Power Rating System ($1000 to $100,000 in 36 months)

I posed a question earlier today, concerning a Power Rating System that ive been working on for a couple of weeks. I was going back an forth about "flat betting" with it or doing a Labouchere method with it.

I have finally decided to flat bet it for the first month and raise the bets slightly, if im successful.

I want a place to document this system's progress and this looks like a good one.

My goal is to start with a $1000 investment and within 36 months, run it into a $100,000 bankroll. Not adding any money along the way. I believe a 15% return compounded monthly will get me there.

Here is where i begin and by the way this is for Pro-Sports Only, very rarely will a college play be included.

Beginning Balance: $1000 on sept 5, 2010

Here were sundays plays, posted in a thread here at covers.

1. whitesox (+1.35) $20 to win $27

2. twins (+1.15) $20 to win $23

3. royals (+1.10) $20 to win $22

4. indians (+1.80) $20 to win $36

5. pirates (+1.05) $20 to win $21

6. reds (+1.60) $20 to win $32

7. mets (+1.30) $20 to win $26

8. giants (+1.25) $20 to win $25

these plays were posted earlier today and this is where ill start. i was going to use a Labouchere Method but i did not want the risk. I am pretty certain with discipline that this system can get me to my goal.

To hit my first goal (of 36) i need to be at $1150 on Oct 1.

Lets see how it proceeds, feel free to comment along the way.

Thinker

Beginning Balance: $1000 on sept 5

Current Balance: $1063 on sept 6

Power Rating System: 5-3 (+$63)

I am not going to track units, as the $$$$ is what will matter most to me. My bets will also vary greatly as i move along this journey. I will try to separate records for each sport.

Here are mondays plays

9. Marlins/Phils.. there will be a play on game 1 of their DH today, im assuming the marlins will be the dog. Ill post the line and wager as soon as it hits the board.

10. cards (+1.15) $20 to win $23

11. reds (+1.75) $20 to win $35

12. dodgers (+1.45) $20 to win $29

13. whitesox (+1.10) $20 to win $22

14. texas (+1.25) $20 to win $25

15. tb rays (+1.45) $20 to win $29

as i said, there will be a play on Game 1 of the DH in philly today.

Here is one rule that i have concerning the Power Rating system and baseball plays. "If there is a pitching change and the team that i have wagered on, is still a DOG after the change, they will remain a play. I will bet them again at the new line and will use the closing line at covers for record keeping". If after the change, my selected team moves to a favorite, they will not be a wager, it will be a canceled bet". this rule will always apply.

I also have a bet on the Boise ST/VT game tonight...

16. Boise ST (+1.00) $20 to win $20

The system will select a college play, roughly 5% of the time... so about 1 every 20 plays.

back later to post the Fla/phil wager and line.

Thinker

thx brookster..

rocksaki, they are my Power Ratings.... i have worked on this a couple of weeks and wanted to give this a shot..

here is the line and wager on the marlin/philly game..

9. Marlins (+1.50) $20 to win $30 Game 1 of DH

I am pretty sure this is going to do well in both baseball and the NHL.. i am not sure how it will do in the NFL and NBA.

i worked week 1 for the NFL this morning and here were the dogs selected (denver, pittsburgh, carolina, cleveland, seattle).... However i am unsure of how i will use this for the NFL... ive got some more work to do this week... as for college sports, i will use it on a very limited basis..

thx for asking, no additional plays on monday..(Labor Day)

Thinker

there is one additional play for monday (Labor Day).

17. Giants (+1.00) $20 to win $20.

Here is a recap and final card for Labor Day (sept 6)

Beginning Balance: $1000 on sept 5

Current Balance: $1063 on sept 6

Breakdown:

Power Rating MLB: 5-3 (+$63)

Power Rating NCAAF: 0-0 ($0)

Plays for Labor Day (sept 6)

9. Fla (+1.50) $20 to win $30 Game 1 of DH

10. cards (+1.15) $20 to win $23

11. reds (+1.75) $20 to win $35

12. dodgers (+1.45) $20 to win $29

13. whitesox (+1.10) $20 to win $22

14. Texas (+1.25) $20 to win $25

15. TB (+1.45) $20 to win $29

16. Boise St (+1.00) $20 to win $20

17. giants (+1.00) $20 to win $20

nothing else added, will update tuesday

Thinker

erbatiz, its definately not a chase... for the mlb and nhl it will only dogs.. it is a very current Power Rating System that i have developed to pick games. my goal is to pick 50% winner or close to that.. by playing only dogs this alone will make one quite wealthy.

butta: you are so right.. patience and discipline... My Plan is to make 15% compounded monthly... that alone is my #1 goal...

so on Oct 1... i only need to be at $1150 to reach goal 1 of a 36 goal plan..

good luck guys, ill check in and out and comment about the system more as we go... back in a few hours..

Thinker

butta: i encourage you to start a thread with your NHL plays... otherwise this thread could get really cluttered.. drop in any time and good luck.. this is going to be a very long journey for me and ill drop in from time to time.

butta: i dont have a max number of plays, as the system will select the plays, its all mechanical. my opinion is not involved.

brookster, ill adjust the amount wagered at different levels... possibly going to $25 at the $1250 level. however in saying this, im not tieing myself into the 2% amount... i do want to keep this conservative and i will be varying my wager amounts from time to time...

erbatix, squinta: thanks for the well wishes and drop by anytime.

Thinker

Beginning Balance: (+$1000) on Sept 5

Current Balance: (+$1118) on Sept 7

Power System: 10-6 (+$118)

breakdown:

MLB: 9-6 (+$98)

CFB: 1-0 (+$20)

just a note about monday night's games... Latos was a late scratch, thus my dodger wager was a cancel.

to clear things up, starting today, ill list the pitchers in my daily post that must start. if they dont go, its a cancel. if its still a play after the change, ill post in the thread by gametime.

here are 2 plays for tuesday sept 7 (hou +1.25) (stl +1.10), i will be back by 3pm cst today to list the remainder of the card..  those 2 bets are locked in. (figueroa/silva) in the hou/cubs game and (Lohse/Narveson) in the cards/mil game..

back around 3pm, with the remainder of tuesdays card..

good luck to everyone.. nice start but its just 2 day.. 1093 more to go..

Thinker

Here is just a note about the Power Rating System:

For baseball and hockey, all wagers will be on Higher Rated Underdogs. Dogs Only. this could change when we get to playoffs.

For football and basketball, i am still currently unsure of how to use the system. I know there will not be many college football plays all year. I also know that for week 1 in the NFL, i will be using only the Higher Rated Dogs...

Here is a current list of the NFL Dogs for week 1... Denver, Pittsburgh, Carolina, Cleveland, Seattle and Baltimore. There are 6 plays for week 1. Ill turn my bets in and post the plays sometime on friday of this week..

Thinker

thx guys, here is the card for tuesday sept 7

17. whitesox (+1.50) $20 to win $30 (garcia/verlander)

18. Texas (+1.70) $20 to win $34 (feldman/marcum)

19. Houston (+1.25) $20 to win $25 (figueroa/silva)

20. Cards (+1.10) $20 to win $22 (Lohse/narveson)

21. Reds (+1.20) $20 to win $24 (cueto/chacin)

this is day 3 of a very long journey. i do believe with discipline and patience that i can turn a $1000 investment into a $100,000 bankroll in 36 months or less..... but to do this i am going to only focus on 1 goal at a time... Goal #1 for me, is to be at $1150 on Oct 1.....

when we make it to Oct 1, ill re-evaluate things.... but im basing this on a (15%) increase every single month.. i should reach the $100,000 mark in about 33 months or so, if i have done the math correctly... so about 1000 days to a $100,000 bankroll....

lets see how it plays out...

no additions today..

Thinker

Yesterday: 1-4 (-$55)

Beginning Balance: $1000 on sept 5

Current Balance: $1063 on sept 8

Power Rating System: 11-10 (+$63)

breakdown:

MLB: 10-10 (+$43)

CFB: 1-0 (+$20)

that should be an accurate daily update, as we head into day 4.

tough day yesterday but the (10-10) MLB record is very close to what my research and development for this system showed. its running in the (48-51%) area, which is really good for dogs only.

couple of notes..

there will not be any plays for thursday night in football. and this includes college and pro.... sundays nfl card will be posted and wagered on friday sept 10.

plays for wednesday sept 8, will be posted by (12:30 pm) cst today.

Thinker