Quote Originally Posted by Kquinlan:
I think that if your number is high, maybe the books know something that we don't know. There is obviously a reason why the line seems way too low and then it sails over. In the NBA it seems like whatever you think is going to happen usually doesn't happen. I wonder if you could look at your record of games that are over a certain number and then go the opposite way on them. I'm thinking that in these cases where the number is way off, the books are setting a trap. Just an idea to maybe track as you go. Thanks for the hard work you put in and good luck for the rest of the season.
Dude, I really think you have good intentions in your post, but you caught me on a bad night for your "friendly" suggestions. I have been nothing but courteous on these forums, but now I'm going to rip you a new a$$hole. You can thank me after a week or two.
First off tell me what your number is, and if its to high or low maybe the books know something that YOU don't know. Yes, I agree there is obviously a reason why the line seems way to low then it "sails over", maybe like a Tony Parker coming back unannounced. Dude, if it is obvious then feel free to come in this forum and post it so we ALL can know. If the NBA was predictable do you think anybody would risk money on the outcome??? Here's a similiar statement, if you have your head up your ass, I bet its dark.
Here's a WAY better idea that would probably make us all richer then any NBA Official ... take your record of games that are over a certain number and then go the opposite way. Dude, thanks for the slap in the face, I go 10-5 and people make money, myself included, and then 0-4, and you say fade me. OK, maybe you were right ... tell me this "certain number" and we can all be rich. LOL
Please tell me more about books setting "traps." Ok, so the number is way off, hmmmm ... when will you tell us that the number is way off? Will you please post that, that would be nice to know, and BEFORE the game not after. Oh, thanks for the tip ... i'll start tracking that as I go. I'll make a note to myself, "start tracking when the books set a trap." As far as I know the book sets a number and I can pick above or below taht number at any time ... so I am not trapped. I can trap them by middling them, the books can only trap themselves, how they heck can they trap the bettor?
Dude, a person sets the line ... there is nothing that says I can't set a better line. Here are my lines for Sunday which I don't think anybody has out yet. I challenge you to put out closer lines.
Portland/Detroit (188.5)
Chicago/Philadelphia (186.8)
Houston/Denver (197.8)
New Jersey/Phoenix (211.2)
Toronto/LA Lakers (195.8)
If you need more time try these lines for Monday ... you should have plenty of time to figure why these lines are obviously off.
Minnesota/Charlotte (181.3)
Orlando/Boston (188.7)
Miami/Golden State (216.1)
Kquinlan, don't take my rant personal ... I am not mad at you, you just posted at a bad time.