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NHL Betting System: Goal Scored And Allowed Systems

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Posted: #201
After starting to post my numbers...and looking back at yours,I noticed the difference.  Read post #56 and those before it. We multiply all 3, no division at all.

Using the formula MPG put out, GSGA (GSGA2 uses medians) is:

GSGA 496 - 324 $73.09 

through Sunday, if you placed a dollar wager for every team that had a better number (based on Cover's closing lines).  Even if it's wrong, it's working and I'm using it for my wagers.
 
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Posted: #202
GSGA
Bos 0.999
Tb 1.737
Mon 0.123
Nas 0.539
Min 1.855
Edm 0.439
La 1.150
GSGA2 Bos 0.688 Tb 2.067 Mon 0.397 Nas 0.838 Min 2.151 Edm 0.109 La 0.852

 

 
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Posted: #203
Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

 

Using the formula MPG put out, GSGA (GSGA2 uses medians) is:

GSGA 496 - 324 $73.09 

through Sunday, if you placed a dollar wager for every team that had a better number (based on Cover's closing lines).  Even if it's wrong, it's working and I'm using it for my wagers.

This is since November 8th.
 
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Posted: #204
GSGA
Tor 0.819
Nyr 0.176
Sj 0.457
Ana 0.588
Veg 1.127
GSGA2
Tor 1.106
Nyr 0.515
Sj 0.136
Ana 0.865
Veg 1.452

 
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Posted: #205
GSGA
Phi 0.091
Tor 1.438
Nyi 0.288
Bos 0.615
Mon 0.275
Win 1.743
Stl 0.730
Nas 1.171
La 0.520
GSGA2
Phi 0.397
Tor 1.100
Nyi 0.687
Bos 0.257
Mon 0.587
Win 2.081
Stl 1.019
Nas 0.873
La 0.799

 
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Posted: #206
GSGA
Was 1.104
Dal 0.307
Sj 0.408
Col 0.468
Ana 0.588
Veg 1.562
GSGA2
Was 1.414
Ott 0.022
Sj 0.123
Col 0.753
Ana 0.872
Veg 1.899

 
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Posted: #207
GSGA
Chi 0.655
Fla 0.470
La 0.269
Phi 0.685
Tb 0.004
Clb 0.949
Tor 1.875
Stl 0.607
Min 0.264
Sj 0.796
GSGA2
Chi 0.345
Fla 0.787
La 0.560
Phi 0.387
Tb 0.348
Clb 1.209
Tor 2.177
Stl 0.885
Ari 0.041
Sj 0.475

 
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Posted: #208
GSGA
Col 1.452
Veg 0.422
Tb 0.741
Phi 0.095
Nyi 0.005
Chi 0.193
Win 1.474
Ana 0.138
GSGA2
Col 1.739
Veg 0.717
Tb 1.059
Phi 0.408
Nyi 0.384
Chi 0.443
Win 1.760
Ana 0.433

 
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Posted: #209
GSGA
Bos 1.203
Nas 1.617
Mon 0.330
Min 0.444
Cal 0.873
GSGA2
Bos 1.507
Nas 1.308
Mon 0.624
Min 0.707
Cal 0.591

 
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Posted: #210
GSGA
Was 1.087
Nyr 0.186
Edm 0.290
Pit 0.250
Phi 0.900
Tb 0.247
Fla 0.206
Win 0.644
Chi 0.725
Veg 1.343
Sj 0.423
GSGA2
Was 1.353
Nyr 0.500
Edm 0.012
Nyi 0.151
Phi 0.604
Tb 0.597
Ott 0.132
Win 0.941
Chi 1.011
Veg 1.621
Sj 0.734

 
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Posted: #211
Next year I will not be posting GSGA2 as GSGA is doing far better.  GSGA2 has all the formulas with medians while GSGA has averages.  Excel will not take the median into decimal points, while it does with an average.  
 
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Posted: #212
GSGA
Ari 0.239
Pit 2.141
Bos 0.504
Ana 0.460
GSGA2
Buf 0.037
Pit 2.438
Bos 0.233
Ana 0.182

 
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Posted: #213
GSGA
Car 0.216
Phi 0.346
Clb 0.497
Tb 1.611
Was 0.128
Edm 0.638
Nas 0.580
Chi 0.670
Col 0.579
Sj 0.270
GSGA2
Car 0.488
Phi 0.649
Clb 0.750
Tb 1.205
Det 0.171
Edm 0.300
Nas 0.885
Chi 0.915
Col 0.847
Sj 0.572

 
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Posted: #214
GSGA
Buf 0.051
Pit 0.867
Win 1.150
Stl 0.576
Dal 0.036
GSGA2
Buf 0.303
Pit 1.180
Win 1.413
Stl 0.804
Dal 0.290

 
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Posted: #215
I was gonna shut it down...I mean, Pit at a -300 loses, and Buf is a play.  Really?!
Before last night we were at the highest $ total.  So continue we will.
Currently, we're at 77.51 with the high Thursday at 79.73.
I don't have the W/L record as that's on my other spreadsheet (I'm streamlining for next year).
I'll be doing a RSRA MLB version of this starting mid to late April.  Nothing different, subbing runs for goals.  I will be adding the -1.5 RL $$ too.
 
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Posted: #216
GSGA
Col 0.607
Sj 0.505
Fla 1.096
Mon 0.328
Tb 1.006
Nyi 0.332
Clb 0.312
Tor 1.259
Car 0.408
Nyr 0.533
Min 0.178
La 1.244
GSGA2
Col 0.893
Sj 0.765
Fla 1.391
Mon 0.602
Tb 0.692
Nyi 0.699
Clb 0.538
Tor 1.540
Car 0.074
Nyr 0.807
Min 0.422
La 0.944

 
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Posted: #217
GSGA 548 - 360 $76.51  60.35%
GSGA2 544 - 362 $53.98  60.04%

*Straight wagering each play everyday since Nov 8th, post 58 of this thread (page 3).

72 days was positive $$$, 53 days lost money.  57% chance of making $$$
 
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Posted: #218
Based on 908 plays (GSGA), and 1293.97 'wagered', based on Covers' closing lines, ROI is 6.07%
 
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Posted: #219
GSGA
Pit 0.498
Win 0.506
Dal 1.077
Min 0.323
Ana 0.529
GSGA2
Pit 0.806
Win 0.779
Dal 1.314
Min 0.575
Ana 0.247

 
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Posted: #220
GSGA
Car 0.204
Tor 1.471
Fla 0.099
Nyr 0.389
Mon 0.329
Tb 1.607
Chi 0.019
Veg 1.374
La 0.242
GSGA2
Car 0.470
Tor 1.745
Nyi 0.247
Nyr 0.695
Mon 0.594
Tb 1.910
Chi 0.276
Veg 1.665
La 0.480

 
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Posted: #221
GSGA
Nj 0.246
Nyi 0.533
Pit 0.300
Win 0.478
Stl 0.155
Nas 1.291
Dal 0.286
Clb 0.425
Ana 0.811
GSGA2
Nj 0.527
Nyi 0.178
Pit 0.025
Win 0.753
Stl 0.398
Nas 1.581
Dal 0.555
Clb 0.110
Ana 0.523

 
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Posted: #222
GSGA
Tor 0.892
Was 1.456
Col 0.729
Veg 1.758
GSGA2 Tor 1.174 Was 1.734 Col 1.016 Veg 2.038 
 
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Posted: #223
GSGA
Tb 0.033
Nj 0.370
Det 0.722
Fla 0.612
Nas 0.718
Min 1.190
Win 0.135
Clb 0.656
Edm 0.811
La 0.948
GSGA2
Bos 0.277
Nj 0.658
Det 0.452
Fla 0.287
Nas 0.983
Min 1.427
Chi 0.116
Clb 0.356
Edm 0.501
La 1.188

 
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Posted: #224
GSGA
Tb 0.950
Was 1.156
Tor 1.073
Col 1.482
La 0.206
Veg 0.724
GSGA2 Tb 0.622 Was 1.437 Tor 0.690 Col 1.771 Ana 0.050 Veg 0.990   

 
 
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Posted: #225
GSGA
Bos 1.111
Det 0.277
Clb 0.784
Pit 2.048
Car 0.125
Tor 0.589
Nj 0.282
Nas 1.449
Dal 0.980
Stl 0.681
Edm 0.799
Veg 0.915


GSGA2
Bos 1.389
Det 0.528
Clb 0.465
Pit 2.334
Car 0.408
Tor 0.861
Nj 0.584
Nas 1.713
Dal 1.251
Stl 0.427
Edm 0.514
Veg 1.192

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