by combined 24 pts.
     Mia on the other hand in it's last 4 road wins, come against teams with a record of 132-99. clearly much better teams, yet winning those 4 by a combined 66 pts. Its a pretty clear picture really, take a team beating sub par teams , or a team that is dominating good teams in thier own house in convincing fashion. I am taking Mia to take care of a team that has not been playing up to how they started the season when they beat Mia earlier.
     prediction 95- 84 Mia
     Sorry Mavin, I know you don't really want multiple posts with pic's, I am going to post another one, just wanted to get this one out there considering an early game.

    This will be a good game I think- I am going with the heat because if they can't show up to play in this game then I can fade the for a few after this or avoid their spreads, I mean tomorrow spread against the wolves has to be like -15.5 just guesstimating- 

    Last night is proof that only small plays or small parlays are to be made when your don't have anything on the board that appeals to you. I wrote the games down very late on Saturday it was Sunday morning really and tried to make my own lines and when I compared them to the board I was off by 3 pts against me in most cases so i backed off.

    Todays board is very interesting and the games that appeal to me are the Heat Knicks - Thunder Clips - and Bulls Pacers 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by lrempel:

     lrempel 1-0 + 100

     Mia heat - 4.5 -110

    I'm seeing a bunch of guys in here posting NY for the early game. I believe vegas is achieving what it wants with this line. I'm thinking they have it low enough that people will be all over NY, Well I'm thinking that is the wrong outcome of this game. Yes Mia streak will have to end sometime, however when in their past road games, winning by margins of 10,13,14,19,15 and 20 ( with 2 losses to Indy and Bos within those road games, its pretty clear they are winning most with ease. Seeing how Mia has lost 2 to NY this year, do you really think they want to loose 3 to the same team within a years time? NY is 0-2 su/ats this year as a 4-4.5 pt dog. Mia is going to catch NY sleeping in at home this morning and waking them up to a can of whoop behind.
     NY last 4 wins come vs teams with a record of 94-136, not above avg talent they been beating. winning those 4 by combined 24 pts.
     Mia on the other hand in it's last 4 road wins, come against teams with a record of 132-99. clearly much better teams, yet winning those 4 by a combined 66 pts. Its a pretty clear picture really, take a team beating sub par teams , or a team that is dominating good teams in thier own house in convincing fashion. I am taking Mia to take care of a team that has not been playing up to how they started the season when they beat Mia earlier.
     prediction 95- 84 Mia
     Sorry Mavin, I know you don't really want multiple posts with pic's, I am going to post another one, just wanted to get this one out there considering an early game.

    This will be a good game I think- I am going with the heat because if they can't show up to play in this game then I can fade the for a few after this or avoid their spreads, I mean tomorrow spread against the wolves has to be like -15.5 just guesstimating- 

    Last night is proof that only small plays or small parlays are to be made when your don't have anything on the board that appeals to you. I wrote the games down very late on Saturday it was Sunday morning really and tried to make my own lines and when I compared them to the board I was off by 3 pts against me in most cases so i backed off.

    Todays board is very interesting and the games that appeal to me are the Heat Knicks - Thunder Clips - and Bulls Pacers 
     
    Lopelpickscom
    Lopelpickscom
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:52 AM ET #7541

    LOPELPICKSCOM 10-6-1

    MY MIND IS TELLING ME NOOOOO, BUT MY BODY, MY BODY IS TELLING ME YESSSSSSSS!!! Haha

    NY Knicks +4.5

    Yes yes I know. Heat playing possessed, Heat Revenge game, Knicks look like $hit ect. ect. But Vegas knows all this all too well and I feel they make a killing today. Carmelo absolutely loves the spotlight and national t.v. games. This game can go either way and I was actually leaning MIA today but Im deciding to go with vegas today.

    LAC Clippers -2

    Same deal as with the Heat/knick game but im using reverse logic here as its a clips revenge game. Again this one can go either way, but I'm siding with vegas. I can very well go 0-2 today but i'll take the chance as I see value in both of these picks.
    Reply
    LOPELPICKSCOM 10-6-1

    MY MIND IS TELLING ME NOOOOO, BUT MY BODY, MY BODY IS TELLING ME YESSSSSSSS!!! Haha

    NY Knicks +4.5

    Yes yes I know. Heat playing possessed, Heat Revenge game, Knicks look like $hit ect. ect. But Vegas knows all this all too well and I feel they make a killing today. Carmelo absolutely loves the spotlight and national t.v. games. This game can go either way and I was actually leaning MIA today but Im deciding to go with vegas today.

    LAC Clippers -2

    Same deal as with the Heat/knick game but im using reverse logic here as its a clips revenge game. Again this one can go either way, but I'm siding with vegas. I can very well go 0-2 today but i'll take the chance as I see value in both of these picks.
     
    Turbovtk
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 10:56 AM ET #7542

    7 Team Teaser 6, 6½, 7 pts Football & 5½, 6,6½ pts Basketball

    03/03/2013 @ 01:00 PM NBA

    [801] MIAMI +1½-110 (B+5½)

    03/03/2013 @ 03:30 PM NBA

    [803] OKLAHOMA CITY +7½-110 (B+5½)

    03/03/2013 @ 09:35 PM NBA

    [818] LA LAKERS PK-110 (B+5½)

    03/03/2013 @ 08:05 PM NBA

    [816] INDIANA -2-110 (B+5½)

    03/03/2013 @ 01:00 PM NBA

    [801] TOTAL o192-110 (B+5½)

    (MIAMI vrs NEW YORK)

    03/03/2013 @ 10:54 AM

    OPEN PLAY

    03/03/2013 @ 10:54 AM

    OPEN PLAY


    $50 for $400

    Reply

    7 Team Teaser 6, 6½, 7 pts Football & 5½, 6,6½ pts Basketball

    03/03/2013 @ 01:00 PM NBA

    [801] MIAMI +1½-110 (B+5½)

    03/03/2013 @ 03:30 PM NBA

    [803] OKLAHOMA CITY +7½-110 (B+5½)

    03/03/2013 @ 09:35 PM NBA

    [818] LA LAKERS PK-110 (B+5½)

    03/03/2013 @ 08:05 PM NBA

    [816] INDIANA -2-110 (B+5½)

    03/03/2013 @ 01:00 PM NBA

    [801] TOTAL o192-110 (B+5½)

    (MIAMI vrs NEW YORK)

    03/03/2013 @ 10:54 AM

    OPEN PLAY

    03/03/2013 @ 10:54 AM

    OPEN PLAY


    $50 for $400

     
    Lopelpickscom
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 11:01 AM ET #7543

    Quote Originally Posted by lrempel:

     lrempel 1-0 + 100

     Mia heat - 4.5 -110

    I'm seeing a bunch of guys in here posting NY for the early game. I believe vegas is achieving what it wants with this line. I'm thinking they have it low enough that people will be all over NY, Well I'm thinking that is the wrong outcome of this game. Yes Mia streak will have to end sometime, however when in their past road games, winning by margins of 10,13,14,19,15 and 20 ( with 2 losses to Indy and Bos within those road games, its pretty clear they are winning most with ease. Seeing how Mia has lost 2 to NY this year, do you really think they want to loose 3 to the same team within a years time? NY is 0-2 su/ats this year as a 4-4.5 pt dog. Mia is going to catch NY sleeping in at home this morning and waking them up to a can of whoop behind.
     NY last 4 wins come vs teams with a record of 94-136, not above avg talent they been beating. winning those 4 by combined 24 pts.
     Mia on the other hand in it's last 4 road wins, come against teams with a record of 132-99. clearly much better teams, yet winning those 4 by a combined 66 pts. Its a pretty clear picture really, take a team beating sub par teams , or a team that is dominating good teams in thier own house in convincing fashion. I am taking Mia to take care of a team that has not been playing up to how they started the season when they beat Mia earlier.
     prediction 95- 84 Mia
     Sorry Mavin, I know you don't really want multiple posts with pic's, I am going to post another one, just wanted to get this one out there considering an early game.

    Your logic is wrong as over 60% are on the Heat. You might have the right outcome but the low line favors MIA
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by lrempel:

     lrempel 1-0 + 100

     Mia heat - 4.5 -110

    I'm seeing a bunch of guys in here posting NY for the early game. I believe vegas is achieving what it wants with this line. I'm thinking they have it low enough that people will be all over NY, Well I'm thinking that is the wrong outcome of this game. Yes Mia streak will have to end sometime, however when in their past road games, winning by margins of 10,13,14,19,15 and 20 ( with 2 losses to Indy and Bos within those road games, its pretty clear they are winning most with ease. Seeing how Mia has lost 2 to NY this year, do you really think they want to loose 3 to the same team within a years time? NY is 0-2 su/ats this year as a 4-4.5 pt dog. Mia is going to catch NY sleeping in at home this morning and waking them up to a can of whoop behind.
     NY last 4 wins come vs teams with a record of 94-136, not above avg talent they been beating. winning those 4 by combined 24 pts.
     Mia on the other hand in it's last 4 road wins, come against teams with a record of 132-99. clearly much better teams, yet winning those 4 by a combined 66 pts. Its a pretty clear picture really, take a team beating sub par teams , or a team that is dominating good teams in thier own house in convincing fashion. I am taking Mia to take care of a team that has not been playing up to how they started the season when they beat Mia earlier.
     prediction 95- 84 Mia
     Sorry Mavin, I know you don't really want multiple posts with pic's, I am going to post another one, just wanted to get this one out there considering an early game.

    Your logic is wrong as over 60% are on the Heat. You might have the right outcome but the low line favors MIA
     
    Turbovtk
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 11:06 AM ET #7544

    Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:

    LOPELPICKSCOM 10-6-1

    MY MIND IS TELLING ME NOOOOO, BUT MY BODY, MY BODY IS TELLING ME YESSSSSSSS!!! Haha

    NY Knicks +4.5

    Yes yes I know. Heat playing possessed, Heat Revenge game, Knicks look like $hit ect. ect. But Vegas knows all this all too well and I feel they make a killing today. Carmelo absolutely loves the spotlight and national t.v. games. This game can go either way and I was actually leaning MIA today but Im deciding to go with vegas today.

    LAC Clippers -2

    Same deal as with the Heat/knick game but im using reverse logic here as its a clips revenge game. Again this one can go either way, but I'm siding with vegas. I can very well go 0-2 today but i'll take the chance as I see value in both of these picks.

    You may be right but I have the other two teams - at least the over all record wont be lobsided to a loss lol 

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:

    LOPELPICKSCOM 10-6-1

    MY MIND IS TELLING ME NOOOOO, BUT MY BODY, MY BODY IS TELLING ME YESSSSSSSS!!! Haha

    NY Knicks +4.5

    Yes yes I know. Heat playing possessed, Heat Revenge game, Knicks look like $hit ect. ect. But Vegas knows all this all too well and I feel they make a killing today. Carmelo absolutely loves the spotlight and national t.v. games. This game can go either way and I was actually leaning MIA today but Im deciding to go with vegas today.

    LAC Clippers -2

    Same deal as with the Heat/knick game but im using reverse logic here as its a clips revenge game. Again this one can go either way, but I'm siding with vegas. I can very well go 0-2 today but i'll take the chance as I see value in both of these picks.

    You may be right but I have the other two teams - at least the over all record wont be lobsided to a loss lol 

     
    Turbovtk
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 11:09 AM ET #7545

    Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:

    LOPELPICKSCOM 10-6-1

    MY MIND IS TELLING ME NOOOOO, BUT MY BODY, MY BODY IS TELLING ME YESSSSSSSS!!! Haha

    NY Knicks +4.5

    Yes yes I know. Heat playing possessed, Heat Revenge game, Knicks look like $hit ect. ect. But Vegas knows all this all too well and I feel they make a killing today. Carmelo absolutely loves the spotlight and national t.v. games. This game can go either way and I was actually leaning MIA today but Im deciding to go with vegas today.

    LAC Clippers -2

    Same deal as with the Heat/knick game but im using reverse logic here as its a clips revenge game. Again this one can go either way, but I'm siding with vegas. I can very well go 0-2 today but i'll take the chance as I see value in both of these picks.

    My mind is telling me it wants a close encounter with your avatar  ohh and my body concurs! 




    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:

    LOPELPICKSCOM 10-6-1

    MY MIND IS TELLING ME NOOOOO, BUT MY BODY, MY BODY IS TELLING ME YESSSSSSSS!!! Haha

    NY Knicks +4.5

    Yes yes I know. Heat playing possessed, Heat Revenge game, Knicks look like $hit ect. ect. But Vegas knows all this all too well and I feel they make a killing today. Carmelo absolutely loves the spotlight and national t.v. games. This game can go either way and I was actually leaning MIA today but Im deciding to go with vegas today.

    LAC Clippers -2

    Same deal as with the Heat/knick game but im using reverse logic here as its a clips revenge game. Again this one can go either way, but I'm siding with vegas. I can very well go 0-2 today but i'll take the chance as I see value in both of these picks.

    My mind is telling me it wants a close encounter with your avatar  ohh and my body concurs! 




     
    VyperATS
    VyperATS
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 11:14 AM ET #7546

    VyperATS 8-7-1

     Miami Heat -4½ 

    Clippers -2

    MIA/NY 
     The Heat will enter Sunday's matinee showdown at Madison Square Garden riding a 13-game winning streak.
    James earned his fourth consecutive Eastern Conference Player of the Month on Friday. I think its pay back time on national tv for last 2 losses by NY ! I Lean On Heat!


    OKC/LAC
    The Oklahoma City Thunder have dropped three straight on the road. A setback at the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday afternoon would drop them into third place in the Western Conference. The Clippers have won four straight and eight of their last nine to put themselves in position to overtake the Thunder. Chris Paul has handed out 43 assists in the last four contests to pace the offense while the defense has held opponents to 89.5 points.: Los Angeles has the athletes to get out and run with the Thunder but can also get stops when needed. The Clippers are among the league leaders in points allowed and has held opponents to an average of 93.8 at home. 

    Reply
    VyperATS 8-7-1

     Miami Heat -4½ 

    Clippers -2

    MIA/NY 
     The Heat will enter Sunday's matinee showdown at Madison Square Garden riding a 13-game winning streak.
    James earned his fourth consecutive Eastern Conference Player of the Month on Friday. I think its pay back time on national tv for last 2 losses by NY ! I Lean On Heat!


    OKC/LAC
    The Oklahoma City Thunder have dropped three straight on the road. A setback at the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday afternoon would drop them into third place in the Western Conference. The Clippers have won four straight and eight of their last nine to put themselves in position to overtake the Thunder. Chris Paul has handed out 43 assists in the last four contests to pace the offense while the defense has held opponents to 89.5 points.: Los Angeles has the athletes to get out and run with the Thunder but can also get stops when needed. The Clippers are among the league leaders in points allowed and has held opponents to an average of 93.8 at home. 

     
    Lopelpickscom
    Lopelpickscom
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 11:15 AM ET #7547

    Turbovtk  
    Reply
    Turbovtk  
     
    Lopelpickscom
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 11:24 AM ET #7548

    Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:

    LOPELPICKSCOM 10-6-1

    MY MIND IS TELLING ME NOOOOO, BUT MY BODY, MY BODY IS TELLING ME YESSSSSSSS!!! Haha

    NY Knicks +4.5

    Yes yes I know. Heat playing possessed, Heat Revenge game, Knicks look like $hit ect. ect. But Vegas knows all this all too well and I feel they make a killing today. Carmelo absolutely loves the spotlight and national t.v. games. This game can go either way and I was actually leaning MIA today but Im deciding to go with vegas today.

    LAC Clippers -2

    Same deal as with the Heat/knick game but im using reverse logic here as its a clips revenge game. Again this one can go either way, but I'm siding with vegas. I can very well go 0-2 today but i'll take the chance as I see value in both of these picks.

    *EDIT* Record LOPELPICKSCOM 10-7-1

    Adding 

    UNDER 198 MIA Heat - NY Knicks

    The knicks home games avg around 196 ppg plus there will be people watching today (Nat T.V.) defenses step up a bit more in these games.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:

    LOPELPICKSCOM 10-6-1

    MY MIND IS TELLING ME NOOOOO, BUT MY BODY, MY BODY IS TELLING ME YESSSSSSSS!!! Haha

    NY Knicks +4.5

    Yes yes I know. Heat playing possessed, Heat Revenge game, Knicks look like $hit ect. ect. But Vegas knows all this all too well and I feel they make a killing today. Carmelo absolutely loves the spotlight and national t.v. games. This game can go either way and I was actually leaning MIA today but Im deciding to go with vegas today.

    LAC Clippers -2

    Same deal as with the Heat/knick game but im using reverse logic here as its a clips revenge game. Again this one can go either way, but I'm siding with vegas. I can very well go 0-2 today but i'll take the chance as I see value in both of these picks.

    *EDIT* Record LOPELPICKSCOM 10-7-1

    Adding 

    UNDER 198 MIA Heat - NY Knicks

    The knicks home games avg around 196 ppg plus there will be people watching today (Nat T.V.) defenses step up a bit more in these games.
     
    Turbovtk
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 11:26 AM ET #7549

    Turbovtk 12-8-1

    MIA Heat -4

    OKC Thunder ML

    Under 207 ATL Hawks - LA Lakers

    MIA revenge game and on a streak are good reason posted by others but also I will add that the Knicks are not the same team they were back earlier in the season they have been exposed defensively and if they start to double Lebron it can get ugly as he has been a facilitator and if they don't double well we all know how that can turn out most of the time.

    OKC coming off a bitter loss to division rivals Nuggets v a team coming of big wins who wants it more? I have yet to see a Sunday Durant dominated game, different team same arena a few Sundays back the Lakers took care of OKC with what I thought was alot of home referee cooking.

    Under on Lakers game? well I think that the Lakers went on a rampage on the twolves in the first half and then slowed their role in the second half and barely made it over the 205 line by a couple of buckets to 210 I think if that game did not reach that number then it probably will not do it today either.  
    Reply
    Turbovtk 12-8-1

    MIA Heat -4

    OKC Thunder ML

    Under 207 ATL Hawks - LA Lakers

    MIA revenge game and on a streak are good reason posted by others but also I will add that the Knicks are not the same team they were back earlier in the season they have been exposed defensively and if they start to double Lebron it can get ugly as he has been a facilitator and if they don't double well we all know how that can turn out most of the time.

    OKC coming off a bitter loss to division rivals Nuggets v a team coming of big wins who wants it more? I have yet to see a Sunday Durant dominated game, different team same arena a few Sundays back the Lakers took care of OKC with what I thought was alot of home referee cooking.

    Under on Lakers game? well I think that the Lakers went on a rampage on the twolves in the first half and then slowed their role in the second half and barely made it over the 205 line by a couple of buckets to 210 I think if that game did not reach that number then it probably will not do it today either.  
     
     
    lrempel
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2013 - 11:27 AM ET #7550

    Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:


    Your logic is wrong as over 60% are on the Heat. You might have the right outcome but the low line favors MIA


     In saying most I see in here ( this thread so far) are on the NY knicks. Not this site, not the population of the world, just this thread. I'm sticking with the boy's in here and figuring this sh+t out with them :) Good bunch of guys just trying to beat the books. Does the low line fav Mia? Or does it have people thinking well NY is at home, Mia not playing well against them this year that the 4.5 pts seems appealing to NY backers? Maybe to have people thinking they have beat them 2x this year, Now at +4.5 this game, Let's take NY ml at + odds for the home upset?? Could be looked at in a couple different way's I guess. I do see what your saying. WE will see at games end who's and who's Look at the reality of what I stated regarding these 2 teams last 4 wins. Ny's last 4 overall and Mia's last 4 ( just rd games). Each teams last 10 games and the strength of those teams they have played. It's clear that Mia is putting forth a much better game right now. Many like yourself may see the value in Taking the HOME squad to end Mia's streak, However looking deeper into it, I will take the team that's on the streak, beating down the teams they are playing, not the team barely beating sub par teams. Thanks for your input :)
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Lopelpickscom:


    Your logic is wrong as over 60% are on the Heat. You might have the right outcome but the low line favors MIA


     In saying most I see in here ( this thread so far) are on the NY knicks. Not this site, not the population of the world, just this thread. I'm sticking with the boy's in here and figuring this sh+t out with them :) Good bunch of guys just trying to beat the books. Does the low line fav Mia? Or does it have people thinking well NY is at home, Mia not playing well against them this year that the 4.5 pts seems appealing to NY backers? Maybe to have people thinking they have beat them 2x this year, Now at +4.5 this game, Let's take NY ml at + odds for the home upset?? Could be looked at in a couple different way's I guess. I do see what your saying. WE will see at games end who's and who's Look at the reality of what I stated regarding these 2 teams last 4 wins. Ny's last 4 overall and Mia's last 4 ( just rd games). Each teams last 10 games and the strength of those teams they have played. It's clear that Mia is putting forth a much better game right now. Many like yourself may see the value in Taking the HOME squad to end Mia's streak, However looking deeper into it, I will take the team that's on the streak, beating down the teams they are playing, not the team barely beating sub par teams. Thanks for your input :)
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