RL -1 6 game Chase

Series 34 Game B
BOS RL -1.5 @ -103 vs. OAK
System YTD: 33-0
Overall YTD 33-24-4

Self-explanatory. Buchholz has amazing stuff...just hope he's consistent tonight. Mazzaro's coming out party is over and he's showing why scouts said that he was more back of the rotation material than the ace he was for a few weeks.

Might look at LAA later, too.

Didn't play NYY but I think they'll win big. Have money on the Yanks TT over 5 at plus money...love it.

Throwing a play for a unit on LAA. If BOS ends up blowing this like it seems like they really want to at this point (6-4, one on, top 8th), then I'll factor it in as part of a C chase. if not, then it's a new Game A.

Stupid Boston bullpen. Jesus chrsit.

HUGE FUCKING MOOSE. UNBELIEVABLE. I am appalled. Gives up a hit to Everidge...the error allows the run to score..last inning they got thrown out at home...that is unbelievable.

Well at least Oakland just tied..so we can pray that the Sox hit a homer.

I am fucking sick. The Angels, albeit not a technical chase play here, just fucking blew it. Fuentes didn't get a single out before loading the bases while giving up a run...another gets plated with the DP and the final is 7-6. Another moose. Off a 7-4 game going into the top 9th.

Here's how we're gonna work this. I'm going to start chasing Game B after clearing this current Series (Angels loss from a chase of one unit).

Now, game plan is crucial. So looking at tomorrow's card (no real good heavy favorites...lots of road favorites), I am going to SPLIT the line right here.

So I will be chasing 1.73 u PLUS 0.5 u (to win) in EACH of the two lines...adding up to a 4.46 unit chase.

Reason? I love the card for Thursday with heavy favorites. Lester at home vs. Oakland and Gio Gonzalez. Yovani Gallardo takes the hill against the Nats and JD Martin. One game starts at 1:35, the other at 2:05.

As for tomorrow's card, there may very likely be a freeze if I don't like anything. Will need to look at some things. Early interesting plays are:

COL @ NYM (Hammel vs. Santana -150)
SD @ CIN (Latos vs. Harang -165)
ATL @ FLA (Kawakami vs. J. Johnson -145)
PHI @ ARI (Happ -150 vs. Petit)
TOR @ SEA (Halladay -165 vs. Rowland-Smith)
CWS @ MIN (Colon vs. Liriano -150)

Maybe even an under play for ATL/FLA? Not sure. Or an over for CWS/MIN? Or a 1H play for NYM? This may be a potential four play day tomorrow to spread risk around an odd card.

Like I said, today would be weird.

All units are amounts TO WIN:
0.5575u CHC RL -1
0.5575u SF RL -1...game's going on right now. Cain pitched a 9 inning shutout and the score's still 0-0. Zach Duke is not that good. He had one K I think...SF just can't hit.
0.5575u NYM RL -1

PHI is on deck. Wish I'd played the Angels...glad I didn't touch Toronto. MIN is not going to be played anymore now that the matchup is Duensing vs. Contreras.

Okay shit I still can't count. The units are actually all 1.115 each...basically half of each already split line.

Push for SF, NYM is PPD.

MIL RL -1 @ -136 to win 1.115 units.

I took SD/CIN under 4.5 1H and that just flew over. I fucking hate the Padres. They never hit. Also OAK/BOS under 1H got burnt..sheesh.

Yep, boycali, all you can hope for at that point.

Not going too well tonight. MIL is battling back, but my spot plays are getting DESTROYED. FLA/ATL 1H under, DET/TEX 1H under both got crushed.

on tb ml too

Forgot to post the last play of the night.

PHI ML to win 2.23 units.

Yep...the ML. Away team playing so the ML is at -156 and the RL -1.5 is at -104. Not risking that much more $ to play the ML vs. the RL -1 and I feel a lot safer rolling with this. So yes, the first official ML play of the RL Blitz.

Yikes what's the damage after tonight ?? Just got home after a heavy evening of drinkin.. didn't seem to good after rradin all the posts.. I lost a couple more tonight too, but think i'm happy with the baltimore win and milwaukee win (even tho i oly played milw for a small recovery) .. Dodgers game ism in the 15th inning still?!?!?! God this is actually a big game for me.. Game3 of that Chase.... go DODGERS!!!!!!!!!!

I think i am fairly happy with tonight, altho the goddamn Jays made the RL Blitz about even for the night...

Tomorrow looks to be a breather of a day.. It all comes back to our pockets tomorrow afternoon!!!!!

What's up kreatt? Well, in terms of the system I ended up losing about a unit...won CHC and MIL but the PHI loss wiped it out plus that was juiced about 1.5 to 1.

The tremendous losing on spots plays sucked, but I play those for smaller units than the system so whatever. Got fucked over on a bunch of those.

Today:
MIL -1.5 chasing 2.97 units
BOS -1.5 chasing 2.97 units
NYM -1 chasing 1.17 units (amount lost on LAA vs. CLE the other night)

GL today andy.. these Boston and Brewer games are real huge today.
The juice is insane.

Won the Mets but the other two aren't looking good right now...Essentially a D chase if I lose those two for tomorrow. And considering the juice...a heavy D chase.

At this point I'm getting fairly sure it'll be two losses here. This is actualyl unbelievable and makes me want to get rid of systems forever. Just not worth the blood pressure. When Gallardo vs. JD Martin (tops out at 87) and Lester vs. Gio Gonzalez (I FUCKING HATE THIS GUY HE HAS SCREWED ME OVER THREE TIMES NOW) both come out as losses...what are you gonna do.

MIL is probably just gonna be playing for one at this point with two more ABs left and the bottom of the order left to hit. And Boston's down so that's probably not gonna happen.

Haha boycali. I'm not getting rid of it...just pissed as hell earlier when those games were going on. But in all honesty, I need to stop multi-playing games. This system has been backtracked for the last three years. The RL -1.5 ML favorite in 6 game chases has lost the chase around 6 times. The RL -1 hasn't lost...but obviously you can't lay juice all the time.

It gets annoying at times...but hey, it works at the end of teh day, right? Thanks for the feedback, buddy! Let's win more tomorrow.

Liking Price and the Rays. The Royals have an abundance of over-aggressive bats...maybe Price will actually get them to swing at some of his off the plate offerings. Effectively wild, as you can put it.

So as a recap, I cleared the longer chase that was going on with MIL and BOS.

As well as the premature LAA play that would've started a new chase with NYM.

So we're all set for Game A tomorrow. Look for a spreadsheet to be posted this weekend.

Great stuff andy, let's have a winning streak now!  Enough stress for one week. 

series 35 game a
phi-1.5 @ -104

thanks for the support kreatt

Hmm looks like I meant 36 by that one...since LAA + MIN was technically its own series.

Series 37 Game A
TB RL -1.5 @ -125 vs. KC

Niemann vs. Chen

By the way...MIN TT Over 5 @-107...love that spot play today.