Posted:
#526
Quote Originally Posted by roi_fisher:
SportsMavin, I've been keeping up with your every post in this thread like a 13 yr old girl hanging on every move Justin Beiber makes or something. Love what you do, and I have all the confidence in the world that you are a gifted handicapper with a lot of experience who is willing to put in the necessary work to be a long-term winner. I've only been frequenting Covers for two months, but between this site and the other ones that I have been visiting for longer, I will say that the chances of coming across a poster like you, who is willing to not only put the time in when it comes to handicapping, but also when it comes to posting, are slim to none, and so I thank you sir.
With all of that said, I would love to hear your reasoning for betting on the Jazz tonight. You and I have different styles of handicapping to be sure (I use a lot of trends, for example, and quite frankly don't pay a lot of attention to line movement), and I feel pretty strongly that that Clippers are the play tonight. But if there is anything that can cause me to be a little apprehensive, it would be a capper of your pedigree being on the other side.
The way I look at it, the Clippers have won 9 straight home games by an average of 18.8 ppg. The Jazz are not a good road team. The Clippers are hot as can be right now, and evidently they want to win the Pacific Division badly. Chris Paul seems to be one of those guys who just can't stand losing, and the rest of the team seems to be following his lead. I believe both teams will want to win, but the Clippers have shown themselves to be head and shoulders above the competition this year, especially vs. the bottom half of the league at home.
On the other hand, I just don't see too much favoring the Jazz. Would love to hear your thoughts. Good day, sir.
SportsMavin, I've been keeping up with your every post in this thread like a 13 yr old girl hanging on every move Justin Beiber makes or something. Love what you do, and I have all the confidence in the world that you are a gifted handicapper with a lot of experience who is willing to put in the necessary work to be a long-term winner. I've only been frequenting Covers for two months, but between this site and the other ones that I have been visiting for longer, I will say that the chances of coming across a poster like you, who is willing to not only put the time in when it comes to handicapping, but also when it comes to posting, are slim to none, and so I thank you sir.
With all of that said, I would love to hear your reasoning for betting on the Jazz tonight. You and I have different styles of handicapping to be sure (I use a lot of trends, for example, and quite frankly don't pay a lot of attention to line movement), and I feel pretty strongly that that Clippers are the play tonight. But if there is anything that can cause me to be a little apprehensive, it would be a capper of your pedigree being on the other side.
The way I look at it, the Clippers have won 9 straight home games by an average of 18.8 ppg. The Jazz are not a good road team. The Clippers are hot as can be right now, and evidently they want to win the Pacific Division badly. Chris Paul seems to be one of those guys who just can't stand losing, and the rest of the team seems to be following his lead. I believe both teams will want to win, but the Clippers have shown themselves to be head and shoulders above the competition this year, especially vs. the bottom half of the league at home.
On the other hand, I just don't see too much favoring the Jazz. Would love to hear your thoughts. Good day, sir.
I agree that the Clippers are a superior team here. I also agree that Paul hates losing and in that sense he reminds me of Kobe. But at the same time - one who cashed in for us in a previous game letting the Jazz to cover - was Paul, who missed the second free throw driving a game into 2-4 point highway rather than 3-5 point one. The same things that the Fakers and Kobe have done for years now. I don;t say Utah will win tonight - although everything is possible, but the element of ATS is a corner stone of Vegas and everything that comes with it. 10 points - although can easily be covered by the Clips (as they could have easily covered in Utah as well) -will put their ATS record into astronomical numbers and that is not how the league is operating. I might be wrong at any point I make and particularly tonight - but the point that ATS wins balance out usually is a solid point. And have rarely anything to do with the real strength of the teams. Otherwise - SA, Clips, Miami and OKC would win every single game that is not between them and surely cover too. When team is not playing the defense from the first quarter and allows a weaker team to run ahead by DD leads and than comes back and wins - it is a nice drama - but at the same time, that is the way team can make sure they win - but not cover. That is what the Clips did precisely in the last game and I believe they'ff do the same tonight.
There are no such things in the sports handicapping as jinxing 
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