Posted:
#2651
only showing college b-ball cause 2 people asked the other day...and their are great picks today that i worked extremely hard on....only 1/2 unit for each pick..
Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how
Posted:
#2658
thanks SM....i'm up more then enough to bet......im through every sport a little over 50 units the last 3 and a half weeks....and i'm not using full units tonight...i'm experimenting with my college b-ball picks..usually i run parlays on it and i've been making money but I want to try this way for a week or so....even nba bets tonight were 1/2 unit as well...betting around 11 to 11 and 1/2 units total with probably only a slide of 3 under and i would have to go 8-14r, if i do lose at the most......but i doubt that happens...
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Posted:
#2662
Quote Originally Posted by kolewilsen:
Teasing totals? You know I respect your capping so don't take this the wrong way. imo variance on totals are so large that teasing them is a -ev play. Even when points are much more significant in the NFL, it is considered a -ev play so I'm very surprised you decided on a tease.
Teasing totals? You know I respect your capping so don't take this the wrong way. imo variance on totals are so large that teasing them is a -ev play. Even when points are much more significant in the NFL, it is considered a -ev play so I'm very surprised you decided on a tease.
I really have no idea what do you mean by that. Are you saying that teasing the points is bad because it is considered EV??? play? I don't care what it is considered and by whom it is considered - the bottom line is winning on a consistent basis and that we do - EV or XD. So, buddy - I don't know who you heard it from. I suggest in the future if you want to address a certain issue - address the body of it. Why you think it is wrong?
Posted:
#2666
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
I really have no idea what do you mean by that. Are you saying that teasing the points is bad because it is considered EV??? play? I don't care what it is considered and by whom it is considered - the bottom line is winning on a consistent basis and that we do - EV or XD. So, buddy - I don't know who you heard it from. I suggest in the future if you want to address a certain issue - address the body of it. Why you think it is wrong?
the variance on totals is so volatile its a waste of time.
Posted:
#2667
Quote Originally Posted by kolewilsen:
the variance on totals is so volatile its a waste of time.
the variance on totals is so volatile its a waste of time.
That theory says that LVSC is wrong by 7 points more times than they are right and that is multiplied by two since I'm choosing the direction it goes and strengthening my pick by additional 7 points?
Posted:
#2669
If you read through yesterday's thread posts - you should know that I'm not picking the teasers randomally. I pick them because I am already convinced what direction the totals go but in order to protect myself from a middling efforts after the line movements - I chose to combine two high probability totals bets together
Posted:
#2671
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
That theory says that LVSC is wrong by 7 points more times than they are right and that is multiplied by two since I'm choosing the direction it goes and strengthening my pick by additional 7 points?
if you keep track of the totals you'll realise they are extremely volatile and buying points will only matter 1 or 2 times out of 10 which won't make up for those extra odds you are missing out on.
Posted:
#2672
Quote Originally Posted by putergenrated:
What is your record so far? I read the first several pages and liked it so far.
What is your record so far? I read the first several pages and liked it so far.
My records are posted at the end of each day. But please note that this thread is not about my records or anyone's in that regard but about acquiring the right tools for independent handicapping. My record is positive and consistent and that is what I want all of you to have
Posted:
#2673
Quote Originally Posted by kolewilsen:
if you keep track of the totals you'll realise they are extremely volatile and buying points will only matter 1 or 2 times out of 10 which won't make up for those extra odds you are missing out on.
if you keep track of the totals you'll realise they are extremely volatile and buying points will only matter 1 or 2 times out of 10 which won't make up for those extra odds you are missing out on.
Can you give some examples of what you're saying? I am not trying to get under your skin but somehow I have a feeling we're not talking about the same thing
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