Its a long season easy guys
Official (?) RPI 2013 system
Its a long season easy guys
Its a long season easy guys
Starting since the begining of May, this is how I have the systems production: 45 wins of 1 unit: +45
Losses: Bos vs Tex, Game A(+119): -0.84, B(+158): -1.17, C(-130): -3.9= -5.91 units
NYY vs NYM, Game A(-104): -1.04, B(+124): -1.65, C(-180): -5.47= -8.16 units
ATL vs SD, Game A(-131): -1.31, B(-114): -2.64, C(-122):-4.88= -8.83 units
Total loss of 22.9 units with 45 gained = 22.1 units to the good
I am definately OK with those results a month and a half in ![]()
Starting since the begining of May, this is how I have the systems production: 45 wins of 1 unit: +45
Losses: Bos vs Tex, Game A(+119): -0.84, B(+158): -1.17, C(-130): -3.9= -5.91 units
NYY vs NYM, Game A(-104): -1.04, B(+124): -1.65, C(-180): -5.47= -8.16 units
ATL vs SD, Game A(-131): -1.31, B(-114): -2.64, C(-122):-4.88= -8.83 units
Total loss of 22.9 units with 45 gained = 22.1 units to the good
I am definately OK with those results a month and a half in ![]()
Starting since the begining of May, this is how I have the systems production: 45 wins of 1 unit: +45
Losses: Bos vs Tex, Game A(+119): -0.84, B(+158): -1.17, C(-130): -3.9= -5.91 units
NYY vs NYM, Game A(-104): -1.04, B(+124): -1.65, C(-180): -5.47= -8.16 units
ATL vs SD, Game A(-131): -1.31, B(-114): -2.64, C(-122):-4.88= -8.83 units
Total loss of 22.9 units with 45 gained = 22.1 units to the good
I am definately OK with those results a month and a half in ![]()
Starting since the begining of May, this is how I have the systems production: 45 wins of 1 unit: +45
Losses: Bos vs Tex, Game A(+119): -0.84, B(+158): -1.17, C(-130): -3.9= -5.91 units
NYY vs NYM, Game A(-104): -1.04, B(+124): -1.65, C(-180): -5.47= -8.16 units
ATL vs SD, Game A(-131): -1.31, B(-114): -2.64, C(-122):-4.88= -8.83 units
Total loss of 22.9 units with 45 gained = 22.1 units to the good
I am definately OK with those results a month and a half in ![]()
you are right, C bet should of been 6.03 units for C game to win 1. I messed up and bet 4.88 to break even in series.......Geez did i do it wrong in other C bets as well?
Maybe i can take that as a win of 1.15 that i didnt lose ![]()
Thanks for clarifying my mistake
you are right, C bet should of been 6.03 units for C game to win 1. I messed up and bet 4.88 to break even in series.......Geez did i do it wrong in other C bets as well?
Maybe i can take that as a win of 1.15 that i didnt lose ![]()
Thanks for clarifying my mistake
I would think a good rule of thumb would be to make sure a C bet loss or series loss would only be 20% of your bankroll. so assuming at -200 odds a series loss is a -24 units - you should have a bankroll of 120 units
Correct me if I'm wrong, but wouldn't that be 26 units?
Assuming $100 unit size...
A - $200 to win $100. Loss $200, bet to win $300 on B game
B - $600 to win $300. Loss $600, $800 total, bet to win $900 C game
C - $1800 to win $900. Loss $1800, $2600 total (26 units).
I would think a good rule of thumb would be to make sure a C bet loss or series loss would only be 20% of your bankroll. so assuming at -200 odds a series loss is a -24 units - you should have a bankroll of 120 units
Correct me if I'm wrong, but wouldn't that be 26 units?
Assuming $100 unit size...
A - $200 to win $100. Loss $200, bet to win $300 on B game
B - $600 to win $300. Loss $600, $800 total, bet to win $900 C game
C - $1800 to win $900. Loss $1800, $2600 total (26 units).
Yup you're right Dan - screwed up the math but you get the point. Your bankroll needs to support several series losses - just in case
Couldn't agree more. ![]()
Yup you're right Dan - screwed up the math but you get the point. Your bankroll needs to support several series losses - just in case
Couldn't agree more. ![]()
Hats off to Dan for taking time to continue a thread which was abandoned by its creator. System has never had three losses, that being said , are we missing something? maybe there is a filter or rule we overlooked? Just thinking out loud...
The system had more than three losses last season.
Hats off to Dan for taking time to continue a thread which was abandoned by its creator. System has never had three losses, that being said , are we missing something? maybe there is a filter or rule we overlooked? Just thinking out loud...
The system had more than three losses last season.
The system had more than three losses last season.
I think there were only 2 losses last year - Series that started May 28 with Mil and Dodgers and series that started Aug 6 with Cincy and Mil.
The system had more than three losses last season.
I think there were only 2 losses last year - Series that started May 28 with Mil and Dodgers and series that started Aug 6 with Cincy and Mil.
I think there were only 2 losses last year - Series that started May 28 with Mil and Dodgers and series that started Aug 6 with Cincy and Mil.
I think there were only 2 losses last year - Series that started May 28 with Mil and Dodgers and series that started Aug 6 with Cincy and Mil.
I went back and looked at the 2012 thread and the Mets lost a series that started in late April. I didn't have that on my spreadsheet from last year since I started it on May 3. May has been the traditional start of the system so I didn't pick up or count the Mets loss on my records.
I went back and looked at the 2012 thread and the Mets lost a series that started in late April. I didn't have that on my spreadsheet from last year since I started it on May 3. May has been the traditional start of the system so I didn't pick up or count the Mets loss on my records.
Friday 6/14 results
All A games
Pitt WIN
STL Loss
NYY Loss
Oak Loss
Record: 46-3
A: 35-17
B: 8-6
C: 3-3
Saturday:
STL, NYY, Oak all on B games
Friday 6/14 results
All A games
Pitt WIN
STL Loss
NYY Loss
Oak Loss
Record: 46-3
A: 35-17
B: 8-6
C: 3-3
Saturday:
STL, NYY, Oak all on B games
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