Posted:
#751
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Power Rating System ($1000 to $100,000 in 36 months)
Posted:
#754
Quote Originally Posted by TheThinker:
update for monday nov 8
Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000
Current Balance on nov 8 2010: $1830
Power Ratings Program: 139-145 (+$830)
breakdown:
mlb: 75-75 (+$437)
nhl: 47-38 (+$548)
nba: 2-8 (-$41)
FB: 15-24 (-$114)
here is Power Ratings card for monday nov 8
285. charolette (+1.55) $15 to win $23
286. phx (+1.70) $15 to win $26
287. denver (+1.30) $15 to win $20
288. boston (+1.35) $15 to win $20
those are the only plays tonight for the Power Ratings Program, if your not playing the nba, you have the day off.. for some reason the NHL decided to take the night off, no play on phx/det game.
TOP plays: 26-29 (-$310)
no TOP plays for tonight... explanation in above post...
good luck guys..
Thinker
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Posted:
#757
Quote Originally Posted by LaChup:
What I plan to do is put .5 unit on ML and the other .5 unit on the spread for the NBA dogs. This way if they don't win but cover, it is a wash. It seems to be working well so far. Thanks for all your hard work.
What I plan to do is put .5 unit on ML and the other .5 unit on the spread for the NBA dogs. This way if they don't win but cover, it is a wash. It seems to be working well so far. Thanks for all your hard work.
The whole point of the nba dogs is to win better than 55% to be profittable. While you are cutting your loss if they lose but cover you are also cutting your profits when they win. Overtime looks like it will hurt more than help.
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Posted:
#758
Quote Originally Posted by LaChup:
What I plan to do is put .5 unit on ML and the other .5 unit on the spread for the NBA dogs. This way if they don't win but cover, it is a wash. It seems to be working well so far. Thanks for all your hard work.
What I plan to do is put .5 unit on ML and the other .5 unit on the spread for the NBA dogs. This way if they don't win but cover, it is a wash. It seems to be working well so far. Thanks for all your hard work.
You're free to do that if you wish, but this would be much smarter:
QUOTE
Originally Posted by Jokeheads:
Another option is to split the bet up among ML/ATS like this:
Instead of wagering x dollars on one bet:
wager .524*x on ATS and .476*x on ML.
If ATS hits (at -110) and .476 doesn't, you'll split for the day. If both lose, you lose 1 unit. But if both hit, your profit is substantially higher. (.5*x + [ML odds]*x*.476)...or 1.5-2 units usually.
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Posted:
#759
Thinker
I will be playing what ever works for you, I appreciate the hard work
an 11 day vacation, now that sounds like heaven
maybe in 33 months I will go to the FIJI islands and not take my cell phone until then I am just a working girl that appreciates your effort
do they have casinos in FIJI I might have to rethink that destination
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Posted:
#760
Quote Originally Posted by fijfi:
Thinker
I will be playing what ever works for you, I appreciate the hard work
an 11 day vacation, now that sounds like heaven
maybe in 33 months I will go to the FIJI islands and not take my cell phone until then I am just a working girl that appreciates your effort
do they have casinos in FIJI I might have to rethink that destination
No casinos in Fiji...perhaps you should go to Australia or the Caribbean. :)
0
Posted:
#761
Quote Originally Posted by fijfi:
Thinker
I will be playing what ever works for you, I appreciate the hard work
an 11 day vacation, now that sounds like heaven
maybe in 33 months I will go to the FIJI islands and not take my cell phone until then I am just a working girl that appreciates your effort
do they have casinos in FIJI I might have to rethink that destination
come to los cabos or cancun or vallarta we have casinos here
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Posted:
#765
Quote Originally Posted by like2betmore:
The whole point of the nba dogs is to win better than 55% to be profittable. While you are cutting your loss if they lose but cover you are also cutting your profits when they win. Overtime looks like it will hurt more than help.
I guess I'm not getting why you need to hit 55% to be profitable with the ML. It should be no different than NHL or MLB where 50% or even less is profitable. Are you confusing that with ATS? If we would have hit 2 tonight we would have been positive. Because I split the ML and ATS, I only ended up -1 unit instead of -4.
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Posted:
#767
update for tuesday nov 9
Beginning Balance on sept 5 2010: $1000
Current Balance on nov 9 2010: $1770
Power Rating System: 139-149 (+$770)
breakdown:
mlb: 75-75 (+$437)
nhl: 47-38 (+$548)
nba: 2-12 (-$101)
FB: 15-24 (-$114)
TOP plays: 26-29 (-$310)
card for tuesday nov 9
289. calgary (+1.10) $35 to win $39
290. cleveland (+1.10) $15 to win $17
all lines are not out yet.. im pretty certain that is a final NHL card, sorry about that... there may be 1-2 additional nba plays tonight.
on the games that i have bet the NBA, the Programs record is a dismal (2-12) but in reality if every Program selection this season had been played, the record is (16-21) (+5.20 units)... so keep this in mind..
the nba dogs will not come close to 50%, they should hang on to 45% but they will be just as profitable there, as the nhl and mlb dogs will be at 50%.... the payback on the nba is much higher.
ill say this one more time, decide for yourself what to do with the nba plays, play them in any fashion you wish.. if i lose $300 playing them, i will stop but until then, ill continue to play each selection....
listen to this: i can afford to take this gamble, at this stage of the journey... next season there will be no chance of taking a gamble. the wagers will be much larger by that time...
check back later today for any further selection, if interested.. if i have a TOP play today, it will be posted at that time..
Thinker
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Posted:
#773
thanks man, ive really screwed the nba up thus far, thank goodness the season is young..
posted record: 3-12
actual monitored record: 17-21 (+6.30 units)
and i can tell you, in reality its better than that. metslider knows what im talking about..
im 43, by the time im 45, i want to be doing this fulltime, i believe the computer program that ive created can get me there... its sick as to how good its really been.
mlb: 75-75
nhl: 48-38
nba: 17-21
those are the real actual numbers...
we have also learned alot in the 66 days that ive ran this thread.. i wont be using football or totals for the project... they may fit into the TOP plays but they will no longer be considered for the project that we are conducting in this thread..
back later with update and card.
Thinker
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