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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Road chase

    «First Previous 234 ... 567 Next Last»
    GameBoy7o2
    Jokeheads
    ERBATIZ
    smdio
    onlinesport
    ...
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    «First Previous 234 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    GameBoy7o2
    GameBoy7o2
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2010 - 2:20 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime:

     

    Are you playing these ML or PL?



    Both are +1.5 PL
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime:

     

    Are you playing these ML or PL?



    Both are +1.5 PL
     
    Jokeheads
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2010 - 2:21 PM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime:

     

    Are you playing these ML or PL?



    Both are dogs, so PL
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    Quote Originally Posted by doubledime:

     

    Are you playing these ML or PL?



    Both are dogs, so PL
     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2010 - 4:23 PM ET #28

    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    147 total bets

    98 "A" wins

    36 "B" wins

    9 "C" wins

    4 losses

    2 of the 4 losses would have been filtered out, if you avoided betting AGAINST the top 3 RPI rated teams, and ON the worst 3 RPI teams

    That filter would have also cut some winning series plays.  But overall, if you Labourchere it, you'll recover any losses and turn a substantial profit

     nice record A-B.. A question  do you know how many games were won ML by a dog team  last year using your syst. i know you are using PL when is a dog the road team, thanks and keep it up amigo

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    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    147 total bets

    98 "A" wins

    36 "B" wins

    9 "C" wins

    4 losses

    2 of the 4 losses would have been filtered out, if you avoided betting AGAINST the top 3 RPI rated teams, and ON the worst 3 RPI teams

    That filter would have also cut some winning series plays.  But overall, if you Labourchere it, you'll recover any losses and turn a substantial profit

     nice record A-B.. A question  do you know how many games were won ML by a dog team  last year using your syst. i know you are using PL when is a dog the road team, thanks and keep it up amigo

     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2010 - 6:53 PM ET #29

    Many more losses if you just take the ML.  I know what you're getting at: the juice is way higher with the PL than the ML.  In theory, you'll be saving money by just laying the ML instead.

    That's incorrect though, because this system fails miserably that way.  You'll end up with a record under .500 for the year. I started checking last years stats and quickly stopped, since almost every series I looked into was a loss.  Then +1.5 helps quite a bit for the dogs.  Already 1 win this year with it.

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    Many more losses if you just take the ML.  I know what you're getting at: the juice is way higher with the PL than the ML.  In theory, you'll be saving money by just laying the ML instead.

    That's incorrect though, because this system fails miserably that way.  You'll end up with a record under .500 for the year. I started checking last years stats and quickly stopped, since almost every series I looked into was a loss.  Then +1.5 helps quite a bit for the dogs.  Already 1 win this year with it.

     
    ERBATIZ
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    Posted: Oct. 12, 2010 - 6:56 PM ET #30

    thanks
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    thanks
     
    onlinesport
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2010 - 1:04 AM ET #31

    another empty net goal. fucking coaches. Don't they see that pulling your goallie is totally useless
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    another empty net goal. fucking coaches. Don't they see that pulling your goallie is totally useless
     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2010 - 7:34 AM ET #32

    yeah that sucked

    no worries, the system will correct itself. hang in there

    (A) Tampa Bay for tonight, -250 PL +1.5

    new labby line looks like:

    x-25-25-55

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    The (A) bet for tonight will be $200 to win $80, the 80 being 55+25 on the A line

    BOL

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    yeah that sucked

    no worries, the system will correct itself. hang in there

    (A) Tampa Bay for tonight, -250 PL +1.5

    new labby line looks like:

    x-25-25-55

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    The (A) bet for tonight will be $200 to win $80, the 80 being 55+25 on the A line

    BOL

     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2010 - 10:32 PM ET #33

    Tampa Bay

    New Labby line:

    x-x-25-x

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    2 more (A) bets coming for Thursday 10/14, with Carolina and St. Louis

    Quick question if anyone has time to answer:

    My current Labby line for the upcoming A bets is x-x-25-x.  What would my "to win" bets be?  25?  Or start the line over at 25-25-25-25 ?

    Thanks

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    Tampa Bay

    New Labby line:

    x-x-25-x

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    2 more (A) bets coming for Thursday 10/14, with Carolina and St. Louis

    Quick question if anyone has time to answer:

    My current Labby line for the upcoming A bets is x-x-25-x.  What would my "to win" bets be?  25?  Or start the line over at 25-25-25-25 ?

    Thanks

     
    rabiddog
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    Posted: Oct. 13, 2010 - 11:03 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    Tampa Bay

    New Labby line:

    x-x-25-x

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    2 more (A) bets coming for Thursday 10/14, with Carolina and St. Louis

    Quick question if anyone has time to answer:

    My current Labby line for the upcoming A bets is x-x-25-x.  What would my "to win" bets be?  25?  Or start the line over at 25-25-25-25 ?

    Thanks

     

    I'd adjust your lines you don't want one of your lines to get out of wack...

    On my C. bets I don't try to make money I try and recover..

    My C would look like this  79-70

    I actually do two A lines for those days when you get 4 or 5 games it's eaiser to manage. I'll give you an example with what you have up there.

    A= 25-25-25-25-60

    A= 25-25-25-60

    B= 25-25-25-43-55

    C= 75-74   On the C only bet one of these. just trying to get your money back.

    On A and B bets for the day I always Divide the back in labby so I get equal bets for the day so I'm not more money on one or the other.  if I have two A's and 2 B's for the day it would like this.

    A= 25-25-25-25-55

    A=25-25-25-55

    B= 25-25-25-55-55  So you'd bet 80 to win on each game. 

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by smdio:

    Tampa Bay

    New Labby line:

    x-x-25-x

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    2 more (A) bets coming for Thursday 10/14, with Carolina and St. Louis

    Quick question if anyone has time to answer:

    My current Labby line for the upcoming A bets is x-x-25-x.  What would my "to win" bets be?  25?  Or start the line over at 25-25-25-25 ?

    Thanks

     

    I'd adjust your lines you don't want one of your lines to get out of wack...

    On my C. bets I don't try to make money I try and recover..

    My C would look like this  79-70

    I actually do two A lines for those days when you get 4 or 5 games it's eaiser to manage. I'll give you an example with what you have up there.

    A= 25-25-25-25-60

    A= 25-25-25-60

    B= 25-25-25-43-55

    C= 75-74   On the C only bet one of these. just trying to get your money back.

    On A and B bets for the day I always Divide the back in labby so I get equal bets for the day so I'm not more money on one or the other.  if I have two A's and 2 B's for the day it would like this.

    A= 25-25-25-25-55

    A=25-25-25-55

    B= 25-25-25-55-55  So you'd bet 80 to win on each game. 

     

     

     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2010 - 8:21 AM ET #35

    Makes sense! thanks
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    Makes sense! thanks
     
    Jokeheads
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2010 - 11:07 AM ET #36

    Another modification I do is this:

    The whole idea of clearing a line is to make 4 units. (Your units are 5...so 5-5-5-5 is your starting line).

    Therefore, if there are two bets on one day, and your line looks like this:
    5-5-5-5-7.5
    I bet 7.5+5 = 12.5 (italics) on the first game and 5+5 = 10 (bold) on the second one. No need to bet 12.5 on both, as when you clear the line, you'll have made more than 4 units (but also at the expense of higher risk)
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    Another modification I do is this:

    The whole idea of clearing a line is to make 4 units. (Your units are 5...so 5-5-5-5 is your starting line).

    Therefore, if there are two bets on one day, and your line looks like this:
    5-5-5-5-7.5
    I bet 7.5+5 = 12.5 (italics) on the first game and 5+5 = 10 (bold) on the second one. No need to bet 12.5 on both, as when you clear the line, you'll have made more than 4 units (but also at the expense of higher risk)
     
    Jokeheads
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2010 - 3:07 PM ET #37

    To play the C bet of this system, I am just going to roll the C bets into the B labby line. I think that will give maximum recovery rate (and if C bets are lost, ample time to properly recover that loss as well)
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    To play the C bet of this system, I am just going to roll the C bets into the B labby line. I think that will give maximum recovery rate (and if C bets are lost, ample time to properly recover that loss as well)
     
    rabiddog
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2010 - 5:32 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by Jokeheads:

    To play the C bet of this system, I am just going to roll the C bets into the B labby line. I think that will give maximum recovery rate (and if C bets are lost, ample time to properly recover that loss as well)

     

    I think thats another good way to go!!

    I like to consider a labby of 5.5.5.5 has just 2 Units since your bet is $10 for the game that being 1 unit..

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jokeheads:

    To play the C bet of this system, I am just going to roll the C bets into the B labby line. I think that will give maximum recovery rate (and if C bets are lost, ample time to properly recover that loss as well)

     

    I think thats another good way to go!!

    I like to consider a labby of 5.5.5.5 has just 2 Units since your bet is $10 for the game that being 1 unit..

     
    Jokeheads
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2010 - 5:37 PM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by rabiddog:

     

    I think thats another good way to go!!

    I like to consider a labby of 5.5.5.5 has just 2 Units since your bet is $10 for the game that being 1 unit..



    Yea, was just describing it for simplicity sake.
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    Quote Originally Posted by rabiddog:

     

    I think thats another good way to go!!

    I like to consider a labby of 5.5.5.5 has just 2 Units since your bet is $10 for the game that being 1 unit..



    Yea, was just describing it for simplicity sake.
     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 14, 2010 - 10:38 PM ET #40

    2 more (A) winners tonight (thanks to the Puck Line!!!)

    (A) Carolina

    (A) St Louis

    We cleared our first Labby line with those winners, and the new line looks like this:

    25-25-25-25 (reset)

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    We'll have a (C) bet on Atlanta for Friday 10/15 @ Anaheim. The (C) bet will be "to win" $95 (70+25 on line C)

    I'm going to stick to this more agressive Labby line for now, and continue to try and profit from the C line as well

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    2 more (A) winners tonight (thanks to the Puck Line!!!)

    (A) Carolina

    (A) St Louis

    We cleared our first Labby line with those winners, and the new line looks like this:

    25-25-25-25 (reset)

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    We'll have a (C) bet on Atlanta for Friday 10/15 @ Anaheim. The (C) bet will be "to win" $95 (70+25 on line C)

    I'm going to stick to this more agressive Labby line for now, and continue to try and profit from the C line as well

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2010 - 1:13 AM ET #41

    smdio you say this is essentially the JM system, but I thought JM was a 3-game road trip to the opposite conference?
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    smdio you say this is essentially the JM system, but I thought JM was a 3-game road trip to the opposite conference?
     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 15, 2010 - 8:03 AM ET #42

    Yeah this is the modified JM system (I think JM calls it NHL v2.0) , which is essentially the same exact thing, except the cross-conferance doesnt matter.

    The results are the same:  higher percentage of wins for the road teams, as long as you follow the filters precisely

    I'm even thinking about skipping the C bet on Atlanta tonight.  Originally, I said I would just follow the A & B bets until all the teams have had a road-series under their belt. Not sure yet. Although I really think Anaheim blows.

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    Yeah this is the modified JM system (I think JM calls it NHL v2.0) , which is essentially the same exact thing, except the cross-conferance doesnt matter.

    The results are the same:  higher percentage of wins for the road teams, as long as you follow the filters precisely

    I'm even thinking about skipping the C bet on Atlanta tonight.  Originally, I said I would just follow the A & B bets until all the teams have had a road-series under their belt. Not sure yet. Although I really think Anaheim blows.

     
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2010 - 7:59 AM ET #43

    We would have picked up a (C) win last night, with the Thrashers +1.5 over the Ducks.  I'm skipping the (C) bets until the second road series for each team, but hopefully someone snagged the cash

    We'll have another (A) bet tonight on Ottawa PL -320

    Juice sucks on this one, but the system works

    Current Labby line:

    25-25-25-25 (reset)

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    Ottawa (A) bet will be $160 to win $50 (25+25)

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    We would have picked up a (C) win last night, with the Thrashers +1.5 over the Ducks.  I'm skipping the (C) bets until the second road series for each team, but hopefully someone snagged the cash

    We'll have another (A) bet tonight on Ottawa PL -320

    Juice sucks on this one, but the system works

    Current Labby line:

    25-25-25-25 (reset)

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

    Ottawa (A) bet will be $160 to win $50 (25+25)

     
    smdio
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2010 - 10:48 PM ET #44

    Another (A) winner with Ottawa tonight, thanks to the Puck Line again!!

    Things are moving nicely.  Next play will be Monday night

    New Labby line:

    x-25-25-x

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

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    Another (A) winner with Ottawa tonight, thanks to the Puck Line again!!

    Things are moving nicely.  Next play will be Monday night

    New Labby line:

    x-25-25-x

    25-25-25-43-55-70

    25-25-25-25-79-70

     
    stickbit
    stickbit
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2010 - 12:50 PM ET #45

    nice work smdio! Curious if you are only doing a & b games how you will utilize the c line?
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    nice work smdio! Curious if you are only doing a & b games how you will utilize the c line?
     
    smdio
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 17, 2010 - 12:52 PM ET #46

    I'm only skipping the "C" bet for each teams first road trip.  Once every team has a road trip under their belt, I'll start wagering on the "C" games for the second trip and on.

    I feel that by doing it like that, we'll have a better understand of who sucks on the road (judging by their Road Record), and if we should avoid that series, or play on it.

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    I'm only skipping the "C" bet for each teams first road trip.  Once every team has a road trip under their belt, I'll start wagering on the "C" games for the second trip and on.

    I feel that by doing it like that, we'll have a better understand of who sucks on the road (judging by their Road Record), and if we should avoid that series, or play on it.

     
    smdio
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 7:39 AM ET #47

    There's an (A) bet tonight on the New York Islanders (-190 PL)

    It will be $95 to win $50, according to our above Labby line

    BOL

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    There's an (A) bet tonight on the New York Islanders (-190 PL)

    It will be $95 to win $50, according to our above Labby line

    BOL

     
    smdio
    smdio
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 11:17 PM ET #48

    Another (A) win tonight with the New York Islanders

    The (A) bets have now won the last 6 straight wagers

    Another (A) bet coming for Tuesday with Calgary, probably on the PL again

    I'll post the final play and updated Labby line Tuesday morning

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    Another (A) win tonight with the New York Islanders

    The (A) bets have now won the last 6 straight wagers

    Another (A) bet coming for Tuesday with Calgary, probably on the PL again

    I'll post the final play and updated Labby line Tuesday morning

     
    stickbit
    stickbit
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 11:20 PM ET #49

    thanks for all of this smdio. you should post the unit totals also so we can see how this turns out.
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    thanks for all of this smdio. you should post the unit totals also so we can see how this turns out.
     
     
    DR-D
    DR-D
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    Posted: Oct. 18, 2010 - 11:48 PM ET #50

    Just because I'm a stickler for accuracy....only five of the last six plays were won on [A] bets......ATL was a [C] winner on the 15th and before that COLOR won as a [B] bet on the 12th.  But let's keep the winners coming, smdio...and thanks for manning this thread!

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    Just because I'm a stickler for accuracy....only five of the last six plays were won on [A] bets......ATL was a [C] winner on the 15th and before that COLOR won as a [B] bet on the 12th.  But let's keep the winners coming, smdio...and thanks for manning this thread!

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