For Tuesday we have, AZ B game, STL and Atlanta start another chase. Personal choice if you want to chase STL and ATL again. I'm not liking game 1 against Harvey with the way Atl has been hitting. It will be low juice though.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Monday 6/17 results:
STL wins on the A game
ATL with 2 in the 9th win on the A game
AZ loses on A game - B game Tuesday
Record: 51-3
A: 37-18
B: 9-8
C: 5-3
For Tuesday we have, AZ B game, STL and Atlanta start another chase. Personal choice if you want to chase STL and ATL again. I'm not liking game 1 against Harvey with the way Atl has been hitting. It will be low juice though.
Man that Atlanta game saved us from some grief, all 3 games had juice of around -200 for me, Also I have a bad feeling with Arizona, coming into Monday they were 3-7 in their last 10, and Miami has been playing decent, they did take 2 of 3 from St. Louis, so I'd weary of Arizona but I'll continue to follow the system.
I started a little late so I missed the first loss from Boston, So I was running good and then the Yankees happened with that weird schedule with the 2 and 2 with the Mets, I foolishly chased it to a 4 games thinking that it could not be possible for the yanks to lose 4 in a row to the Mets... and we all know how that went down, so lost 25 units which was basically my profit at the time, I decided to cover my losses so I took the next 5 series and would try and go for 6 units on each of those series (get back 5 units plus 1 for the series win) I got the first 2 wins, but then 1 game went to a B game and another to a C game, I had a big amount of my BR on the line, but it came through, Atlanta got the win that time on the C game.
Then a few series later we had another loss which was by Atlanta, so it was a loss of about 10 units, so I figured okay this one should be easier to get back I'll just get it back with the next 2 series since 90% A and B games win. Well of course they both go to B games, and 1 B game loses, so on the C game I had nearly 25 units on the line again and thankfully Oakland won again.
It seems this year teams are producing an awful amount of C games, A and B wins are only at about 84%, I'm hoping the number evens out throughout the year. If Arizona loses the series I may just take the hit and live with it. Love the system but man it seems like an off year with 3 losses already but if you follow the system you should still be up its hard not to deviate from the system though at times lol!
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Man that Atlanta game saved us from some grief, all 3 games had juice of around -200 for me, Also I have a bad feeling with Arizona, coming into Monday they were 3-7 in their last 10, and Miami has been playing decent, they did take 2 of 3 from St. Louis, so I'd weary of Arizona but I'll continue to follow the system.
I started a little late so I missed the first loss from Boston, So I was running good and then the Yankees happened with that weird schedule with the 2 and 2 with the Mets, I foolishly chased it to a 4 games thinking that it could not be possible for the yanks to lose 4 in a row to the Mets... and we all know how that went down, so lost 25 units which was basically my profit at the time, I decided to cover my losses so I took the next 5 series and would try and go for 6 units on each of those series (get back 5 units plus 1 for the series win) I got the first 2 wins, but then 1 game went to a B game and another to a C game, I had a big amount of my BR on the line, but it came through, Atlanta got the win that time on the C game.
Then a few series later we had another loss which was by Atlanta, so it was a loss of about 10 units, so I figured okay this one should be easier to get back I'll just get it back with the next 2 series since 90% A and B games win. Well of course they both go to B games, and 1 B game loses, so on the C game I had nearly 25 units on the line again and thankfully Oakland won again.
It seems this year teams are producing an awful amount of C games, A and B wins are only at about 84%, I'm hoping the number evens out throughout the year. If Arizona loses the series I may just take the hit and live with it. Love the system but man it seems like an off year with 3 losses already but if you follow the system you should still be up its hard not to deviate from the system though at times lol!
I personally skipped gm 1 vs Harvey, but Atlanta is killing us lately.
You'll be skipping Wheeler's starts soon, too. The Mets don't have much, but they've got a nice 1-2 combo of young guns in Harvey and Wheeler. It's going to make betting against the Mets tough when they both have starts in a three game series.
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Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
I personally skipped gm 1 vs Harvey, but Atlanta is killing us lately.
You'll be skipping Wheeler's starts soon, too. The Mets don't have much, but they've got a nice 1-2 combo of young guns in Harvey and Wheeler. It's going to make betting against the Mets tough when they both have starts in a three game series.
You'll be skipping Wheeler's starts soon, too. The Mets don't have much, but they've got a nice 1-2 combo of young guns in Harvey and Wheeler. It's going to make betting against the Mets tough when they both have starts in a three game series.
Was thinking the same thing. There's always the Under.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by bruin95:
You'll be skipping Wheeler's starts soon, too. The Mets don't have much, but they've got a nice 1-2 combo of young guns in Harvey and Wheeler. It's going to make betting against the Mets tough when they both have starts in a three game series.
Was thinking the same thing. There's always the Under.
Our overall strike rate so far this year is 62%. Last year my records show a rate of just under 60%. Due to the higher rate of C game bets, I think the more profitable way to bet is using a labby or aggressive labby. The lines WILL clear, eventually. Over the last 2-3 weeks we're hitting under 50%. This trend is unlikely to continue.
I'm still up a few units. Stay positive. The lines WILL clear and we will be well in the black. Not even halfway through the year yet.
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If I may add a little insight...
Our overall strike rate so far this year is 62%. Last year my records show a rate of just under 60%. Due to the higher rate of C game bets, I think the more profitable way to bet is using a labby or aggressive labby. The lines WILL clear, eventually. Over the last 2-3 weeks we're hitting under 50%. This trend is unlikely to continue.
I'm still up a few units. Stay positive. The lines WILL clear and we will be well in the black. Not even halfway through the year yet.