Den Bosch

Here you go, you talked me into it.

Parlay +256

Astros TT 4.5 Over/ Spurs ML +105

Will do the same parlay now, let’s hope we cash and Wemby does some magic

GL mate 

Feels like reverse line movement on the spurs knicks game in addition to the line smelling fishy to begin with; knicks win two games away, but are only 2 points favorites at home?  line is begging for money on the knicks and based on betmgm that is what is happening- 74% of money on the knicks

Another interesting angle:

11-3 ATS (79%) 

That being said I have only bet the over :)

My reasoning: 1.) one of spurs advantage over OKC was their fast break points.  2.)Wemby, the spurs best offensive weapon does not look comfortable in half court offense vs KAT.  I think they focus on pushing the tempo and get the 7'6 point guard running the floor

spurs:okc

game 7 : 19-7

game6: 18:10

game 5: 26-9

game 4: 18-7

game 3 : 13 -2

game 2: 10:8

game 1: 7:16

spurs:knicks

game 2: 11:19

game 1: 15:12

typing on a phone is tough.  here was the interesting angle:

Marc Davis is the head ref for game 3

11-3 ATS (79%) 

@Betfusion

 Betmgm is a shit bookie and their data is incorrect , they are very low liquidity book that doesn’t let anyone hardly bet. 

I've been limited on caesers but never at betmgm.  A whale placed $400k in bets on the knicks at betmgm.  

Anyway fanduel has almost the exact same numbers.  

Stuck in limbo with both Katie and Linda. Linda had opportunities to finish her off in the second set breaker but couldn't quite get there.

Boulter seems to be a little under the weather but I do always love a rain delay comeback special. She has all night now to figure out how she's gonna finally get through Laylah's serve. Man if she could've just gotten that break in that last game it would be a whole new match.

Cristian's serve was fire today. She won a server's duel against one of the best in the business. 70% 1stin, 84% 1st, 79% 2nd, saved 1/1 break points. Better serving numbers than peak ATP. So now her career record on grass moves to 2-11. She's not the same player she used to be though and obviously if she can continue to serve like that though she can beat just about anybody. So there could be some value on her against more established grass players like Boulter or Fernandez because I would expect her to be a pretty large underdog in the next round so might even be able to get +4.5.

@bringit

 I would be very surprised and extremely intrigued if the market would hang a +4.5 with Cristian at this point in the Grass Season against either Boulter or Leylah. That being said Im definately looking to fade both and was impressed with Jaquie today, despite Zheng playing nowhere near at her best.

Why did Maria have to qualify when she won the tourney last year. 

@JLamp

 They completely screwed her over. She requested, they denied.

Queens

Tatjana Maria (-106)

Queens

Zhang/Eala o21.5 (-118)

Den Bosch 

Navarro + Minnen (+143)

Den Bosch

Zeynep Sonmez (+144)

@wgomel21

congrats, i cashed it 

Sonmez just completely crashed out in that second set. Don't think I've ever seen something like that from her. Was up a set and serving at 2 all 40-15 then loses four straight points with errors and double faults and can't win another game in the set. Hopefully she can put herself back together here.

Early break in the third floor Sonmez.

The Boulter match is on Andy Murray after Raducanu. Hopefully Emma gets the crowd warmed up good.

And Boulter pulls through!  It has been a rough season for Leylah, she really needs to get rid of her dad as coach imo.

The classic rain delay special

@bringit

 Thank you for Sonmez.

Bring it you're on a good streak...I had Katie as well

@wgomel21

 Great job on the parlay

Did not see it in time unfortunately 

We got good juju going in here now...

It would've help if Zhang could hold her serves...