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AussieCapper NBA (Box Score System)

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Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 10343
Posted: #1051
Quote Originally Posted by hahaGOP:

This system offers no pertinent information. Adding up totals and acting like you have an edge based on that alone is moronic. This system doesn't even account for simple variables such as schedule, line up changes, or venue from what I understand. Again, simply adding up totals by quarters is bogus. A fair amount of books will even make this information available to you before you wager. Why? Because it doesn't mean shi*!!!! In fact, it can be very misleading!!!


Injuries,, B2B's, Home & away...Those are also some of my concerns...
 
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Posts: 1283
Posted: #1052
*10-1 ats

wtg aussie...i.e "the calculator"...for fuck's sake...this is free info i'd pay for if available...unfortunately there are those that can't take info given freely and make a buck off of it and wah wah those woes onto here...keep doing what you are doing aussie and if it matches what i have then it's double down time...bill

bring it
 
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Posted: #1053
learn how to play lines and totals and think like a sharp...since some of you are not sharp...here it is...-1, -4, -7 are key numbers to play on in the nba (historically) so do you go off opening line or close to game time (that is the $64,000 question) track your own book and keep records and some of you just might make some money...i.e last night memphis -4 vs denver...run the totals and you would have seen that denver had an outright +6.5 point advantage avg coming into the game...and a +7.7 point advantage on the road...result denver loses by 1 point but covers...this is not the norm but if you would keep records you would easily find these little hidden vegas line gaffs and use them to your advantage...another example toronto -7 vs charlotte coming into the game toronto has a +12.23 pt advantage...you have to ask yourself "why is this line only -7...their home average is +5.6...now using your -1, -4, and -7 neither # matches the game line and again another vegas line gaff and charlotte not only covers but wins outright...you are welcome for this lesson in line/totals learning...aussie,  sorry i used your page for this post...bill

bring it
 
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Posts: 1096
Posted: #1054
Golden State vs Memphis 

Golden State 21 25 24 21 91
Memphis       23 26 23 22 94

My Lines 
Over/Under 185

Real Lines 
Over/Under 194.5

Bet: Under 194.5
 
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Posts: 1096
Posted: #1055
Portland vs Atlanta 

Portland 19 23 20 24 86
Atlanta   24 22 19 23 88

My Lines
Over/Under 174

Real Lines 
Over/Under 182,5

Bet: Under 182.5
 
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Posts: 406
Posted: #1056
Been awhile since I've made a post on Covers. I thought that Golden State/Memphis total was awfully high as well. Both teams playing on a back-to-back so legs will be tired and I expect poor shooting. Steph Curry and Golden State have also been in a shooting slump, and Monte Ellis might not be effective with his hyperextended knee. Both teams let up over 100 points last night so I expect both head coaches to stress a quality defensive effort tonight. I like the under. GL AussieCapper
 
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Posted: #1057
 
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Posted: #1058
i went 1-1 today 
i'm going to be doing the box score system in college basketball aswell 
 
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Posted: #1059

Miami vs Orlando

 

Miami   27 24 26 25 102

Orlando 23 21 24 22 90

 

My Lines

Miami -12

Over/Under 192

 

Real Lines

Miami -9.5

Over/Under 192.5

 
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Posted: #1060

Boston vs Detroit

 

Boston 22 25 23 21 91

Detroit 23 24 22 25 94

 

My Lines

Detroit -3

Over/Under 185

 

Real Lines

Boston -5.5

Over/Under 182.5

 

Bet: Detroit +5.5

 

 
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Posted: #1061

 

Sacramento vs Cleveland

 

Sacramento 21 18 23 27 89

Cleveland    28 22 24 22 96

 

My Lines

Cleveland -7

Over/Under 185

 

Real Lines

Cleveland -3.5

Over/Under 199.5

 

Bet: Under 199.5

 

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #1062

Charlotte vs Indiana

 

Charlotte 23 22 23 21 89

Indiana    24 25 22 24 95

 

My Lines

Indiana -6

Over/Under 184

 

Real Lines

Indiana -11.5

Over/Under 188.5

 

Bet: NONE

 
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Posted: #1063

Philly vs T-Wolfs

 

Philly      27 24 23 22 96

T-Wolfs  21 24 22 23 90

 

My Lines

Philly -6

Over/Under 186

 

Real Lines

T-Wolfs -1

Over/Under 191.5

 

Bet: Philly +1

 

 
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Posted: #1064

 

Utah vs Houston

 

Utah       21 25 24 22 92

Houston 20 23 25 23  91

 

My Lines

Utah -1

Over/Under 183

 

Real Lines

Houston -6.5

Over/Under 196.5

 

Bet: Utah +6.5 Under 196.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #1065

New Jersey vs Milwaukee

 

New Jersey 24 22 21 20 87

Milwaukee  22 23 25 20 90

 

My Lines

Milwaukee -3

Over/Under 177

 

Real Lines

Milwaukee -2.5

Over/Under 194.5

 

Bet: Under 194.5

 
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Posted: #1066

 

Phoenix vs La Lakers

 

Phoenix 23 21 24 25 93

Lakers   25 23 25 26 99

 

My Lines

Lakers -6

Over/Under 192

 

Real Lines

Lakers -2.5

Over/Under 189.5

 

Bet: Lakers -2.5

 

 


 
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Posted: #1067
If any of you guys are interested in College Basketball here is my thread

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=40&sub=101274791
 
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Posted: #1068
thanks AC!! BOL!
 
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Posts: 577
Posted: #1069
aussie keep up the good work and Don't worry about the haters . I  thought the purpose of this site is for everyone to help each other out. Aussie is doing all the work and when he has a bad night i don't  hate on him  because its called gambling  and if you took his plays and lost all your money then that bad money management. Everyone here uses some type of system to win and sometimes the simplest system works. The fight is us against the number not us against each other.
 
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Posts: 82
Posted: #1070
Lets SMASH IT!!!!!!!!!!!!! BOL

 
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Posted: #1071
Thanks Guys 
 
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Posted: #1072
My Bet for the Miami vs Orlando is Miami -9.5 
 
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Posts: 2038
Posted: #1073
Capper do you wager in the nrl?????

on mia -9.5 with ya
 
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Posts: 66016
Posted: #1074
Good luck AC!
 
 
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Posted: #1075
WebberForever im not a big NRL fan It puts me to sleep   haha
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