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NHL Spoiler Part 2

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

December 16 still at 28-1

Play these games Under

Carolina
Montreal U 5.5            



Wow, holy shit! Can you believe this under actually hit ! Amazing .
 
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Posted: #27
The Carolina-Montreal under did not look good early, but you pulled it off. Good job guys!!!
 
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Posted: #28
interesting finding for tomorrow...we have a GAME 3 chase for Columbus over - and they happen to be playing San Jose who would be in their 1st game of their own over chase...how do we handle this...i might do what i did for the fla/edm play when they were both on their first game chase last week and combine units
 
this would mean a $250 play! now if columbus doesn't hit tomorrow do we end out chase with them since its the 3rd game since ot?
 
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Posted: #29
another interesting finding...how should we treat NYR/Kings game tomorrow?
 
NYR should be on game 1 of an under chase tonight in Ana but we took over bc total was set at 5. They play Kings tomorrow who are in game 1 of a chase...normally both of these teams would play under..do we play over simply because we played over in NYR tonight? (all this assuming we don't hit/push our NYR bet, which looks like we won't hit it)
 
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Posted: #30
I would only play it as a 3rd chase

Carolina
Montreal U 5.5  

Play these games to go over

Calgary
St. Louis   O  5.5

Phoenix
Dallas       O 5.5 

NY Rangers 
Anaheim      does not look good    but it is not in our system NHL spoiler

Giving us a record of 30-1

December 17

NJ
Buffalo     U 5.5

NY Rangers
LA             U 5.5

S Jose
Columbus    O 5.5
 
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Posted: #31
IMHO I don't see why we should change the filters based on the total of a previous game. I say stick with the under for a NYR/LAK matchup. As for your other question, I think I would agree with your strategy of doubling the play since both teams are participating in their own chase. It could end up being a great decision or a sucker bet.

Not too bad tonight with a split but like I pointed out, things might start to even out slowly so proceed with extreme precaution. BOL fellas .
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by elithepunk:

IMHO I don't see why we should change the filters based on the total of a previous game. I say stick with the under for a NYR/LAK matchup. As for your other question, I think I would agree with your strategy of doubling the play since both teams are participating in their own chase. It could end up being a great decision or a sucker bet.

Not too bad tonight with a split but like I pointed out, things might start to even out slowly so proceed with extreme precaution. BOL fellas .

Agreed -

I am going to play 2 units on NYR/LA under tomorrow and consider it 1 unit on each team for the first game of their respective chase. We would have played NYR game 1 chase tonight but the over 5 took precedence and put spoiler on hold - thanks for clarifying Expert!

GL tomorrow everyone!

 
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Posted: #33
Won't tonight be the third game of the Columbus chase
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by NCTTC:

Won't tonight be the third game of the Columbus chase

yes indeed

 
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Posted: #35
...so what are the correct plays and the bet amounts please...
 
 
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Posted: #36
...????
 
NJ/Buff under 5.5 1 unit
NYR/LA under 5.5 2units
SJ/Col over 5.5 4units.........right???
 
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:

...????
 
NJ/Buff under 5.5 1 unit
NYR/LA under 5.5 2units
SJ/Col over 5.5 4units.........right???
 

Correct...except i played 3 units on the NYR/LA under 5.5 since i considered last night game 1 of the NYR chase..so tonights game would be game 2 (2 units) plus 1 unit on LA first game chase

btw...is san jose/columbus serious?? they're f'ing killing us

 
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Posted: #38
Got clobbered for 1 unit with the NJD/BUF, and 5 units on SJ/CLB, but at least won 3 units on NYR/LA...looks like 3 ot games tonight so we start a new chase on CLB, NYR, LA, CAL, MIN; and we continue to game 2 of SJ chase...SJ games have been going under lately...and thoughts on revisiting this list to make sure that the goal differentials and ov/un records are up to date and the teams in the list are in fact correct? Your thoughts Expert?
 
Bunch of plays tomorrow but I'm curious to hear from Expert as to whether or not the list needs to be updated.
 
Here are the games in play (some heavy ones...buckle up!!)
 
TOR/BOS Over (1 unit, game 1 TOR)
 
STL/WAS Over (1 unit, game 1 WAS)
 
FLA/CAR Under (4 units, game 2 for both FLA & CAR)
 
SAN/DET Over(4 units, game 2 for both SAN & DET)
 
CLB/DAL Over (1 unit, game 1 for CLB - unless prefer to chase CLB for 5 units and continue chase)
 
NAS/PHO Over (4 units, game 2 for both NAS & PHO)
 
Good luck and someone please correct me if I am wrong above
 
 
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Posted: #39
Thanks for the info MG.
 
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Posted: #40
MG, won't this be game 1 for Carolina? They won on the 16th. And also, are we not chasing Dallas?
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by NCTTC:

MG, won't this be game 1 for Carolina? They won on the 16th. And also, are we not chasing Dallas?

You are completely correct NCTTC...my apologies (I must have subconsciously thought we lost that CAR under because it was a miracle we hit it )

Here are the games in play (some heavy ones...buckle up!!)
 
TOR/BOS Over (1 unit, game 1 TOR)
 
STL/WAS Over (1 unit, game 1 WAS)
 
FLA/CAR Under (2 units, game 2 for FLA)
 
SAN/DET Over(4 units, game 2 for both SAN & DET)
 
CLB/DAL Over (2 unit, game 1 for both CLB & DAL - unless prefer to chase CLB for 5 units to continue prior chase and add a unit on to DAL to make it 6 total)
 
NAS/PHO Over (4 units, game 2 for both NAS & PHO)
 
Good luck
 
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Posted: #42
....I am not playing with all of the "filters" in Play
 
I am playing the original way...
 
...if line is 5 then play OVER
...if line is 5.5 then play UNDER
 
cant update all the current "play them OVER teams"...
 
...I won the Col/SJ 4unit play last night because of it...
When I called my book he had that game line at 5.5 and I thought that SJ is a "play it OVER team" but since it did not have my list with me I played it the "old" wat and bet UNDER 5.5...
 
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Posted: #43
....I also am a more coservative gambler and will not be betting the "double-double" way that you do MaddenGuru...gl..
 
example tonight ....Fla/Car...Fla 2 unit play & Car 1 unit play
 
.........MY PLAY....the "highest" in the chase formula...
 
.....sooooooo in that game..... Fla/Car ...2units
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by MaddenGuru:

Got clobbered for 1 unit with the NJD/BUF, and 5 units on SJ/CLB, but at least won 3 units on NYR/LA...looks like 3 ot games tonight so we start a new chase on CLB, NYR, LA, CAL, MIN; and we continue to game 2 of SJ chase...SJ games have been going under lately...and thoughts on revisiting this list to make sure that the goal differentials and ov/un records are up to date and the teams in the list are in fact correct? Your thoughts Expert?
 
Bunch of plays tomorrow but I'm curious to hear from Expert as to whether or not the list needs to be updated.
 
Here are the games in play (some heavy ones...buckle up!!)
 
TOR/BOS Over (1 unit, game 1 TOR)
 
STL/WAS Over (1 unit, game 1 WAS)
 
FLA/CAR Under (4 units, game 2 for both FLA & CAR)
 
SAN/DET Over(4 units, game 2 for both SAN & DET)
 
CLB/DAL Over (1 unit, game 1 for CLB - unless prefer to chase CLB for 5 units and continue chase)
 
NAS/PHO Over (4 units, game 2 for both NAS & PHO)
 
Good luck and someone please correct me if I am wrong above
 

guys , the reason we are tweaking the system is to get the best advantage out of every team, that does not mean you will hit every game,like I said in the beginning you need to watch for about a year to get the right combination, DO NOT JUMP INTO SOMETHING WITH OUT PROOF. I can not stresss this enough. I will be hoinest eith you I have not played one cent on these games you have to have a formula that works or don not play. Be patient have discipline, this is why we have this to carefully have a strategy that will wok.
Now our record fell with Columbus busting in the lower column so we have atotal of 2 losses but 31 wins. How bad is that.
Watch and learn is the best method, if you are going to bet, be careful there is not a proven strategy yet so follow along and watch the ride .
I know 98% of you watching can not wait to jump in and make some money. Just watch is my best advice, thats what I do.
Once again I have to see if a strategy is going to work before I will fork out any money
Cheers!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #45
Maddenguru  correction where did you get over on Nashville/Phoenix

Nashville
Phoenix    U 5.5

Toronto
Boston    O 5.5

St Louis
Washington  O 5.5

Florida
Carolina    U 5.5

San Jose
Detroit   O 5.5

Columbus
Dallas    O 5.5

Good Luck as always
maddenguru thanks for updating on the NHL spoiler your help is much appreciated


 
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Posted: #46
NCTTC and Maddenguru i understand that Carolina won on the 16 th but we are chasing Florida on their second game. Hope this did not cause any confusion.
 
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Posted: #47
....tonight if they all stay at 5.5 lines then I will be playing....
 
 
UNDERS
 
on all of them....
 
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Posted: #48
Gasman if you are going to deviate from this system and come up with your own, why post your plays in the spoiler thread??
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:


guys , the reason we are tweaking the system is to get the best advantage out of every team, that does not mean you will hit every game,like I said in the beginning you need to watch for about a year to get the right combination, DO NOT JUMP INTO SOMETHING WITH OUT PROOF. I can not stresss this enough. I will be hoinest eith you I have not played one cent on these games you have to have a formula that works or don not play. Be patient have discipline, this is why we have this to carefully have a strategy that will wok.
Now our record fell with Columbus busting in the lower column so we have atotal of 2 losses but 31 wins. How bad is that.
Watch and learn is the best method, if you are going to bet, be careful there is not a proven strategy yet so follow along and watch the ride .
I know 98% of you watching can not wait to jump in and make some money. Just watch is my best advice, thats what I do.
Once again I have to see if a strategy is going to work before I will fork out any money
Cheers!!!!!!!!!!!!!


I could not agree more! I have done the same as you expert, watching carefully except for a couple of the chases I thought were really solid. Be careful with your plays fellas.

And, gasman, I understand why you would be interested in deviating to the original system because of the past few days but I think that things will even out either way. Teams will not stop scoring after Christmas so we should still be seeing high totals unless the books adjust very quickly.
 
 
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Posted: #50
And, yes I think we should look into adjusting ourselves by updating the list of OVER teams so that we can stay on top of things.

Let us know what you think expert.
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