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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Testing new system in NBA

    «First Previous 8910 ... 91011 Next Last»
    BigGameBG
    Rocketman17
    stringpicker
    CravenCornbread
    cappincrunch
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 15119
    Posts: 265
    «First Previous 8910 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    BigGameBG
    BigGameBG
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2009 - 2:18 PM ET #176

    With you on the GS/Utah Over and the San Antonio/Miami Under
     
     
    Good Luck Bud

    BG
    Reply
    With you on the GS/Utah Over and the San Antonio/Miami Under
     
     
    Good Luck Bud

    BG
     
    Rocketman17
    Rocketman17
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2009 - 4:29 PM ET #177

    EC.. when I do my numbers I get the NJ game to come out to ..
     
    NJ - 110.4
    Sac - 101.4
     
    Based on Eagles system..  what did I mess up on??
    Reply
    EC.. when I do my numbers I get the NJ game to come out to ..
     
    NJ - 110.4
    Sac - 101.4
     
    Based on Eagles system..  what did I mess up on??
     
    Rocketman17
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2009 - 4:54 PM ET #178

    Whoops.. disregard that last statement.. I was adding the numbers to the team average rather than the nba average...  however, i did recalculate the NBA average and it is now at 98.4... makes a difference in a few plays... 
     
    Great work.. thanks for everything
    Reply
    Whoops.. disregard that last statement.. I was adding the numbers to the team average rather than the nba average...  however, i did recalculate the NBA average and it is now at 98.4... makes a difference in a few plays... 
     
    Great work.. thanks for everything
     
    stringpicker
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2009 - 7:43 PM ET #179

    Very cool.  Keep up the great work!
    Reply
    Very cool.  Keep up the great work!
     
    BigGameBG
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 12:11 AM ET #180

    4 out of 5 . Nice Work... Please add me as a friend.
    Reply
    4 out of 5 . Nice Work... Please add me as a friend.
     
    CravenCornbread
    CravenCornbread
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 1:27 AM ET #181

    SA 95.9                    Top play under  Winner
    Miami   96.7                  181.5

    Sac 95.4                      Top play over  Loser
    NJ     96.9                       200

    Toronto      94.7             over  Winner
    Milwaukee 98.1               192

    Indiana 98.6                  Top play over  Winner
    Denver    105.3                221

    GS 102.8                       Top play over   Winner
    Utah   103                     220.5

    Top Plays 3-1  Total 4-1

    16-7 = 69.6%    109-77 = 58%

    Good Work on this system EC
    Reply
    SA 95.9                    Top play under  Winner
    Miami   96.7                  181.5

    Sac 95.4                      Top play over  Loser
    NJ     96.9                       200

    Toronto      94.7             over  Winner
    Milwaukee 98.1               192

    Indiana 98.6                  Top play over  Winner
    Denver    105.3                221

    GS 102.8                       Top play over   Winner
    Utah   103                     220.5

    Top Plays 3-1  Total 4-1

    16-7 = 69.6%    109-77 = 58%

    Good Work on this system EC
     
    cappincrunch
    cappincrunch
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 8:32 AM ET #182

     Nice work on these plays.
    Reply
     Nice work on these plays.
     
    expertcapper
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 12:47 PM ET #183

    Guys i appreciate all the comments

    4-1 all plays 109-77   58%
    3-1 top plays  16-7 overall 67.6%

    Jan 6
     
    Boston          97.2                Under Top play
    Charlotte       90.8                  177.5

    Washington   91.6                  Over
    Orlando          100.1                191.5

    Houston 96.0                          Over
    Phil           96.6                       189

    Minnesota 97.9                      Under
    Memphis      95.3                    194

    NY         101.5                     Top pla
    y Over
    OKC     94.2                          214

    Sac    95.1                             Top play over
    Chicago     103.2                     211.5

    LA Clippers 97.3                     Top play under
    Dallas           100.6                  183.5

    NO              94.6                         over
    LA Lakers    109.1                     195.5

    Good luck

    Reply
    Guys i appreciate all the comments

    4-1 all plays 109-77   58%
    3-1 top plays  16-7 overall 67.6%

    Jan 6
     
    Boston          97.2                Under Top play
    Charlotte       90.8                  177.5

    Washington   91.6                  Over
    Orlando          100.1                191.5

    Houston 96.0                          Over
    Phil           96.6                       189

    Minnesota 97.9                      Under
    Memphis      95.3                    194

    NY         101.5                     Top pla
    y Over
    OKC     94.2                          214

    Sac    95.1                             Top play over
    Chicago     103.2                     211.5

    LA Clippers 97.3                     Top play under
    Dallas           100.6                  183.5

    NO              94.6                         over
    LA Lakers    109.1                     195.5

    Good luck

     
    IBET2WIN
    IBET2WIN
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 12:58 PM ET #184

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    Guys i appreciate all the comments

    4-1 all plays 109-77   58%
    3-1 top plays  16-7 overall 67.6%

    Jan 6
     
    Boston          97.2                Under Top play
    Charlotte       90.8                  177.5

    Washington   91.6                  Over
    Orlando          100.1                191.5

    Houston 96.0                          Over
    Phil           96.6                       189

    Minnesota 97.9                      Under
    Memphis      95.3                    194

    NY         101.5                     Top pla
    y Over
    OKC     94.2                          214

    Sac    95.1                             Top play over
    Chicago     103.2                     211.5

    LA Clippers 97.3                     Top play under
    Dallas           100.6                  183.5

    NO              94.6                         over
    LA Lakers    109.1                     195.5

    Good luck

    HEY EXPERT CAPPER ,,,DO YOU TRY TO POST EVERYNIGHT?  AND WHAT SPORTS BOOK DO YOU USE IF YOU MIND ME ASKING?  BECAUSE IM  TRYING TO JOIN A SPORTSBOOK BUT I LIVE IN THE USA ....VERY DIFFICULT TO FIND  A SPORTSBOOK THAT PAYS, IF YOUR FROM THE US

    THANKS

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    Guys i appreciate all the comments

    4-1 all plays 109-77   58%
    3-1 top plays  16-7 overall 67.6%

    Jan 6
     
    Boston          97.2                Under Top play
    Charlotte       90.8                  177.5

    Washington   91.6                  Over
    Orlando          100.1                191.5

    Houston 96.0                          Over
    Phil           96.6                       189

    Minnesota 97.9                      Under
    Memphis      95.3                    194

    NY         101.5                     Top pla
    y Over
    OKC     94.2                          214

    Sac    95.1                             Top play over
    Chicago     103.2                     211.5

    LA Clippers 97.3                     Top play under
    Dallas           100.6                  183.5

    NO              94.6                         over
    LA Lakers    109.1                     195.5

    Good luck

    HEY EXPERT CAPPER ,,,DO YOU TRY TO POST EVERYNIGHT?  AND WHAT SPORTS BOOK DO YOU USE IF YOU MIND ME ASKING?  BECAUSE IM  TRYING TO JOIN A SPORTSBOOK BUT I LIVE IN THE USA ....VERY DIFFICULT TO FIND  A SPORTSBOOK THAT PAYS, IF YOUR FROM THE US

    THANKS

     
    CUTigers
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 1:07 PM ET #185

    Hey expert, i have been reading on all your posts and I'm trying to figure out the system that you have currently going but it dosen't seem to match up with what eagleshot suggested. can you show an example again for those of us that are slow witted (such as myself) thanks and keep up the great work!!
    Reply
    Hey expert, i have been reading on all your posts and I'm trying to figure out the system that you have currently going but it dosen't seem to match up with what eagleshot suggested. can you show an example again for those of us that are slow witted (such as myself) thanks and keep up the great work!!
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 2:02 PM ET #186

    no its my own variation CUTigers, and i appreciate the insight
    IBET2WIN look where it says expertcapper and go over to the right where it says sportsbook, its beside that to the right
    CUTigers an example is


    LA Clippers 97.3                     Top play under
    Dallas           100.6                  183.5

    where I get my 97.3 is average road points
    where I get my 100.6 is average home points
    its 15 points over what the oddsmakers have so therefore it makes it an under top play. Just go opposite over or under 9 points.

    hope this clarifies a more clearer picture
    Capper
    Reply
    no its my own variation CUTigers, and i appreciate the insight
    IBET2WIN look where it says expertcapper and go over to the right where it says sportsbook, its beside that to the right
    CUTigers an example is


    LA Clippers 97.3                     Top play under
    Dallas           100.6                  183.5

    where I get my 97.3 is average road points
    where I get my 100.6 is average home points
    its 15 points over what the oddsmakers have so therefore it makes it an under top play. Just go opposite over or under 9 points.

    hope this clarifies a more clearer picture
    Capper
     
    IBET2WIN
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 4:21 PM ET #187

    EXPERTCAPPER   WHAT SITE DO YOU USE TO FIND OUT THE TEAMS POINTS PER GAME AVERAGE ON THE ROAD AND AT HOME?  MOST SPORTS SITES I GO LIKE NBA.COM AND COVERS DO NOT SHOW AWAY POINT TOTALS AND HOME POINT TOTALS  THEY ONLY HAVE TEAMS TOTAL POINTS PER GAME ... THEY DONT  DIFFERENTIAT AWAYS AND HOME TOTALS.
    Reply
    EXPERTCAPPER   WHAT SITE DO YOU USE TO FIND OUT THE TEAMS POINTS PER GAME AVERAGE ON THE ROAD AND AT HOME?  MOST SPORTS SITES I GO LIKE NBA.COM AND COVERS DO NOT SHOW AWAY POINT TOTALS AND HOME POINT TOTALS  THEY ONLY HAVE TEAMS TOTAL POINTS PER GAME ... THEY DONT  DIFFERENTIAT AWAYS AND HOME TOTALS.
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 4:50 PM ET #188

    IBET2WIN on covers in the NBA schedule of each day go to each game like
    LA Clippers/Dallas
    heres a link

    https://scores.covers.com/basketball-scores-matchups.aspx
    then go LA Clippers/Dallas match up
    where it says match up/preview/trends click on match up
    go to right hand side of the page scroll down
    it says match up edge go down under that it shows statistics, then go to home/away its right there
    hope this helps

    Capper
    Reply
    IBET2WIN on covers in the NBA schedule of each day go to each game like
    LA Clippers/Dallas
    heres a link

    https://scores.covers.com/basketball-scores-matchups.aspx
    then go LA Clippers/Dallas match up
    where it says match up/preview/trends click on match up
    go to right hand side of the page scroll down
    it says match up edge go down under that it shows statistics, then go to home/away its right there
    hope this helps

    Capper
     
    CUTigers
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 4:59 PM ET #189

    So you're not factoring defenses into this new system?
    Reply
    So you're not factoring defenses into this new system?
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 5:16 PM ET #190

    NO
    Reply
    NO
     
    gasman33
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 6:04 PM ET #191

    If the "calculated" O/U offensive average is more than 6 but less than 9 from the vegas line then it plays as calculated...

    ....if it is more than 9 then you are playing the OPPOSITE way....

    ...if it is less than 6 then it is a NO PLAY....

     

    ................right???

    Reply

    If the "calculated" O/U offensive average is more than 6 but less than 9 from the vegas line then it plays as calculated...

    ....if it is more than 9 then you are playing the OPPOSITE way....

    ...if it is less than 6 then it is a NO PLAY....

     

    ................right???

     
    Sloc
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 6:10 PM ET #192

    Has anyone reading this system done it for a season or longer?
    Reply
    Has anyone reading this system done it for a season or longer?
     
    gasman33
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 6:19 PM ET #193

    ...can you do the back test for a couple of seasons Sloc, I'm in the middle of surgery?
    Reply
    ...can you do the back test for a couple of seasons Sloc, I'm in the middle of surgery?
     
    gasman33
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 6:25 PM ET #194

    excapper...looks like NO/LaL @ 203.7minus 195.5 line equals 8.2 so it fall less than the 9 point you showed earlier to go other way...
     
    so..... NO/LAL should be a top play OVER since it falls in the 6-9 range of calculations...right?
    Reply
    excapper...looks like NO/LaL @ 203.7minus 195.5 line equals 8.2 so it fall less than the 9 point you showed earlier to go other way...
     
    so..... NO/LAL should be a top play OVER since it falls in the 6-9 range of calculations...right?
     
    JoshLewis
    JoshLewis
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 477
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 6:52 PM ET #195

    Your TOP PLAYS Record is impressive. I'm running a similiar system at the moment but I noticed that we got different numbers.

    BOS-CHA 177 OVER+3
    HOU-PHI 184  OVER+5
    WAS-ORL 191 NO PLAY 192.5
    MIN-MEM 195 NO PLAY 196
    NY-OKC 211 OVER+3.5
    LAC-DAL 195 UNDER+10
    SAC-CHI 209 NO PLAY 211.5
    NO-LA 194 NO PLAY 195.5

    Well, when I was in school, Math was my nightmare. Now, it's my life, LoL!

    GL Expertcapper!

    Reply
    Your TOP PLAYS Record is impressive. I'm running a similiar system at the moment but I noticed that we got different numbers.

    BOS-CHA 177 OVER+3
    HOU-PHI 184  OVER+5
    WAS-ORL 191 NO PLAY 192.5
    MIN-MEM 195 NO PLAY 196
    NY-OKC 211 OVER+3.5
    LAC-DAL 195 UNDER+10
    SAC-CHI 209 NO PLAY 211.5
    NO-LA 194 NO PLAY 195.5

    Well, when I was in school, Math was my nightmare. Now, it's my life, LoL!

    GL Expertcapper!

     
    IlliniBill
    IlliniBill
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2008
    Posts: 5227
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 10:45 PM ET #196

    I've got a great system as well. I take just a quick glance at the games and line, mull it over for about 15 seconds, maybe 20........and whoever I like........TAKE THE OPPOSITE.. Im hitting about 70%.
     
    Seriously though, wish I'd of seen this thread a couple weeks ago. Looks like you're doing pretty well, keep up the good work. Will chack back and maybe even tail a few. BOL rest of way.
    Reply
    I've got a great system as well. I take just a quick glance at the games and line, mull it over for about 15 seconds, maybe 20........and whoever I like........TAKE THE OPPOSITE.. Im hitting about 70%.
     
    Seriously though, wish I'd of seen this thread a couple weeks ago. Looks like you're doing pretty well, keep up the good work. Will chack back and maybe even tail a few. BOL rest of way.
     
    Diamondjake
    Diamondjake
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2007
    Posts: 865
    Posted: Jan. 6, 2009 - 11:35 PM ET #197

    Thanks for tracking this all years and having the balls to do so unlike Tomspeople and some of the others thave have posted here and then dropped it when going bad with no explanation. Even if it flames out you are accountable.
    Reply
    Thanks for tracking this all years and having the balls to do so unlike Tomspeople and some of the others thave have posted here and then dropped it when going bad with no explanation. Even if it flames out you are accountable.
     
    gasman33
    gasman33
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2006
    Posts: 1636
    Posted: Jan. 7, 2009 - 11:36 AM ET #198

    ExpertCapper...love the "system"except fpr the new "if calculated difference is greater than 9 then go opposite".
     
    Last night :

    If the "calculated" O/U offensive average is more than 6 but less than 9 from the vegas line then it plays as calculated...

    .........it was 3-0 winner last night....

    ....if "calculated O/U"  is more than 9 then you are playing the OPPOSITE way....

    .........it was 0-4 loser last night...

    But wudda been 4-0 winner if you played it as calculated...

    ...if it is less than 6 then it is a NO PLAY....

    .....it was a 1-0 winner also last night....

     

    ................playing all that fit criteria that all more than filter of 6 you were...6-0 winner baby!!!

    .....how has the "going opposite if greater than 9 been for this year if back tested?  I'm gonna play it as a "play" if greater than or equal than the filter of 6 that you have established...

    Reply
    ExpertCapper...love the "system"except fpr the new "if calculated difference is greater than 9 then go opposite".
     
    Last night :

    If the "calculated" O/U offensive average is more than 6 but less than 9 from the vegas line then it plays as calculated...

    .........it was 3-0 winner last night....

    ....if "calculated O/U"  is more than 9 then you are playing the OPPOSITE way....

    .........it was 0-4 loser last night...

    But wudda been 4-0 winner if you played it as calculated...

    ...if it is less than 6 then it is a NO PLAY....

    .....it was a 1-0 winner also last night....

     

    ................playing all that fit criteria that all more than filter of 6 you were...6-0 winner baby!!!

    .....how has the "going opposite if greater than 9 been for this year if back tested?  I'm gonna play it as a "play" if greater than or equal than the filter of 6 that you have established...

     
    expertcapper
    expertcapper
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 2800
    Posted: Jan. 7, 2009 - 2:36 PM ET #199

    be back later with the games
    Reply
    be back later with the games
     
     
    kenyonlv
    kenyonlv
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 345
    Posted: Jan. 7, 2009 - 4:39 PM ET #200

    Gas, the beauty of Cappers system to me is his ability to make changes to the system and keep winning.  The reverse when over 9 is pretty much the heart and soul of it, so let's let Capper decide when to make another change and not let 1 nite of failure cause an abandoning of the ship. LOL  It is cool you noticed and pointed it out tho.

    Capper, GREAT JOB!  My hats off to you.  I'm working on a backtest of a couple of your variations and will post the results soon.  Ya think maybe its time to start a new thread???  This one takes a while to load.

    Reply

    Gas, the beauty of Cappers system to me is his ability to make changes to the system and keep winning.  The reverse when over 9 is pretty much the heart and soul of it, so let's let Capper decide when to make another change and not let 1 nite of failure cause an abandoning of the ship. LOL  It is cool you noticed and pointed it out tho.

    Capper, GREAT JOB!  My hats off to you.  I'm working on a backtest of a couple of your variations and will post the results soon.  Ya think maybe its time to start a new thread???  This one takes a while to load.

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