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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Official (?) RPI 2013 system

    «First Previous 141516 ... 262728 Next Last»
    BookieCrusher88
    DegenGamble
    jenjay23
    bruin95
    Danrules24
    ...
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    «First Previous 141516 ... 262728 Next Last»
     
    BookieCrusher88
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 7:14 PM ET #326

    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

    Its a long season easy guys

    I wonder why you can still stay positive after 3 losses. I already blew my BR. Im using Martingale.
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    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

    Its a long season easy guys

    I wonder why you can still stay positive after 3 losses. I already blew my BR. Im using Martingale.
     
    BookieCrusher88
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 7:16 PM ET #327

    System never lost this early. And its been only a month and 3 losses already. Damn! 
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    System never lost this early. And its been only a month and 3 losses already. Damn! 
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 7:20 PM ET #328

    I would think a good rule of thumb would be to make sure a C bet loss or series loss would only be 20% of your bankroll. so assuming at -200 odds a series loss is a -24 units - you should have a bankroll of 120 units
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    I would think a good rule of thumb would be to make sure a C bet loss or series loss would only be 20% of your bankroll. so assuming at -200 odds a series loss is a -24 units - you should have a bankroll of 120 units
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 7:21 PM ET #329

    This way you could theoretically lose 5 series in a row before you're busto
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    This way you could theoretically lose 5 series in a row before you're busto
     
    jenjay23
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 8:27 PM ET #330

    Starting since the begining of May, this is how I have the systems production:                                                                                      45 wins of 1 unit: +45

    Losses:                                                                                                   Bos vs Tex, Game A(+119): -0.84, B(+158): -1.17, C(-130): -3.9= -5.91 units

    NYY vs NYM, Game A(-104): -1.04, B(+124): -1.65, C(-180): -5.47= -8.16 units

    ATL vs SD, Game A(-131): -1.31, B(-114): -2.64, C(-122):-4.88= -8.83 units

    Total loss of 22.9 units with 45 gained = 22.1 units to the good

    I am definately OK with those results a month and a half in

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    Starting since the begining of May, this is how I have the systems production:                                                                                      45 wins of 1 unit: +45

    Losses:                                                                                                   Bos vs Tex, Game A(+119): -0.84, B(+158): -1.17, C(-130): -3.9= -5.91 units

    NYY vs NYM, Game A(-104): -1.04, B(+124): -1.65, C(-180): -5.47= -8.16 units

    ATL vs SD, Game A(-131): -1.31, B(-114): -2.64, C(-122):-4.88= -8.83 units

    Total loss of 22.9 units with 45 gained = 22.1 units to the good

    I am definately OK with those results a month and a half in

     
    bruin95
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 8:44 PM ET #331

    Quote Originally Posted by jenjay23:

    Starting since the begining of May, this is how I have the systems production:                                                                                      45 wins of 1 unit: +45

    Losses:                                                                                                   Bos vs Tex, Game A(+119): -0.84, B(+158): -1.17, C(-130): -3.9= -5.91 units

    NYY vs NYM, Game A(-104): -1.04, B(+124): -1.65, C(-180): -5.47= -8.16 units

    ATL vs SD, Game A(-131): -1.31, B(-114): -2.64, C(-122):-4.88= -8.83 units

    Total loss of 22.9 units with 45 gained = 22.1 units to the good

    I am definately OK with those results a month and a half in


    What system are you using to bet?  I had better numbers than you in each of the ATL games and lost 10.2 units.
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    Quote Originally Posted by jenjay23:

    Starting since the begining of May, this is how I have the systems production:                                                                                      45 wins of 1 unit: +45

    Losses:                                                                                                   Bos vs Tex, Game A(+119): -0.84, B(+158): -1.17, C(-130): -3.9= -5.91 units

    NYY vs NYM, Game A(-104): -1.04, B(+124): -1.65, C(-180): -5.47= -8.16 units

    ATL vs SD, Game A(-131): -1.31, B(-114): -2.64, C(-122):-4.88= -8.83 units

    Total loss of 22.9 units with 45 gained = 22.1 units to the good

    I am definately OK with those results a month and a half in


    What system are you using to bet?  I had better numbers than you in each of the ATL games and lost 10.2 units.
     
    jenjay23
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 9:00 PM ET #332

     you are right, C bet should of been 6.03 units for C game to win 1.  I messed up and bet 4.88 to break even in series.......Geez did i do it wrong in other C bets as well?

    Maybe i can take that as a win of 1.15 that i didnt lose

    Thanks for clarifying my mistake

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     you are right, C bet should of been 6.03 units for C game to win 1.  I messed up and bet 4.88 to break even in series.......Geez did i do it wrong in other C bets as well?

    Maybe i can take that as a win of 1.15 that i didnt lose

    Thanks for clarifying my mistake

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 9:25 PM ET #333

    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    I would think a good rule of thumb would be to make sure a C bet loss or series loss would only be 20% of your bankroll. so assuming at -200 odds a series loss is a -24 units - you should have a bankroll of 120 units

    Correct me if I'm wrong, but wouldn't that be 26 units?

    Assuming $100 unit size...

    A - $200 to win $100. Loss $200, bet to win $300 on B game

    B - $600 to win $300. Loss $600, $800 total, bet to win $900 C game

    C - $1800 to win $900. Loss $1800, $2600 total (26 units).

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    I would think a good rule of thumb would be to make sure a C bet loss or series loss would only be 20% of your bankroll. so assuming at -200 odds a series loss is a -24 units - you should have a bankroll of 120 units

    Correct me if I'm wrong, but wouldn't that be 26 units?

    Assuming $100 unit size...

    A - $200 to win $100. Loss $200, bet to win $300 on B game

    B - $600 to win $300. Loss $600, $800 total, bet to win $900 C game

    C - $1800 to win $900. Loss $1800, $2600 total (26 units).

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 9:53 PM ET #334

    Yup you're right Dan - screwed up the math but you get the point. Your bankroll needs to support several series losses - just in case
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    Yup you're right Dan - screwed up the math but you get the point. Your bankroll needs to support several series losses - just in case
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 10:10 PM ET #335

    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Yup you're right Dan - screwed up the math but you get the point. Your bankroll needs to support several series losses - just in case

    Couldn't agree more.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Yup you're right Dan - screwed up the math but you get the point. Your bankroll needs to support several series losses - just in case

    Couldn't agree more.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2013 - 10:49 PM ET #336

    No games will qualify for Thursday.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    No games will qualify for Thursday.
     
    Jattdoit
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2013 - 12:24 AM ET #337

    Hats off to Dan for taking time to continue a thread which was abandoned by its creator. System has never had three losses, that being said , are we missing something? maybe there is a filter or rule we overlooked?  Just thinking out loud...


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    Hats off to Dan for taking time to continue a thread which was abandoned by its creator. System has never had three losses, that being said , are we missing something? maybe there is a filter or rule we overlooked?  Just thinking out loud...


     
    bruin95
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2013 - 2:19 AM ET #338

    Quote Originally Posted by Jattdoit:

    Hats off to Dan for taking time to continue a thread which was abandoned by its creator. System has never had three losses, that being said , are we missing something? maybe there is a filter or rule we overlooked?  Just thinking out loud...


     

    The system had more than three losses last season. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jattdoit:

    Hats off to Dan for taking time to continue a thread which was abandoned by its creator. System has never had three losses, that being said , are we missing something? maybe there is a filter or rule we overlooked?  Just thinking out loud...


     

    The system had more than three losses last season. 

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2013 - 2:35 AM ET #339

    Quote Originally Posted by bruin95:

     

    The system had more than three losses last season. 

    I think there were only 2 losses last year - Series that started May 28 with Mil and Dodgers and series that started Aug 6 with Cincy and Mil.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by bruin95:

     

    The system had more than three losses last season. 

    I think there were only 2 losses last year - Series that started May 28 with Mil and Dodgers and series that started Aug 6 with Cincy and Mil.

     
    bruin95
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2013 - 8:35 PM ET #340

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    I think there were only 2 losses last year - Series that started May 28 with Mil and Dodgers and series that started Aug 6 with Cincy and Mil.


    I believe there were two losses in May alone.  Cin also had a home loss against the Cubs, I believe.  That one was a high juice killer.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    I think there were only 2 losses last year - Series that started May 28 with Mil and Dodgers and series that started Aug 6 with Cincy and Mil.


    I believe there were two losses in May alone.  Cin also had a home loss against the Cubs, I believe.  That one was a high juice killer.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2013 - 11:02 PM ET #341

    Quote Originally Posted by bruin95:


    I believe there were two losses in May alone.  Cin also had a home loss against the Cubs, I believe.  That one was a high juice killer.

    I went back and looked at the 2012 thread and the Mets lost a series that started in late April. I didn't have that on my spreadsheet from last year since I started it on May 3. May has been the traditional start of the system so I didn't pick up or count the Mets loss on my records.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by bruin95:


    I believe there were two losses in May alone.  Cin also had a home loss against the Cubs, I believe.  That one was a high juice killer.

    I went back and looked at the 2012 thread and the Mets lost a series that started in late April. I didn't have that on my spreadsheet from last year since I started it on May 3. May has been the traditional start of the system so I didn't pick up or count the Mets loss on my records.

     
    superocean2013
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2013 - 11:08 PM ET #342

    Oak Stl and Pitts look like plays tomorrow from my calculations. Think I'm gonna stick with Oak at home and stl on the road versus Mia. Keep it to a two game chase need to build the bank back. Good luck everyone.
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    Oak Stl and Pitts look like plays tomorrow from my calculations. Think I'm gonna stick with Oak at home and stl on the road versus Mia. Keep it to a two game chase need to build the bank back. Good luck everyone.
     
    bruin95
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 1:24 AM ET #343

    Got to hope STL wins that A game.  Lots of juice in that series.
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    Got to hope STL wins that A game.  Lots of juice in that series.
     
    scotty84
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 4:36 AM ET #344

    yanks qualify too
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    yanks qualify too
     
    Jattdoit
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 11:29 AM ET #345

    Home series
    Oak .45
    Pitt .42

    Road series
    STL .119
    NYY .55

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    Home series
    Oak .45
    Pitt .42

    Road series
    STL .119
    NYY .55

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 1:10 PM ET #346

    Friday 6/14 plays:

    All A games

    Pitt

    STL

    NYY

    Oak

    Let's get 4 Wins with no C games!

    Record: 45-3

    A: 34-14

    B: 8-6

    C: 3-3

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Friday 6/14 plays:

    All A games

    Pitt

    STL

    NYY

    Oak

    Let's get 4 Wins with no C games!

    Record: 45-3

    A: 34-14

    B: 8-6

    C: 3-3

     
    jenjay23
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 1:15 PM ET #347

    Pitt is also in a revenge series scenario as they were swept by LAD at start of the season in LA..........might try to sneak out 2 units in this series chase
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    Pitt is also in a revenge series scenario as they were swept by LAD at start of the season in LA..........might try to sneak out 2 units in this series chase
     
    bruin95
    bruin95
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    Posts: 378
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2013 - 5:44 PM ET #348

    Why do I get the feeling that the NYY series is going to be Bos at Tex all over again? 
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    Why do I get the feeling that the NYY series is going to be Bos at Tex all over again? 
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 15, 2013 - 1:18 AM ET #349

    Friday 6/14 results

    All A games

    Pitt WIN

    STL Loss

    NYY Loss

    Oak Loss

     

    Record: 46-3

    A: 35-17

    B: 8-6

    C: 3-3

    Saturday:

    STL, NYY, Oak all on B games

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Friday 6/14 results

    All A games

    Pitt WIN

    STL Loss

    NYY Loss

    Oak Loss

     

    Record: 46-3

    A: 35-17

    B: 8-6

    C: 3-3

    Saturday:

    STL, NYY, Oak all on B games

     
     
    shavewithmace
    shavewithmace
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    Joined: Jun, 2013
    Posts: 4
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2013 - 12:18 PM ET #350

    I'm confused... Can you explain how your record is 46-3 if you had 3 losses last night?  Did you only take the Pittsburgh game?
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    I'm confused... Can you explain how your record is 46-3 if you had 3 losses last night?  Did you only take the Pittsburgh game?
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