All Forums | Systems & Strategies

Not another MLB chase system but......

Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 4009
Posts: 59
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #26
Corrections:

That Kc payoff was actually +1.7u 

Also I forgot to say about those  heaviest +1.5/dogs..... late in the year they start barking. Mid-August and on till maybe the last 2nd to last week or so, maybe the week too, I forget, it's been a while

Simple chase, fade the largest fav of the day on the +1.5
A quality MM style that worked well in the past with this I found to be was the Labouchere betting system. I personally rate the line as per where Vegas opens up with it. Not where it goes due to the money laid on it. If a draw.... then in either wait and see on the numbers and what my gut tells me or I will just lay off totally and wait for the next day
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #27
2 series down - 5 to go
This is how things shape up and what I'm doing 



Mia ... gm2 ... +117 ... risking 2.5u to win 2.9u ... (-1.0u gm1)
Bal .... gm2 ... +130 ... risking 3.0u to win 3.9u ... (-1.5u gm1)
Chw .. gm2 ... +156 ... risking 3.0u to win 4.6u ... (-1.5u gm1)
Sea ... gm2 ... +145 ... risking 2.0u to win 2.9u ... (-1.0u gm1)
Cle .... gm2 ... -1.5/-110 risking 2.2u to win 2.0u ... (-1.0u gm1)




Tracking that +1.5/dog
From my research I have Was -260 at the open was the largest fav so to me the play is

Phi ... +1.5/+110 ... gm1



 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #28
Sheesh..... well all's good big picture wise
You guys and myself too have seen plenty of hucksters come by here and other place flashing some hot new betting system then once it crashes, they fall back never to be heard from again. 
But not me - though working 2 jobs and setting up a business doesn't help and that is why mainly I can't be on point as much as I would like to............ but no excuses

So.... moving forward...... I'm doing this
Washing my hands and lost units on this round again seeing where I went wrong betting on 

Sea
Chw 
Cleveland

Mia is one of those cases I could of went either way. If I chose Nym, that series is closed out for another win as I chose in other cases

I was gonna update around 6am this morning but a family emergency came up and so life beckens...... a lot is going on which is why I'm gonna chalk up more losses from this round and look forward to tomorrow and Fri for the next round

Added adjustments that will be made thanks to this round

Stay away from betting on or against ... Det and Chw both (to inconsistent to use with this system. My prior bets, I barely touched them due to not passing certain filters but here back to back I get humbled)
That's the law of probability for ya.......

Stay away and don't try to be a hero betting against teams with top 3 or so home or road records 

Chalk up that -1.5/fav system and stick to the flipside I'm tracking. Being that this play was not part ofnthe dog system account for those lost 3 units on the side as for they really count in my sportsbook 
If anyone objects or so, feel free to speak up on that. I hate those guys too that fudge numbers when they lose making themselves look better then who they are

I will be back later tonight to tally things up and still try to get those numbers dating back to July 1st when I started betting. Worst case scenario, I may end up copy and pasting those tickets for it will save me time as the important thing is to keep it real and provide those records

Money I can lose...... (suckling it up channeling my inner Vince Lombardi)
But time is more important and can't be gotten back if lost
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #29
Back for a bit but will touch base later - been a long few days. Gotta go for now.
Good thing for most if not all of the rest of those series got I would have lost much more on if I didn't bail when I did. 

For this weekend I got 

Nym ... gm1 ... -159 ... risking 1.5u to win .93u
Stl ...... gm1 ... -127 .... risking 1.5u to win 1.18u
Nyy .... gm1 ... +128 ... risking 1.5u to win 1.92u

That's more like -  smelling a stronger card here
Again, be back later on why I chose plays and for how much, plus......
Totals from the last round and YTD so far
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #30
Im too busy with life and all to set time aside and go over the record with this system before I started posting here. So I will just have to copy and paste the bet tickets. Whoever is interested beside Booey...... feel free to scroll through the info
Care in reading the plays - the dates go from down to up
I have to post individually because of the limiting of characters per post

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #31


$731.11$845.15
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #32
This too is too much work in cutting and copying and posting once per minute allowed so either those will just have to wait or PM me and I will try another way to show the records in another format like email or so or I will see if I can pay a friend to do this work for me on that past record and what team won each game in each round showing how deep those series went and the total units won/lost overal



Moving on......

TYD before last round
11-2 ...-2u

Last round
2-4 ... -9.6u
would have lost more if continued - lesson learned here..... bad picks to begin with as its all explained - good thing MM control helped stem the losses
(not including that Cle series due to it was another system I was playing with - though I did lose money on that, I will touch base with that on those +1.5/plays I will follow up on tracking wise and count it in with that)

YTD
13-6 ... -11.6u

Last night, all 3 plays lost so here's what Im doing with them today
Nym ... gm2 ... +123 risking 3u to win 3.7u ... (-1.5 gm1)
Stl ...... gm2 ... -134  risking 3u to win 2.2u ... (-1.5 gm1)
Nyy .... gm2 ... +131 risking 3u to win 3.9u  .. (-1.5 gm1)


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #33
+1.5/plays being tracked
Already -3u from Cle doing the -1.5/play
Objective: look for consistency and then attack


Opening lines obtained from sportsbookspy at pregame.com

8-30 ... gm1 ... Phi ... +1.5/+110 ... W ... +1.1u
8-31 ... gm1 ... Min ... +1.5/ n/a ....  L ...  -1.0u
9-1 ..... gm2 ... Mia ... +1.5/ n/a .... W ... +2.0u
9-2 ..... gm1 ... Sf ..... +1.5/ n/a .... W ... +1.0u

(days with n/a I cannot find those lines so I just stick with 1u to keep it simple)

Today
9-3 ..... gm1 ... Sd .... +1.5/+116 ... risking 1u to win 1.6u
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #34
*correction
 risking 1u to win 1.1u
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #35
This round we only got

Col
Nyy

No breaking rules here and trying to be a funny guy, just sticking to the basics after losing a good bit and going good deeper than normal the past week than most rounds.

I got a friend working on those prior records before posting and so should be with in a day or two 

Wheww..... squeezed out those two last series on that prior round yesterday  (though i forgot to post, i got the bet ticket showing what I did - busy Sunday with church and work and all). Not being pleased of late with things, I parlayed them hedging my risk and so good thing they came out on top - we continue on...... next post will have the immediate numbers, gotta put these plays in real quick
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #36
Last round

Nym ... gm1 (-1.5u) ... gm2 (+3.7u) = ... +2.5u
Stl ...... gm1 (-1.5u) ... gm2 (-3.0u) ... gm3 (+8.1u) ... = +3.6u
Nyy ..... gm1 (-1.5u) ... gm2 (-3.0u) ... gm3 (+8.1u) ... = +3.6u
Nyy (+107) & Stl (-193) were parlayed together out of frustration 

3-0 ... +9.7u

YTD
16-6 ... -1.9u



This round
Col .... gm1 ... +114 ... risking 1u to win 1.1u
Nyy ... gm1 ... -148 .... risking 1.2u to win .84u

As I said in the beginning..... sticking to all the rules will limit the number plays a sin the case of this round here. These plays tend to be the most solid. It's where I was dancing on the minefield is where I got burnt losing hard earned units as we can see in the posts where I went wrong. The record and my BR would of been better but it's all good. This is more of an experimental run trying things out for next year ready to roll I assume around May 1st-ish is when most systems have enough info to start running. I will keep a better eye on my units for now on being that it's September and teams play differently at the month of the month in all of sports so that's when it's best to scale down or to totally fall back from mechanical betting
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #37
Ok..... back after a few days of a layoff
Nice feeling to at least so far getting things back in track

Last round
2-0 ... +1.9u

YTD
18-6 ... 0.0u

My friend is almost done with those records from 7/1-8/18 before I started posting here. It's gonna be between 2 sportsbooks and so I'll explain the unit structures I used accordingly through them. Again, any of those plays can be verified via bet tickets. I hope to have this stuff up later tonight or early tomorrow after all said and done

Moving on.......
With today I'm starting one series 
Thanks to new rules implemented...... I will not be betting on Tb at Nyy which should be a system play because of Tb's road record against Nyy's home record - sheesh.....
I ain't playing with those piranhas no more

The one match up I do love so far is actually a flip 
In honor of our famous sec. of state John Carry (who by the way served in Vietnam as he likes to remind us all) of his flip flopping ways (as most politicians do) while ordering a Philly cheesesteak with swiss cheese *facepalm*...... wtf.....

The play is in Colorado
Sd should be the system play but again...... thanks to new rules
I don't bet on teams in or near the basement - my record here is an example of what happens when one takes that risk
So..... I see here some great value as College being the higher rated RPI team and vaguely looking at the numbers, I don't know why they are a nice dog but I'll take that all day long (baring any surprises ending up with egg on my face)

So to conclude for now......
Collins ... gm1 ... +123 risking 1.5u to win to win 1.8u

We'll see after tonight what we got shaking for tomorrow for more plays on this round

GL to all......

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #38

Date-Result-Team(Line)[Differential]

7/1_W_SDP(+123)[+4.4u]

7/1_L_OAK(-144)[-2.8u]

7/1_W_HOU(-165)[+5.3u]   ... +6.9u


7/2_L_OAK(-148)[-4.1u]       ... -7.0u

7/2_L_OAK(-148)[-2.9u]


7/3_L_OAK(-148)[-17.6u]    ... -17.6u ... wk1 ... -17.7u


7/4_L_DET(+161)[-2.0u]

7/4_L_KCR(+171)[-2.0u]

7/4_L_NYY(-118)[-2.3u]

7/4_W_SDP(+134)[+4.68u]   ... -1.7u


7/5_W_NYY(-115)[+9.4u]

7/5_L_DET(+178)[-4.0u]

7/5_L_KCR(+144)[-4.0u]      ... +1.4u


7/6_W_DET(+116)[+17.2u]   

7/6_L_KCR(+158)[-8.0u]      ... +9.2u


7/7_W_LAA(-102)[+4.0]

7/7_L_PIT(+129)[-2.0u]

7/7_L_PHI(+161)[-2.0u]     ... 0.0u


7/8_W_PHI(+142)[+9.6u]

7/8_W_PIT(+157)[+5.1u]     ... +14.7u ... wk2 ... +23.6u 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #39

7/18_L_SDP(+175)[-2.0u]

7/18_L_NYM(+135)[-2.0u]

7/18_L_ATL(+121)[-2.0u]     ... -6.0u


7/19_C_SDP(+180)[0.0u]*

7/19_W_NYM(+151)[+10.0u]

7/19_W_ATL(+175)[+11.0u]

7/19_W_LAD(-117)[+4.34u]     ... +25.3u


7/22_L_MIA(-135)[-2.7u]

7/22_W_CIN(-119)[+4.3u]

7/22_W_PHI(+220)[+6.4u]

7/22_L_ATL(+170)[-2.0u]

7/22_W_STL(+125)[+4.5u]

7/22_W_NYY(+100)[+4.0u]

7/22_W_KCR(+108)[+4.1u]     ... +18.6u


7/23_L_ATL(+180)[-4.0u]

7/23_W_MIA(-150)[+12.0u]   ... +8.0u


7/25_C_STL(+154)[0.0u]*   ... 0.0u     ... wk3 ... +45.9u

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #40

7/26_W_STL(+152)[+5.0u]

7/26_L_WAS(+140)[-2.0U]

7/26_L_PIT(-124)[-2.4u]          ... +.6u


7/27_W_PIT(-145)[+11.2u]    ... +11.2u


7/29_W_DET(+135)[+2.3u]

7/29_W_TOR(-138)[+2.3u]   ... +4.6u ... wk4 ... +16.4u


8/1_L_NYM(-103)[-1.0u]

8/1_L_SEA(-115)[-1.1u]

8/1_L_TBR(-125)[-1.2u]      ... -3.3u


8/2_W_NYM(-115)[+4.3u]

8/2_W_SEA(+160)[+6.2u]

8/2_L_TBR(-123)[-2.9u]

8/2_W_COL(+130)[+2.3u]    ... +9.9u ... wk4 ... +6.6u


8/16_W_STL(+158)[+2.5u]

8/16_L_CWS(+172)[-1.0u]

8/16_W_BOS(-120)[+2.2u]

8/16_L_PHI(+154)[-1.0u]     ... +2.7u


8/17_W_CWS(+220)[+2.0u]

8/17_L_PHI(+159)[-2.0u]

8/18_W_PHI(+142)[+2.0u]   ... +2.0u ... wk5 ...+4.7u

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #41
I had to post like that avoiding the 7800 character limit

In total I attained ... +104.8 units ... in 5 weeks time with my 5Dimes account here

Towards the end I pulled back on the units because I cashed out most of my BR with the goal of depositing that into my Bookmaker account but life got in the way yet again showcasing the missing dates I didn't bet on games
I did this originally because 5Dimes one can bet on NHL overtime's in the playoffs which "like money in the bank" if utilized correctly with proportional MM 
Bookmaker is my main offshore when not using a local but they I guess stopped offering NHL overtime bets

The other plays are coming right up
That will only be 3 weeks worth of picks with in the same timeline
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #42

8/1_L_TBR(-124)[-2.4u]

8/1_L_NYM(+100)[-2.0u]

8/1_L_SEA(-118)[-2.3u]     ... -6.7u


8/2_W_NYM(-113)[+4.0u]

8/2_L_TBR(-124)[-5.4u]

8/2_W_COL(+125)[+2.5u]

8/2_W_SEA(+151)[+6.6u]   ... +7.7u


8/3_W_TBR(-144)[+10.0u]   ... +10.0u


8/5_L_SFG(+145)[-3.0u]

8/5_W_NYY(-114)[+3.0u]

8/5_W_MIN(+124)[+3.7u]

8/5_L_TEX(+158)[-3.0u]

8/5_L_CHW(+108)[-3.0u]

8/5_L_COL(+107)[-3.0u]

8/5_L_LAD(-140)[-3.0u]

8/5_L_LAA(+175)[-3.0u]

8/5_W_PHI(-107)[+3.0u]   ... -8.3u


8/6_W_LAD(-117)[+6.0u]

8/6_W_SFG(+205)[+12.3u]

8/6_W_CHW(+121)[7.2u]

8/6_W_TXR(+128)[+7.68u]

8/6_W_COL(-112)[+6.0u]

8/6_L_LAA(-116)[-6.9u]     ... +32.2u


8/16_W_BOS(-119)[+3.0u]

8/16_L_PHI(+150)[-3.0u]

8/16_L_CHW(+165)[-3.0u]

8/16_W_STL(+153)[+4.5u]   ... +1.5u


8/17_L_PHI(149)[-6.0u]

8/17_W_CHW(+215)[+12.9u]   ... +6.9u


8/18_W_PHI(+144)[+8.64u]   ... +8.6u

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #43
Above there are the results from the Bookmaker account

Totaling another ... +51.9 units ... with in those 3 weeks

All wagers can be confirmed via bet tickets

"Not bad, ehh...." in my Canadian hockey voice
All thanks goes to the soldiers before us who layed the groundwork for me setting up the foundation of this system. 

Think we could be onto something here minus my losing streak last week because of obvious gambling behavior - lesson learned.....




Ps....
"Yeah uhmm....." - in my Bill Lumberg voice
Im done with that +1.5/dog system there
Too many games with the same bad teams so all in all Im moving on - maybe there's something there in the long run but oh well.....
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #44
Short on time - back later to convey why what who where, etc......

Tonight 
Col ...... gm2 ... -109 ... risking 3.0u to win 3.0u (-1.5u gm1)
Nym ... gm1 ... +123 ... risking 1.5u to win 1.8u
Bos ..... gm1 ... -109 ... risking 1.5u to win 1.5u
Det ..... gm1 ... -105 ... risking .75u to win .75u
Chw ... gm1 ... -121 ... risking .90u to win .75u
Oak .... gm1 ... +127 ... risking .75u to win .90u
Hou .... gm1 ... +125 ... risking .75u to win .90u
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #45
Cool - progress but not out of the woods yet, keeping it humble 

Col ...... gm2 ... -109 ... risking 3.0u to win 3.0u (-1.5u gm1)
Gm2 = W ... +3.0u ... (series ... +1.5u)

Nym ... gm1 ... +123 ... risking 1.5u to win 1.8u ... W
Bos ..... gm1 ... -109 ... risking 1.5u to win 1.5u ... W
Det ..... gm1 ... -105 ... risking .75u to win .75u .... W
Chw ... gm1 .... -121 ... risking .90u to win .75u .... W
Oak .... gm1 ... +127 ... risking .75u to win .90u ... L
Hou .... gm1 ... +125 ... risking .75u to win .90u ... L

Onto gm2 with Oak
Thinking about bailing on Hou and calling that a small loss, will confirm later on

Nym
I chose this match up seeing great value on them as dogs in Atl for gm1, otherwise not really a system play RPI wise but it hit for Nym on other filters. I felt there was a good chance of winning at least 1 game this series without risking too much so I went with risking the 1.5 units there

Bos
System play I liked going in result risking the 1.5 units there

Det
Old system play breaking new rule of not betting on Det because they are too inconsistent. This is why I chose to wager less on them holding my nose just in case but thankful they cleared that out in 1 game. I was tempted by their match up

Chw
Old system play - same as the rest above regarding Det

Oak
System play though they are close to the bottom 3rd of teams which leaves me weary resulting in wagering less to hedge my risk. Otherwise it should be an even match up with them at home to Sea incorporating their numbers into the evaluation and all

Hou
Mainly a system play except for breaking the rule Chi being the best team, having a good road record and most importantly as per the system, being 7-3 in their 10 gm's before last night even though they lost 2 in a row. Teams like this in any sport don't lose 3 gm's in a row much (how'd that work out for the Gs Warriors - lmao.....)
So.... moving on...... I may cut my losses and run on this series not fully trusting that Chi could sweep going away, you never know and that why we are here
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #46
Of course.....
I go to follow up on things and here Hou is up 2-1 in the 7th 
Didn't pay enough attention if it was an nooner - book ain't done being written yet though 

Moving on.....
At least I caught Oak playing at 4pm
I got 1.5 shekels on 'em at +112
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #47
Oak ... gm3 ... +149 ... risking 2.2. to win 2.9u
Already down .75u and 1.5u

Lost in Hou
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #48
Yeaaupppp......
Tread close to the basement, that's what happens 
Thank you for participating Oak ... -4.5 units on the series
And missing the bus on Hou playing at 1pm yest, I lose another .7 units there so that's a total of 5.2 units losses in these two series and throw in the +6.3 units won from the other series leaves with 

This round
5-2 ... +1.1u

YTD
23-8 ... +1.1U

Could of been better if not chosen Oak at all and paid more attention to when Hou played on Sat but could always be worse

Keeping it moving......
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #49
TRACKING NOW - NO MORE WAGERING



For now I'm starting with today

Mia ... gm1 ... +109 ... risking 1.0u to win 1.0u
Col .... gm1 .... -129 ... risking 1.3u to win 1.0u
Hou ... gm1 .... -131 ... risking 1.3u to win 1.0u

Next post will explain why.......
I chose these 
Why I'm now tracking and done betting
I didn't choose other close plays

More plays surely to come tomorrow as well what's on the plate already 

Focusing now on NFL, MLB chasing strategies for the playoffs and my favorite...... hockey
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2016
Posts: 57
Posted: #50
Ok, well note series to tangle with on this round. Just the 3 series going on now (all on gm2 tonight)

I chose Mia seeing value there in Atl for several reasons. Not a system play 
Same goes for Col at Sd. Not a system play but a match up I like for them to win at least game in
Hou is a system play but they are against Rex though at home but still I think something is there

There were a few other series I was looking at but couldn't pull the trigger on for they could go either way and so I didn't want to eat where I poop and poop where I eat on those there so best to lay off
Lad @ Nyy
Bal  @ Bos
Nym @ Was

I chose to fall back and only track now due to the results of last round and how late it is in the season. As said before, teams play differently now this close to the end of the season, in all sports that is. 
In this thread, I know where I went wrong and it's cool for this was all experimental. I still made some +150 units (documented) over the span of 6 weeks consistently so that provides confidence that we got something here to be ready for next year

The keys to being successful are in my first few posts on this thread. 

I will continue on with tracking here to finish things out keeping it real and will be back walking the plank MLB wise for the playoffs 
All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.