RL -1 6 game Chase

on both anyway  BOL

06/05: Series 5 Game A
STL RL -1 @ -118
ML -168/RL -1.5 +127

System YTD: 4-0
Overall YTD: 4-2-2

06/06: Series 5 Game B
BOS RL -1.5 @ -105

System YTD: 4-0
Overall YTD: 4-3-2

Playing the RL -1.5 today because the line is too long to play the -1.

If y'all are locking in early, just a heads up that the play will be TOR tomorrow with the Doc on the mound against Kyle Davies and the Royals. Unless the RLM is absurd and there are huge red flags, this play will be a given. I'll probably lock it in overnight.

Juice will be too big to play -1, so it'll be a -1.5 play again tomorrow.

06/06: Series 6 Game A
TOR RL -1.5 @ -110

System YTD: 5-0
Overall YTD: 5-3-2

RL -1.5 again today.

again to bring us to 6-0.

Either the Yanks or SD tomorrow. Key to the SD game is that the SPs really have to go deep because the pens are overworked after the 18 inning marathon and have had lots of use after the last couple of days overall.

While the pitching matchup there certainly favors SD, Garland is a noted innings eater and can certainly go deep into games.

Yankees opened at -170 vs. SD at -165 on VegasInsider, but ScoresandOdds claimed that SD opened as the bigger favorite. We'll see. I'll wait to see what the odds look like tomorrow. Probably will be back at the -1 play tomorrow, although it was nice to see two straight -1.5's go through with wins.

Play is on SD tonight. Debated between NYY and SD. Some slightly odd line movements on both. Scoresnadodds is claiming SD's line plummeted like a rock and I am seeing different betting trend %s on different feeds. I'm rolling with what VegasInsider is telling me, which is RLM on NYY and SD's line getting worse for them. Also, best DBacks hitter, Upton, is out. Hopefully Peavy breezes through the AZ lineup and the pen doesn't become a huge factor.

Will post locked line later.

Today's play will be ATL.

Okay, I actually made a mistake with this bet. It would have been a push at -1, but I ended up betting an extra .45u, so I am going to incorporate that into tomorrow's bet. So even though it was technically a push, I will be chasing 1.45u instead of 1. FYI. This is still technically a push, though, for y'all who are tailing. Stupid Matchbook froze up and ended up taking the bet that I canceled AND the bet that I put in.

So total right now:
System YTD: 7-0
Total YTD: 7-3-3

Oh, forgot to mention that the mistake was on the -1.5, which was lost.

do you know what a chase system is? my overal ytd went to 4-3-2 after the STL loss. But BOS' win covered it the next day to bring a W to the system.

06/10: Series 8 Game A again
LAD RL -1.5 @ +105

Shame that LeBlanc isn't pitching anymore. He blows and the Dodgers love hitting lefties...but Correia on short rest should be toast, too.

System YTD: 7-0
Total YTD: 7-3-3

play is on MIL -1 today.

Another L. On to Game C tomorrow unfortunately. Play is either on TOR or TB. TOR easily opened as the biggest ML and remains so, but that play just screams Joe Public to me and it scares me. Nolasco isn't nearly as bad as his numbers indicate and Vegas would make a fortune off of a FLA win.

Tampa on the other hand...has Garza, an incredible home pitcher going, against crap in Stammen. Add in a poor Nats' bullpen, a Nats' team that hasn't hit at ALL lately, even against an average CIN pitching team, and the fact that the Rays have played very good overall ball as of late...it's a consideration. We'll see...going to watch how these lines move.

I really do think I'm gonna end up playing Tampa tomorrow. A few variables going against TOR in terms of travel. Nolasco also should not be dogged as much as he is. Peripherals show that his ERA should almost be halved and he really hasn't pitched as bad as his defense has played, really.

Washington is just terrible and Garza is a stud at home. Honestly, the system does call for the biggest favorite, but I think there is enough flexibility when you have two -200+ ML teams going out there...

06/10: Series 8 Game C
TB RL -1.5 @ -103

System YTD: 7-0
Total YTD: 7-5-3

I'm with you on this one andy, I'm backing the Angels all the way. I figured them for a sweep this weekend so it looks good.

BOL 

Need this chase cleared.. TODAY

kreatture.

finally cleared this...defnitely a sigh of relief here. back at it tomorrow. tb is longest now...considering laa again too though. will watch the lines till tomorrow.

Locked in at +110 andy (-1.5).. riding Weaver and the halos once again.

I called a sweep before the series started and expect this to be a quick game. Maybe not a blowout, but good enough for a solid 5-1 win or thereabouts. The Angels bats may lay off late as Weaver wants to see as much of the Laker game as possible, LoL

BOL

Sounds good buddy. It's going to be different for each person which is why I didn't really bother posting the # of units for each person, as you'll probably lock in lines at different odds. It gets even more different after a few games of chasing, because that different line is continued through the chase.

But last night was actually a 12.6 unit play on LAA. Today is a 1 unit play.

I like the LAA pick, kreatture, but I'm rolling with the Rays today. I think you'll cover as well, but the Rays are an obvious pick with the Nats coming into town. Detwiler has good stuff but he is still pretty inconsistent and doesn't last too long in games with poor efficiency. Shields is money at home and should come through here. Nats pen ain't that good, too.

Going for you, kreatture, is that Weaver has pitcehd really well this year and Young is a much better pitcher at Petco. GL to you and all today.

TB lost the -1.5 despite winning the game. Should've gone with LAA it seems.

No play tonight. No big favorite on the board.

Total YTD: 8-7-3

Huge juice here, but the play looks sound to me (knock on wood).