Posted:
#51
Mia down
Col and Hou to go.....
I'll touch base with the units won and lossed on these series at the round up.
Hump day !!!!
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Not another MLB chase system but......
Posted:
#52
Ok.... good looking out there Col. Well... not a system play but how'd that work out in "seeing value" there with them winning at least one game in Sd - lol....
Let's go over the numbers......
This round
Mia
gm1 = -1.3 ... gm2 = +2.4u ... totaling +1.1u
Hou
gm1 = -1.3 ... gm2 = -1.4u ... gm3 = +3.7u ... totaling +1.u
Col
gm1 = -1.3 ... gm2 = -2.0u ... gm3 = -4.0u ... totaling - 7.3u
2-1 ... -5.2u
YTD
28-10 ... -4.2u
Good thing the season is winding down. I'll be checking out the next round like a slump buster at 2am when it's closing time at the bar. Be back later on
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Posted:
#54
This round so far I got 2 system plays (to watch if to track)
Stl
Nyy
Now.... these are 4 gm sets so..... I'm am hiding off (if I were to bet) on tonight regardless
Objective: to save on units risked/lost if swept
Meaning...... I will track these series starting tomorrow whether they win or lose tonight. Law of probability states that anything can happen (long story short)
I should have reminded myself to do this before adding this variance to 4 gm series to hedge on units risked
Stl is actually the higher rated RPI team but only by a few points literally and so being that they are on the road with a good record I believe they will come through at some point in top of getting some +money odds
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Posted:
#55
Stl ..... gm1 ... +104 ... risking 1.0u to win 1.0u
Nyy ... gm1 ... +146 ... risking 1.0u to win 1.4u
Chw ... gm1 ... -126 ... risking 1.2u to win 1.0u
Hou ... gm1 ... +117 ... risking 1.0u to win 1.1u
System plays here.
I liked some other match ups but not enough to count towards the record due to various parameters
I felt to break my own rule and go with Chw after being butt hurt with them losing me a lot before
Detroit was a system play too but at Clev who is really good at home? Hmm...... I'll pass on that
Phi was another possible but they are too close to the bottom for me
Anyways..... I'm saying the same thing here 6 different ways, point is - business is business, go with the strongest feels
On a side note, it would of been fun to throw some shekels on Mil and whoever the Dodgers played last night on ML parlay for lottery sake - stuff like that would make for a nice payout after seeing over 90% of the public of each heavy fav last night
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Posted:
#56
Good thing about tracking, never miss a play - lol....
So Hou and Chw handled their business
Just waiting on
Nyy ... gm2 ... +221 ... risking 2.0u to win 4.4u
And later tonight
Stl ... gm2 ... +122 ... risking 2.0u to win 2.4u
Effing Saturdays...... running around like a Kentucky fried idiot - if I still had skin in the game, I'd miss that Nyy play whether they win or lose, dam 1pm'ers..... lol
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Posted:
#57
And we go out with a wimper...... as usual with most mechanical systems thanks to the law of probability. After this weekend with (not your daddy's Yankees) can't even win 1 effing game against what's suppose to be a hated rival in Boston ... man..... I miss me a good olde rival
Let's the numbers
This round
3-1 ... -4.0 units (using the basic martingale approach)
Bringing us to the end of this successful experiment with a a posted record of
YTD
31-11 ... -8.2 units
Why successful if you ask?
Because ... +150 units was still won in 6 weeks worth of wagering before I started posting here
All can be backed up by bet tickets from 2 offshore accounts to which also I posted wins and losses with unit amounts earlier in the thread.
The lousy poor record here is shown by further experimenting and the law of probability bringing things back down to earth once again confirming how systems falter at the end. I stated where and why I suffered losses. The total units lost posted here could have been worse if not for conservative MM techniques.
With what has been learned here, will be applied and refined looking forward to next season where I will track things for the first several weeks looking to start wagering around the first week of May or so (usually when most systems have enough legitimate info to start wagering on)
Thank you for those checking in and see ya back soon
BOL to all out there on the grind
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Posted:
#58
And I'm back...... effing late of course
Really??? Wtf..... who the "explicit deleted" decides to put playoff games at 1pm and 4pm when people work and younger fans are school
No problem...... that's why we got an effing 9pm game which probably won't get done till 12-1am - greeeeaaaat.......
Picking back up on things tomorrow
I should have paid more attention to the schedule but oh well, there are still units out there to get like Forrest Gump looking for Bubba in Vietnam
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Posted:
#59
I decided not to do anything yesterday.
Rain postponement and also waiting for the right opportunity (don't bet to bet, but bet to win), tactics from the technical analysis angle of investing, wait for your trade meaning.......
Being that I missed the first few games, I'm waiting till game 3 of each series and skipping on Tor due to the juice on the ML so I'm gonna wait for them to win the 3rd game of the series and chase then the elimination game.
I look to the best value as per the lines and will be chasing unders on the right series
The main objective will be to win at least one game and pending on variables, I may chase to win a 2nd game in said series. In general I may be all over the place during the playoffs so if whoever cares, bare with me for.......
When one is out at sea, he cannot control the winds but only the sails in his boat
Starting fresh here with 100 units
So far I'm going with:
Was ... gm1 ... +100 ... risking 1.0u to win 1.0u
Was/Lad ... gm1 ... un7.5/-125 ... risking 1.3u to win 1.0u
Cle ..... gm1 ... +1.5/-160 ... risking 1.6u to win 1u
Let's rock
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