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NFL O/U at 73.2%

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Prospect
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Posted: #51
I really think that you have something here. I wish i would have seen this earlier!
 
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Posted: #52
Keep up the good works. Thanks K.
 
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Posted: #53
keny so you would take under in Washington/Dallas? can you please add me as a a friend so I can talk to you in email?
 
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Posted: #54
Thanks all.  Looks like my old system before tweaking it is doing better ... I'm 6-0 on games I actually bet (including thur nite) going into the Dallas game.  Go punters!  An 8-4-1 record overall is not too shabby.
 
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Posted: #55
So how do decide which games to bet?
 
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Posted: #56
Are you going to post every week?
 
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Posted: #57
That was my question in the very first post of this thread.  Week 9 I bet four games and went 2-2, week 10 I played 12 and went 8-4, this week I played 7 and am hoping for 7-0.  I made my bets on Tuesday and I played the top seven at the time.  Unforntunately I made an adjustment to the system which switched the top 7 from what I posted on Thursday.  The top seven I posted is not 6-0 right now.  The original picks are 9-3 right now.  The number in ( ) following the pick is my rating, higher is better.
 
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Posted: #58
k,
once again my friend you are the man 
great system
 
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Posted: #59
was the KC game at push at 50?????
 
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Posted: #60

Expert,  Yes, I'll continue posting.  I'll try and get some early lines out later tonight.

r8drlife,  If you had it at 50 it was a push, it was at 50 when I posted Thursday nite. 

 
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Posted: #61
kenyonlv how do you come up with your unders or overs , can you explain please? I mean you have got something here and I would like to know. Can you please explain in detail or just leave me a comment in my profile, thanks
 
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Posted: #62
Damn, I missed your picks that went 6-0.  I just played your system picks w/ 2.8 rating or higher and went 5-2.  Still a great day.  Thanks K.  I think you really have something great here.
 
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Posted: #63

Expert, That question has been asked and answered, sorry I can't give more detail.

Alex, Glad to hear you had a good day.   I'm just sorry I tweaked the system ... otherwise the top 8 eight plays won with the 9th being the Browns/Bills under tomorrow nite.  All those plays were rated 1.2 or higher.  The 7-0 picks are in this thread just kinda buried in the punter post and I included Thurs nites win.

Here are my system early lines for next week.  I'll get out the revised numbers once the stats get posted on NFL.com for Mondays game, because they may affect these numbers even for teams other then Browns/Bills.  If you see major differences with your book you may want to jump on them early.

Bengals/Steelers 33
Texans/Browns 43.3
Bills/Chiefs 40.2
Jets/Titans 36.6
Patriots/Dolphins 34.2
49ers/Cowboys 42
Bucs/Lions 39.4
Eagles/Ravens 38
Bears/Rams 43.6
Vikings/Jaguars 38.8
Panthers/Falcons 34.2
Raiders/Broncos 41.2
Redskins/Seahawks 36
Giants/Cardinals 41.6
Colts/Chargers 40.6
Packers/Saints 43.5

 
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Posted: #64
Opps, disregard the early lines above I just posted !!!  I left out a component that will make all the lines higher.
 
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Posted: #65
Sunday Night System Early Lines
 
Bengals/Steelers 37.5
Texans/Browns 49.2
Bills/Chiefs 43.6
Jets/Titans 42.2
Patriots/Dolphins 36.4
49ers/Cowboys 47.6
Bucs/Lions 43.3
Eagles/Ravens 41.6
Bears/Rams 45.8
Vikings/Jaguars 43.8
Panthers/Falcons 37.3
Raiders/Broncos 44.9
Redskins/Seahawks 37.1
Giants/Cardinals 45.3
Colts/Chargers 43.2
Packers/Saints 47.4
 
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Posted: #66
ll i saw is something about passing against good defenses, it don't give detail on how you get them please explain, I am confused
Sorry I don't see that have answered that?
 
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Posted: #67

KEN,

GREAT JOB AS ALWAYS......

 
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Posted: #68
Did you bet on the under on the game tonight? Or is that one of the ones you are not betting on
 
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Posted: #69
Good question River ... I didn't bet on it and now the line has gone down to 40.5 for me.  My original pick was to bet under 42 with 1.2 in ( ) which means I had the line at 40.8 so now the rating is 0.3 for the OVER.  It's a no play for me now.  I'm going to look at a side for a bet ...
 
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Posted: #70
I'm jumping on these lines today (I'm thinking my numbers will change very little with updated stats) ... listing the home team/line/rating/Over or Under
 
Chargers / 50.5 / 7.3 / Under
Dolphins / 42 / 5.6 / Under
Falcons / 42.5 / 5.2 / Under
Saints / 52.5 / 5.1 / Under
Seahawks / 41.5 / 4.4 / Under
Jaguars / 40 / 3.8 / Over
Cardinals / 48.5 / 3.2 / Under
Ravens / 38.5 / 3.1 / Over
Steelers / 35 / 2.5 / Over
Lions / 41 / 2.3 / Over
Titans / 40 / 2.2 / Over
Broncos / 43 / 1.9 / Under
 
 
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Posted: #71
.....earlier post has the Browns/Bills @ under 42  (1.5)
 
now the line has dropped to 40....
 
does that now make the play an OVER 40 (0.5)???
 
thanks...
 
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Posted: #72
Gas, You are right ... in messed up and got 1.2 from the Thursday nite game by mistake.  The system makes the play Over 40 (0.5) like you say.  I'm staying away from that, I still want the under 42 to hit.  I'm looking at a small play on the Bills tonight.  GL
 
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Posted: #73
....me 2...thanks
 
Bills -5
 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by kenyonlv:

Here are the system picks for week 11 ... I included Thurs game this week.
 
Broncos/Falcons Under 51 (4.5) 
Lions/Panthers Under 40 (3.7) 
Cowboys/Redskins Under 44.5 (3.6) 
Raiders/Dolphins Under 38.5 (3.4) 
Chargers/Steelers Under 42.5 (3) 
Eagles/Bengals Over 41.5 (3) 
Rams/49ers Over 44.5 (2.9) 
Texans/Colts Under 50 (2) 
Browns/Bills Under 42 (1.5) 
Saints/Chiefs Over 50 (1.3)   Push
Titans/Jaguars Under 39.5 (1.2) 
Jets/Patriots Over 42 (1.2) 
Cardinals/Seahawks Under 48 (0.8) 
Vikings/Bucs Under 38.5 (0.4) 
Ravens/Giants Over 41.5 (0.1) 
Bears/Packers 45 (My Line if Orton plays)  No Play

Worst week overall to date, but top 5 are smoking hot.

Week 9-5-1  60%   YTD  23-11-1  65.7%

Top 5 Week 4-1  80 %  YTD  12-3  80%

 
 
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Posted: #75
nice job man!
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