Expert.... I think this is funny that you have found this
system. I use to use this system 9 years ago. It looked great on paper, and it
started out great. I found myself up 11 units after 3 weeks. I continued to use
this system for 4 months. I don't remember my exact record, but I can tell you
that it was a flawed system. I don't remember the exact record. I want to say
it was around 56-51.
After mulling over the fact that it wasn't working, I decided to critique this
system.
This is what I did...
Keep in mind that the average points scored by for each team was 96.5 points. I
will give you an example of what I did.
Example:
Golden State- Points for 111 Points
against 114
Orlando- Points for 96
Points against 95
Taking in account that the average points for all 30 NBA teams was 96.5 points.
I either added or subtracted 1 point for every point over or under the average.
Golden States O was 14.5 points higher than the average, and their D was 17.5
points higher than the average.
Orlando's O was
-.5 higher than the average, and the D was 1.5 points lower than the average.
Obviously if the offense was higher than the average, that is good. If the
defense is lower than the average, this is good also.
After we get this numerical value, I would do the following...
GoldenState's
offense scores (+14.5) points better than the average, and Orlando's defense scores (-1.5) points lower
than the average. I would take GST's (+14.5) points on offense and subtract it
by Orl's (-1.5) on defense, that would give me (+13). I would then take the
average points scored in the NBA, which is 96.5 and add the (+13) to it. That
would give me 109.5. That is what GoldenState will score in that
game.
Orlando's
offense scores (-.5) points lower than the average. Golden States defense
scores (+17.5) points higher than the average. I would take Orlando's (-.5) on offense, and add GST's
(+17.5) points on defense, that would give me (+17). I would then take the
average points scored in the NBA, which is 96.5 and add the (+17) to it, that
would give me 113.5. That is what Orlando
will score in that game.
Final Score Prediction:
GoldenState:
109.5 Orlando:
113.5
Total would be: 223 Orlando would
be: +4 favorite
Remember that this is a prediction of the outcome, this is not the final score.
I would use this system on every NBA game. I would then decide the best
selections to chose based on which games that are most favorable.
Example: I have a 7 point rule!!! If the Total of a game is 7 points higher than
the predicted score, I would wager on it. I would also do the same thing when
betting the side.
If you do this when a side or total is 1-4 points different, this system will
not work.
Chose your games wisely, and be selective.
I will also tell you to wait about 10 games for every team
to gather their stats. If you don’t do so, the system may find you -5 units
down, before the system takes into effect.
I understand that this looks very confusing. If you get a pad and pencil and
work out the equation above, you will find this to be very easy. I hope I have
given you all a system to follow and win big on.
Good luck to all, and to all a goodnight!
0
Expert.... I think this is funny that you have found this
system. I use to use this system 9 years ago. It looked great on paper, and it
started out great. I found myself up 11 units after 3 weeks. I continued to use
this system for 4 months. I don't remember my exact record, but I can tell you
that it was a flawed system. I don't remember the exact record. I want to say
it was around 56-51.
After mulling over the fact that it wasn't working, I decided to critique this
system.
This is what I did...
Keep in mind that the average points scored by for each team was 96.5 points. I
will give you an example of what I did.
Example:
Golden State- Points for 111 Points
against 114
Orlando- Points for 96
Points against 95
Taking in account that the average points for all 30 NBA teams was 96.5 points.
I either added or subtracted 1 point for every point over or under the average.
Golden States O was 14.5 points higher than the average, and their D was 17.5
points higher than the average.
Orlando's O was
-.5 higher than the average, and the D was 1.5 points lower than the average.
Obviously if the offense was higher than the average, that is good. If the
defense is lower than the average, this is good also.
After we get this numerical value, I would do the following...
GoldenState's
offense scores (+14.5) points better than the average, and Orlando's defense scores (-1.5) points lower
than the average. I would take GST's (+14.5) points on offense and subtract it
by Orl's (-1.5) on defense, that would give me (+13). I would then take the
average points scored in the NBA, which is 96.5 and add the (+13) to it. That
would give me 109.5. That is what GoldenState will score in that
game.
Orlando's
offense scores (-.5) points lower than the average. Golden States defense
scores (+17.5) points higher than the average. I would take Orlando's (-.5) on offense, and add GST's
(+17.5) points on defense, that would give me (+17). I would then take the
average points scored in the NBA, which is 96.5 and add the (+17) to it, that
would give me 113.5. That is what Orlando
will score in that game.
Final Score Prediction:
GoldenState:
109.5 Orlando:
113.5
Total would be: 223 Orlando would
be: +4 favorite
Remember that this is a prediction of the outcome, this is not the final score.
I would use this system on every NBA game. I would then decide the best
selections to chose based on which games that are most favorable.
Example: I have a 7 point rule!!! If the Total of a game is 7 points higher than
the predicted score, I would wager on it. I would also do the same thing when
betting the side.
If you do this when a side or total is 1-4 points different, this system will
not work.
Chose your games wisely, and be selective.
I will also tell you to wait about 10 games for every team
to gather their stats. If you don’t do so, the system may find you -5 units
down, before the system takes into effect.
I understand that this looks very confusing. If you get a pad and pencil and
work out the equation above, you will find this to be very easy. I hope I have
given you all a system to follow and win big on.
OK eagle shot I will try it, you tell me if this is right I will try one of last nights game Houston points for 98.6 points against 93.8 Cleveland points for 102.4 points against 89.2
Houston O 98.6-96.5= 2.1 D 96.5-93.8= -2.7 Cleveland O 102.4-96.5=5.9 D 96.5-89.2=-7.3
Houstons O 2.1-7.3=-5.2 from 96.5= 91.3 Clevelands O 5.9-2.7=3.2 from 96.5 =98.7
Final score prediction: Houston 91.3 Cleveland 98.7 Total points 200
last night over/under was 186.5 so this would of been over for this game because the over/under was 13.5 points higher than the original total
Also 7.4 was the line and the original ine was 7.5 OMG Cleveland beat Houston last night 99-90 so a total of 189 points scored WOW this does work Thanks eagleshot
0
OK eagle shot I will try it, you tell me if this is right I will try one of last nights game Houston points for 98.6 points against 93.8 Cleveland points for 102.4 points against 89.2
Houston O 98.6-96.5= 2.1 D 96.5-93.8= -2.7 Cleveland O 102.4-96.5=5.9 D 96.5-89.2=-7.3
Houstons O 2.1-7.3=-5.2 from 96.5= 91.3 Clevelands O 5.9-2.7=3.2 from 96.5 =98.7
Final score prediction: Houston 91.3 Cleveland 98.7 Total points 200
last night over/under was 186.5 so this would of been over for this game because the over/under was 13.5 points higher than the original total
Also 7.4 was the line and the original ine was 7.5 OMG Cleveland beat Houston last night 99-90 so a total of 189 points scored WOW this does work Thanks eagleshot
lets try the December 25th match up Celtics LA Lakers Celtics O 102.3 - 96.5=5.8 D 96.5-91.4=5.1 LA Lakers O 107-96.5=10.5 D 96.5-97.5= -1 Celtics 96.5+6.8=103.3 LA Lakers 96.5+5.3=101.8
Prediction Celtics 103 LA lakers 101
Total 205
Hope I did this right ? Please comment if I did not thanks Capper
0
lets try the December 25th match up Celtics LA Lakers Celtics O 102.3 - 96.5=5.8 D 96.5-91.4=5.1 LA Lakers O 107-96.5=10.5 D 96.5-97.5= -1 Celtics 96.5+6.8=103.3 LA Lakers 96.5+5.3=101.8
Prediction Celtics 103 LA lakers 101
Total 205
Hope I did this right ? Please comment if I did not thanks Capper
You did it perfectly! I would say about 20-30% of the sides/totals fall into the 7 point differential.
There is one point a failed to mention. When you are figuring out the side figure. Make sure you add 3 points to the home team. so in the Celtics vs. Lakers figure. The Lakers should be favored by 1 point
Celtics 101.5 LA Lakers 102.5
I hope this makes sense, good luck!
0
You did it perfectly! I would say about 20-30% of the sides/totals fall into the 7 point differential.
There is one point a failed to mention. When you are figuring out the side figure. Make sure you add 3 points to the home team. so in the Celtics vs. Lakers figure. The Lakers should be favored by 1 point
If you would add 3 points to the home team wouldn't it be 104, maybe I am missing something please explain, I am a little confused now. I want to thank you again though for this I am always looking for a better way for my handicapping.
0
If you would add 3 points to the home team wouldn't it be 104, maybe I am missing something please explain, I am a little confused now. I want to thank you again though for this I am always looking for a better way for my handicapping.
What you have is a good starting point. You must add on this. Line makers are not stupid they are sharp as can be. If a line is seemingly off it might be a trap. There are circumstances that teams will go over par and under par in relationship to what seems the norm. Have you ever seen the line on a second half game that is totally out of sync with the game line. Bad teams often get peculiar 2nd half lines and probably cover More often then not when it looks too good to be true. There are many things that are considered when handicapping totals. The linemakers know most of this. Here is a sample. When a high scoring team loses to the under by 10 or more they average about 5 points above their average in their next game unless they are mired in a scoring slump. The linemaker adds a couple points on this and the seemingly good line becomes a trap. Handicapping is not a simple 1 -2 -3 and here is the answer problem. There are many things that get in the way of simple handicapping stragedies. The idea is to be aware of them and act upon them when they come up.
0
What you have is a good starting point. You must add on this. Line makers are not stupid they are sharp as can be. If a line is seemingly off it might be a trap. There are circumstances that teams will go over par and under par in relationship to what seems the norm. Have you ever seen the line on a second half game that is totally out of sync with the game line. Bad teams often get peculiar 2nd half lines and probably cover More often then not when it looks too good to be true. There are many things that are considered when handicapping totals. The linemakers know most of this. Here is a sample. When a high scoring team loses to the under by 10 or more they average about 5 points above their average in their next game unless they are mired in a scoring slump. The linemaker adds a couple points on this and the seemingly good line becomes a trap. Handicapping is not a simple 1 -2 -3 and here is the answer problem. There are many things that get in the way of simple handicapping stragedies. The idea is to be aware of them and act upon them when they come up.
Big Keith, I'm glad that someone is actually looking into this. Please tell me where u got your information. Remember that the 55% is averaged out over a whole season for that particular sport. I'm not sure if u understood exactly what I was saying. When 70% OR ABOVE are on one side or total you take the opposite side or total, and over the course of a season you will win a little more than 55% of the time. This DOES NOT MEAN YOU WILL WIN EVERY WEEK OR TWO WEEKS. For all I know u could even have a losing month. The pros have losing months. You have to stick to the method with small wagers and build. I think what you found is that your account can fluctuate, and yes it will. Write me back Keith, I want to talk further on this topic.
0
Big Keith, I'm glad that someone is actually looking into this. Please tell me where u got your information. Remember that the 55% is averaged out over a whole season for that particular sport. I'm not sure if u understood exactly what I was saying. When 70% OR ABOVE are on one side or total you take the opposite side or total, and over the course of a season you will win a little more than 55% of the time. This DOES NOT MEAN YOU WILL WIN EVERY WEEK OR TWO WEEKS. For all I know u could even have a losing month. The pros have losing months. You have to stick to the method with small wagers and build. I think what you found is that your account can fluctuate, and yes it will. Write me back Keith, I want to talk further on this topic.
In short, Keith, this method is proven 55-56% for over the course of sport's season, like the throughout the four months of NCAA Bball, or the six months of MLB. Only proven sports are MLB, NCAA Bball, NFL, NCAA Fball, and NHL.
0
In short, Keith, this method is proven 55-56% for over the course of sport's season, like the throughout the four months of NCAA Bball, or the six months of MLB. Only proven sports are MLB, NCAA Bball, NFL, NCAA Fball, and NHL.
Read this thread, 3-4 days ago,, to get a more accurate line, I have been using Home tm offense and defense VS Visiting tm off and def, and totals are O/U= 14-7 and ATS= 13-8, with todays games going 5-3 on each category, not trying to rain on anybodys parade, just a little more info to ponder GL to all
0
Read this thread, 3-4 days ago,, to get a more accurate line, I have been using Home tm offense and defense VS Visiting tm off and def, and totals are O/U= 14-7 and ATS= 13-8, with todays games going 5-3 on each category, not trying to rain on anybodys parade, just a little more info to ponder GL to all
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