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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Opening Game Favorite Chase 246-7 for 2009

    «First Previous 373839 ... 454647 Next Last»
    therizz
    JSCapper
    UglyMikey
    disco20
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 87113
    Posts: 1158
    «First Previous 373839 ... 454647 Next Last»
     
    therizz
    therizz
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 2304
    Posted: Jul. 9, 2010 - 11:28 PM ET #901

    Plays for 7/7:

    System record 137-6-1                        +95.55U with labby

                                                                All Series 154-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    Series #145 (G3) 10:10         kc @ SEA -140     

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =88

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +95.55 U aggressive labby updated 7/7 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    x-x-5-30-30 -50                            x-5-31-x        

    5-5-55-60                                   x-5-21-x              

    x-5-66-50     -100                         x-5-5-x

     

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    Plays for 7/7:

    System record 137-6-1                        +95.55U with labby

                                                                All Series 154-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    Series #145 (G3) 10:10         kc @ SEA -140     

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =88

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +95.55 U aggressive labby updated 7/7 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    x-x-5-30-30 -50                            x-5-31-x        

    5-5-55-60                                   x-5-21-x              

    x-5-66-50     -100                         x-5-5-x

     

     
    therizz
    therizz
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 2304
    Posted: Jul. 9, 2010 - 11:45 PM ET #902

    Plays for 7/8:

    System record 140-6-1                        +103.15U with labby

                                                                All Series 157-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #146 (G1)            cle @ TB -198     9        

    *Series #147 (G1)             bal @ TEX -249   9.5     

    Series #148 (G1)              NYY -156 @ se    7.5      

    Series #149 (G1)              chc @ LAD -180   7        

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =91

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +103.15 U aggressive labby updated 7/7 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-47     +110, -70                 x-x-x-x      +36    

    5-5-55-45                                   x-5-21-x              

    x-5-66-50                                     x-5-5-x

    Took half AL win to cross off outside #'s on line 1, took 50 off end of line 2 to keep it from getting any larger, split loss between last two #'s on line 1 and end of line 2

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    Plays for 7/8:

    System record 140-6-1                        +103.15U with labby

                                                                All Series 157-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #146 (G1)            cle @ TB -198     9        

    *Series #147 (G1)             bal @ TEX -249   9.5     

    Series #148 (G1)              NYY -156 @ se    7.5      

    Series #149 (G1)              chc @ LAD -180   7        

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =91

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +103.15 U aggressive labby updated 7/7 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-47     +110, -70                 x-x-x-x      +36    

    5-5-55-45                                   x-5-21-x              

    x-5-66-50                                     x-5-5-x

    Took half AL win to cross off outside #'s on line 1, took 50 off end of line 2 to keep it from getting any larger, split loss between last two #'s on line 1 and end of line 2

     
    therizz
    therizz
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 2304
    Posted: Jul. 9, 2010 - 11:56 PM ET #903

    Plays for 7/9:

    System record 140-6-1                        +103.15U with labby

                                                                All Series 157-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G2)             bal @ TEX -198

    *Series #150 (G1)              kc @ CWS -150       9

    *Series #151 (G1)               pit @ MIL -151        9

    Series #152 (G1)               STL -177 @ hou       7

    *Series #153 (G1)               sd @ COL -159        9.5

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =91

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +103.15 U aggressive labby updated 7/8 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-47                                    x-5-5-x          

    5-5-55-45                                   x-5-21-x              

    x-5-66-50                                     x-5-5-x

    Reply
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    Plays for 7/9:

    System record 140-6-1                        +103.15U with labby

                                                                All Series 157-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G2)             bal @ TEX -198

    *Series #150 (G1)              kc @ CWS -150       9

    *Series #151 (G1)               pit @ MIL -151        9

    Series #152 (G1)               STL -177 @ hou       7

    *Series #153 (G1)               sd @ COL -159        9.5

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =91

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +103.15 U aggressive labby updated 7/8 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-47                                    x-5-5-x          

    5-5-55-45                                   x-5-21-x              

    x-5-66-50                                     x-5-5-x

     
    therizz
    therizz
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 2304
    Posted: Jul. 10, 2010 - 11:44 AM ET #904

    This is such a f ing juke.  WTF TEX.  These pricks cannot finish a game.  Would play them in the first 5 but they are usually the ones that start slow and kick ass through the middle innings. They give up 4 runs to BALTIMORE!!! in the 9th.  We will never get these lines cleared when we keep having AL teams dragging ass.  In backtesting the AL was always the strength of the system, this year they suck.
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    This is such a f ing juke.  WTF TEX.  These pricks cannot finish a game.  Would play them in the first 5 but they are usually the ones that start slow and kick ass through the middle innings. They give up 4 runs to BALTIMORE!!! in the 9th.  We will never get these lines cleared when we keep having AL teams dragging ass.  In backtesting the AL was always the strength of the system, this year they suck.
     
    therizz
    therizz
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 2304
    Posted: Jul. 10, 2010 - 11:56 AM ET #905

    Plays for 7/9:

    System record 144-6-1                        +105.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G2)             bal @ TEX -198        

    *Series #150 (G1)              kc @ CWS -150       9  

    *Series #151 (G1)               pit @ MIL -151        9  

    Series #152 (G1)               STL -177 @ hou       7  

    *Series #153 (G1)               sd @ COL -159        9.5 

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +105.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/9 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    x-5-47-x     +52                           x-x-x-x          +30

    5-5-55-75     -60                             x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80                                     x-5-5-x

    Dropped half my NL winnings to line 2.  We went 4-1 and only go up 2.2U.  I am thinking splitting the lines was not the best idea.  While we have been on a crap run in AL we have still been doing great in NL. For example we win 3U tonight for NL but would have won 15.6 with the combined lines, higher risk, higher reward. This would have cleared a lot of numbers and brough in a lot of profit as opposed to where we are now waiting for the AL lines to turn around

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    Plays for 7/9:

    System record 144-6-1                        +105.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G2)             bal @ TEX -198        

    *Series #150 (G1)              kc @ CWS -150       9  

    *Series #151 (G1)               pit @ MIL -151        9  

    Series #152 (G1)               STL -177 @ hou       7  

    *Series #153 (G1)               sd @ COL -159        9.5 

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +105.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/9 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    x-5-47-x     +52                           x-x-x-x          +30

    5-5-55-75     -60                             x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80                                     x-5-5-x

    Dropped half my NL winnings to line 2.  We went 4-1 and only go up 2.2U.  I am thinking splitting the lines was not the best idea.  While we have been on a crap run in AL we have still been doing great in NL. For example we win 3U tonight for NL but would have won 15.6 with the combined lines, higher risk, higher reward. This would have cleared a lot of numbers and brough in a lot of profit as opposed to where we are now waiting for the AL lines to turn around

     
    therizz
    therizz
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 2304
    Posted: Jul. 10, 2010 - 12:00 PM ET #906

    Plays for 7/10:

    System record 144-6-1                        +105.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G3)             bal @ TEX

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +105.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/9 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    x-5-47-x                                       x-x-x-x          

    5-5-55-75                                      x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80                                     x-5-5-x

    Reply
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    Plays for 7/10:

    System record 144-6-1                        +105.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G3)             bal @ TEX

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +105.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/9 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    x-5-47-x                                       x-x-x-x          

    5-5-55-75                                      x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80                                     x-5-5-x

     
    JSCapper
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 12:29 AM ET #907

    Hey Rizz, heavy juice for the 4th game.  Are you playing RL or ML?  Two games blown by bullpen and Cliff gave up three homes today.  tough losses.  Where are the Texas bats?

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    Hey Rizz, heavy juice for the 4th game.  Are you playing RL or ML?  Two games blown by bullpen and Cliff gave up three homes today.  tough losses.  Where are the Texas bats?

     
    UglyMikey
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 3:16 AM ET #908

    If I am following this correctly, would this be correct. Rather than chasing, I could bet $100 a game. For the sake of argument, I will say -165 for every game as an average ( $100 to win $60 )

    Game 1  95 wins (95x$60= $5700)  50 losses (50x$100= $5000)

    Game 2  36 wins (36x$60= $2160)  14 losses (14x$100= $1400)

    Game 3  14 wins (14x$60= $840)    6 losses  (6x$100= $600)

     

    Game 1  +$700, Game 2 +$760, Game 3 +$240 = +$1700 total

    Am I anywhere near a decent idea??? Thanks for all your work on this thread.     

     

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    If I am following this correctly, would this be correct. Rather than chasing, I could bet $100 a game. For the sake of argument, I will say -165 for every game as an average ( $100 to win $60 )

    Game 1  95 wins (95x$60= $5700)  50 losses (50x$100= $5000)

    Game 2  36 wins (36x$60= $2160)  14 losses (14x$100= $1400)

    Game 3  14 wins (14x$60= $840)    6 losses  (6x$100= $600)

     

    Game 1  +$700, Game 2 +$760, Game 3 +$240 = +$1700 total

    Am I anywhere near a decent idea??? Thanks for all your work on this thread.     

     

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 11:54 AM ET #909

    Quote Originally Posted by JSCapper:

    Hey Rizz, heavy juice for the 4th game.  Are you playing RL or ML?  Two games blown by bullpen and Cliff gave up three homes today.  tough losses.  Where are the Texas bats?

    I have played this entire series on the RL.  It seems this always happens when a team gives up the first or second game they should have won, the wheels come off.  I thought we saw the worst in this system at the beginning of may but it has completely imploded in the last 10 days or so.  We are looking at potentially are 2nd 4 game series loss, and our first home team that passes the over/under filter loss.

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    Quote Originally Posted by JSCapper:

    Hey Rizz, heavy juice for the 4th game.  Are you playing RL or ML?  Two games blown by bullpen and Cliff gave up three homes today.  tough losses.  Where are the Texas bats?

    I have played this entire series on the RL.  It seems this always happens when a team gives up the first or second game they should have won, the wheels come off.  I thought we saw the worst in this system at the beginning of may but it has completely imploded in the last 10 days or so.  We are looking at potentially are 2nd 4 game series loss, and our first home team that passes the over/under filter loss.

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 12:00 PM ET #910

    Quote Originally Posted by UglyMikey:

    If I am following this correctly, would this be correct. Rather than chasing, I could bet $100 a game. For the sake of argument, I will say -165 for every game as an average ( $100 to win $60 )

    Game 1  95 wins (95x$60= $5700)  50 losses (50x$100= $5000)

    Game 2  36 wins (36x$60= $2160)  14 losses (14x$100= $1400)

    Game 3  14 wins (14x$60= $840)    6 losses  (6x$100= $600)

     

    Game 1  +$700, Game 2 +$760, Game 3 +$240 = +$1700 total

    Am I anywhere near a decent idea??? Thanks for all your work on this thread.     

     

    Yeah I have thought of doing just this.  Just running every line as its own entity and not carrying units from line to line after losses.  It would be less risky.  Less risk, less reward.  We are still up 90U with the aggressive labby lines.  I can't imagine this thing doing any worse than it has the last week or so but it could..... This is my first year doing this.  We are at the allstar break with 6, possibly 7 losses, where in backtesting we only had 7 for the whole season last year.

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    Quote Originally Posted by UglyMikey:

    If I am following this correctly, would this be correct. Rather than chasing, I could bet $100 a game. For the sake of argument, I will say -165 for every game as an average ( $100 to win $60 )

    Game 1  95 wins (95x$60= $5700)  50 losses (50x$100= $5000)

    Game 2  36 wins (36x$60= $2160)  14 losses (14x$100= $1400)

    Game 3  14 wins (14x$60= $840)    6 losses  (6x$100= $600)

     

    Game 1  +$700, Game 2 +$760, Game 3 +$240 = +$1700 total

    Am I anywhere near a decent idea??? Thanks for all your work on this thread.     

     

    Yeah I have thought of doing just this.  Just running every line as its own entity and not carrying units from line to line after losses.  It would be less risky.  Less risk, less reward.  We are still up 90U with the aggressive labby lines.  I can't imagine this thing doing any worse than it has the last week or so but it could..... This is my first year doing this.  We are at the allstar break with 6, possibly 7 losses, where in backtesting we only had 7 for the whole season last year.

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 12:05 PM ET #911

    Plays for 7/10:

    System record 144-6-1                        +92.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G3)             bal @ TEX         

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +92.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/10 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-65                                       x-x-x-x          

    5-5-55-75                                      x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80-65        -130                     x-5-5-x

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    Plays for 7/10:

    System record 144-6-1                        +92.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G3)             bal @ TEX         

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +92.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/10 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-65                                       x-x-x-x          

    5-5-55-75                                      x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80-65        -130                     x-5-5-x

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 12:07 PM ET #912

    Plays for 7/11:

    System record 144-6-1                        +92.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G4)             bal @ TEX         

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +92.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/10 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-65                                       x-x-x-x          

    5-5-55-75                                      x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80-65                                 x-5-5-x

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    Plays for 7/11:

    System record 144-6-1                        +92.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-7-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G4)             bal @ TEX         

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +92.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/10 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-65                                       x-x-x-x          

    5-5-55-75                                      x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80-65                                 x-5-5-x

     
    JSCapper
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 7:00 PM ET #913

    Texas got swept as aI -200+ favorite four days straight.  This has to hurt.  I am treating 4 games serie as 3 games only from now on.  Sometime it is much cheaper just to let things go.  two weeks straight with 4 games serie loss.  Have to readjust my labby lines and spread them out a little bit.  Still have faith in your system.  Hope it get back on track after the all stars break.

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    Texas got swept as aI -200+ favorite four days straight.  This has to hurt.  I am treating 4 games serie as 3 games only from now on.  Sometime it is much cheaper just to let things go.  two weeks straight with 4 games serie loss.  Have to readjust my labby lines and spread them out a little bit.  Still have faith in your system.  Hope it get back on track after the all stars break.

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 7:14 PM ET #914

    Quote Originally Posted by JSCapper:

    Texas got swept as aI -200+ favorite four days straight.  This has to hurt.  I am treating 4 games serie as 3 games only from now on.  Sometime it is much cheaper just to let things go.  two weeks straight with 4 games serie loss.  Have to readjust my labby lines and spread them out a little bit.  Still have faith in your system.  Hope it get back on track after the all stars break.

    Tell me about it man, this shit has been brutal.  This was also our first loss with a home team that passed the o/u filter.  I think we are like 60-1 in this situation, but will have to update my spreadsheet.  We are 0-2 in game 4's so obviously are not giving us any value.  Not sure how you are doing your lines JS, but I know mine would look better if I never split them between AL and NL.  We need to go on a serious run coming off the break.  Sorry to see this crap happen.  I feel bad when people are following and we lose money.  That makes me feel worse than losing my own coin.  All I can say is I backtested the crap out of this thing and it looked good.  My sweep chase system went to crap early.  I am hoping this one doesn't follow suit.  If it doesn't turn around soon we will give everything we won back to the books

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    Quote Originally Posted by JSCapper:

    Texas got swept as aI -200+ favorite four days straight.  This has to hurt.  I am treating 4 games serie as 3 games only from now on.  Sometime it is much cheaper just to let things go.  two weeks straight with 4 games serie loss.  Have to readjust my labby lines and spread them out a little bit.  Still have faith in your system.  Hope it get back on track after the all stars break.

    Tell me about it man, this shit has been brutal.  This was also our first loss with a home team that passed the o/u filter.  I think we are like 60-1 in this situation, but will have to update my spreadsheet.  We are 0-2 in game 4's so obviously are not giving us any value.  Not sure how you are doing your lines JS, but I know mine would look better if I never split them between AL and NL.  We need to go on a serious run coming off the break.  Sorry to see this crap happen.  I feel bad when people are following and we lose money.  That makes me feel worse than losing my own coin.  All I can say is I backtested the crap out of this thing and it looked good.  My sweep chase system went to crap early.  I am hoping this one doesn't follow suit.  If it doesn't turn around soon we will give everything we won back to the books

     
    JSCapper
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 7:28 PM ET #915

    Don't feeling bad Rizz. Shit happens and I always tail at my own risk.  Because I don't know when a loss will occur, I manage each bet straightly on % of bankroll.  No one serie can kill me.  I am still up plenty from you system.  Would've save some $$ if I let the two game four go.  I agree that you should combine the AL & NL line into one.   All system plays are like a marathon.  It is not a weekly thing.  I am sure we will be up plenty at the end of this mlb season. Good luck going forward. 
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    Don't feeling bad Rizz. Shit happens and I always tail at my own risk.  Because I don't know when a loss will occur, I manage each bet straightly on % of bankroll.  No one serie can kill me.  I am still up plenty from you system.  Would've save some $$ if I let the two game four go.  I agree that you should combine the AL & NL line into one.   All system plays are like a marathon.  It is not a weekly thing.  I am sure we will be up plenty at the end of this mlb season. Good luck going forward. 
     
    JSCapper
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2010 - 7:44 PM ET #916

    BTW, I am spreading my labby lines so I don't give the $$ back to the house.  We have 77 days of mlb to go after the all stars break.  I got plenty time to make more $$ with this.  It is all about managing risk and bankroll.
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    BTW, I am spreading my labby lines so I don't give the $$ back to the house.  We have 77 days of mlb to go after the all stars break.  I got plenty time to make more $$ with this.  It is all about managing risk and bankroll.
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2010 - 6:51 PM ET #917

    Plays for 7/11:

    System record 144-7-1                        +84.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-8-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G4)             bal @ TEX         

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +84.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/10 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-65-40           -80                  x-x-x-x          

    5-5-55-75-40                                 x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80-65                                 x-5-5-x

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    Plays for 7/11:

    System record 144-7-1                        +84.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-8-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    *Series #147 (G4)             bal @ TEX         

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +84.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/10 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-47-65-40           -80                  x-x-x-x          

    5-5-55-75-40                                 x-5-6-x              

    x-5-66-80-65                                 x-5-5-x

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2010 - 6:53 PM ET #918

    Well guys time to start the climb out of the hole.  I am going to split my lines between AL and NL to start the recovery process.
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    Well guys time to start the climb out of the hole.  I am going to split my lines between AL and NL to start the recovery process.
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2010 - 6:59 PM ET #919

    Plays for 7/15:

    System record 144-7-1                        +84.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-8-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    Series#153 (G1) 7:10           mil @ ATL -150   ?       (53/30)

    Series#154 (G1) 10:10         nym @ SF -175    ?       (49/35)

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +84.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/10 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-23-38-20                                 5-5-24-37-20          

    5-5-28-38-20                                 5-5-27-37-20              

    5-5-33-40-32                                 5-5-5-33-40-33

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    Plays for 7/15:

    System record 144-7-1                        +84.35U with labby

                                                                All Series 161-8-1

    2 game series: 11-1   (G1=9, G2=2)

    Series       Game   Time       Teams        o/u      TR diff          

    Series#153 (G1) 7:10           mil @ ATL -150   ?       (53/30)

    Series#154 (G1) 10:10         nym @ SF -175    ?       (49/35)

    OPTIONAL SERIES (Non System)   5-0

    2 GameSeries

    Interleague Series   (26-0)    (G1=18, G2=7, G3=1)        

     

    **meet o/u filter of 9+

    TR diffs(for reference only)

    Series Prices (for future reference only)

    Game 1 wins =95

    Game 2 wins = 36

    Game 3 wins = 14

    *Losses = 6 , -63.6U+ (Martingale)

    +84.35 U aggressive labby updated 7/10 PM

    AL lines                              NL lines

    5-5-23-38-20                                 5-5-24-37-20          

    5-5-28-38-20                                 5-5-27-37-20              

    5-5-33-40-32                                 5-5-5-33-40-33

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2010 - 7:09 PM ET #920

    Teamrankings

    mil (16, 100.2) @ ATL (1, 103.2) = +15, +3.0

    nym (17, 100.1) @ SF (12, 100.4) = +5, +0.3

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    Teamrankings

    mil (16, 100.2) @ ATL (1, 103.2) = +15, +3.0

    nym (17, 100.1) @ SF (12, 100.4) = +5, +0.3

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2010 - 7:05 PM ET #921

    Add LAA this evening as a play guys
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    Add LAA this evening as a play guys
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2010 - 9:54 PM ET #922

    Okay guys, got behind on my spreadsheet.  Here are the updated numbers for the over/under filtered plays:

    All plays = 84-2

    Away teams = 10-1

    Home teams = 74-1

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    Okay guys, got behind on my spreadsheet.  Here are the updated numbers for the over/under filtered plays:

    All plays = 84-2

    Away teams = 10-1

    Home teams = 74-1

     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2010 - 9:56 PM ET #923

    I forgot to mention that baltimore caused us both o/u filter losses.  Just swept texas on the road, and swept boston at home early in the season!!!
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    I forgot to mention that baltimore caused us both o/u filter losses.  Just swept texas on the road, and swept boston at home early in the season!!!
     
    therizz
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2010 - 5:05 AM ET #924

    3-0 last night +7.5U

    NYY, TOR are plays for tonight.  Be careful with TOR as they are playing are friends the orioles.

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    3-0 last night +7.5U

    NYY, TOR are plays for tonight.  Be careful with TOR as they are playing are friends the orioles.

     
     
    disco20
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2010 - 6:28 PM ET #925

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